League One Gameweek 3
Aug 30, 2026 3.00pm
5
2
HT : 3 0
FT One Call Stadium
  • Louis Reed 8' yellowcard
  • Nathan Moriah-Welsh 17' goal
  • Nathan Moriah-Welsh 28' goal
  • Louis Reed 45' goal
  • Jon Russell 47' goal
  • Ryan Sweeney  45'+2' yellowcard
  • Jon Russell 56' goal
  • Kyle Knoyle 77' yellowcard
  • Regan Hendry 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Isaiah Jones 26'
  • yellowcard Gideon Kodua 64'
  • goal Nahki Wells 78'
  • goal Nahki Wells 90'+2'

Mansfield Town vs Luton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mansfield Town

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Peterborough 2 - 1 Mansfield
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Jon Russell

Luton Town

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 12.30pm
Luton 2 - 2 Notts County
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Nahki Wells

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 36.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.79%) and 0-2 (5.3%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 2-1 (8.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%).

Result

Mansfield Town 36.49% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 24.38% ▼ (-0.02)
Luton Town 39.13% ▲ (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.63% ▼ (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.06% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 17.94% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 61.25% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 38.75% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 38.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 61.83% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 4.5 22.57% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 77.43% ▼ (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Mansfield Town 28.4% ▲ (+0.06)
Draw 38.92% ▼ (-0.11)
Luton Town 32.68% ▲ (+0.05)

Team To Score First

Mansfield Town 43.81% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 4.47% ▲ (+0.01)
Luton Town 51.72% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 66.28% ▼ (-0.41)
Equal 8 10.08% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 8 23.64% ▲ (+0.38)
Over 9 55.31% ▼ (-0.41)
Equal 9 10.97%
Under 9 33.72% ▲ (+0.41)
Over 10.5 44.32% ▼ (-0.39)
Under 10.5 55.68% ▲ (+0.39)

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 1.5 42.34% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 57.66% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 18.88% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 81.12% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 6.8% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 93.2% ▲ (+0.02)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5 74.82% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 25.18% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 44.79% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 55.21% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 20.22% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 79.78% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 7.68% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 92.32% ▼ (-0.06)

Score analysis

Mansfield Town 36.48%
Draw 24.38%
Luton Town 39.13%
Mansfield Town
2-1 @ 8.33% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 6.67% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.81% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.2% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.25%
3-0 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 6.45% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 36.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.71%
2-2 @ 6.99% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.47% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.86%
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 24.38%
Luton Town
1-2 @ 9.03%
0-1 @ 6.79% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.3% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.4%
2-3 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.95%
Other @ 7.33% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 39.13%

Head to Head

League One
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT One Call Stadium
  • J. Russell 21' goal
  • J. Russell 28' goal
  • R. Oates 58' yellowcard
  • Nathan Moriah-Welsh 58' yellowcard
  • D. Dwyer 79' yellowcard
  • Oliver Irow 79' yellowcard
  • F. Blake-Tracy 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Kasey Palmer 40'
  • yellowcard Joseph Johnson 46'
  • goal Shayden Morris 50'
  • yellowcard Nahki Wells 69'
  • yellowcard Gideon Kodua 80'
  • yellowcard Devante Cole 89'
  • yellowcard J. Richards 89'
League One
Oct 18, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two
Apr 2, 2018 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Alan Sheehan 37' yellowcard
  • James Collins 61' goal
  • Glen Rea 71' goal
  • James Shea 90' yellowcard
  • goal Kane Hemmings 34'
  • yellowcard Lee Angol 37'
  • yellowcard Kane Hemmings 69'
  • yellowcard Jacob Mellis 72'
  • yellowcard Hayden White 86'
League Two
Aug 26, 2017 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Rhys Bennett 23' goal
  • Jacob Mellis 34' yellowcard
  • Malvind Benning 67' yellowcard
  • Lee Angol 71' goal
  • Kane Hemmings 72' yellowcard
  • Joel Byrom 73' yellowcard
  • Lee Angol 82' yellowcard
  • Rhys Bennett 97' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dan Potts 22'
  • yellowcard Alan McCormack 34'
  • yellowcard Alan Sheehan 56'
  • goal James Collins 85'
  • goal Danny Hylton 89'
  • yellowcard Luke Berry 92'
  • yellowcard Scott Cuthbert 95'
  • yellowcard Marek Stech 96'
League Two
Apr 17, 2017 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Alfie Potter 23' goal
  • Danny Rose 44' yellowcard
  • Jake Kean 52' yellowcard
  • goal Danny Hylton 51'
League Two
Oct 22, 2016 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Cameron McGeehan 77' goal
  • Olly Lee 94' yellowcard
  • goal Matt Green 9'
  • yellowcard Jack Thomas 60'
  • yellowcard Mitchell Rose 72'
  • yellowcard Malvind Benning 86'