League One Gameweek 3
Aug 30, 2026 3.00pm
One Call Stadium

Mansfield Town vs Luton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mansfield Town

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Peterborough 2 - 1 Mansfield
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
R. Oates

Luton Town

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 12.30pm
Luton 2 - 2 Notts County
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Kasey Palmer

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Luton Town win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Mansfield Town has a probability of 36.53% and a draw has a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.78%) and 0-2 (5.29%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win is 2-1 (8.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.71%).

Result

Mansfield Town 36.53% (+2.58)
Draw 24.4% (-1.32)
Luton Town 39.07% (-1.28)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.66% (+2.17)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.09% (+1.58)
Under 1.5 17.91% (-1.58)
Over 2.5 61.31% (+2.02)
Under 2.5 38.69% (-2.02)
Over 3.5 38.18% (+1.34)
Under 3.5 61.82% (-1.34)
Over 4.5 22.54% (+0.22)
Under 4.5 77.46% (-0.23)

First Half Winner

Mansfield Town 28.34% (+2.15)
Draw 39.02% (-0.78)
Luton Town 32.63% (-1.38)

Team To Score First

Mansfield Town 43.84% (+0.60)
No Goal 4.46% (-0.93)
Luton Town 51.7% (+0.35)

Corners

Over 8 66.69% (-1.80)
Equal 8 10.04% (+0.29)
Under 8 23.27% (+1.51)
Over 9 55.72% (-1.96)
Equal 9 10.97% (+0.16)
Under 9 33.31% (+1.81)
Over 10.5 44.7% (-1.94)
Under 10.5 55.3% (+1.94)

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 1.5 42.43% (+3.15)
Under 1.5 57.57% (-3.15)
Over 2.5 18.91% (+1.58)
Under 2.5 81.09% (-1.57)
Over 3.5 6.81% (+0.81)
Under 3.5 93.19% (-0.82)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5 74.83% (-0.29)
Under 0.5 25.17% (+0.29)
Over 1.5 44.77% (-0.26)
Under 1.5 55.23% (+0.26)
Over 2.5 20.18% (-1.33)
Under 2.5 79.82% (+1.32)
Over 3.5 7.63% (-1.13)
Under 3.5 92.37% (+1.13)

Score analysis

Mansfield Town 36.52%
Draw 24.4%
Luton Town 39.07%
Mansfield Town
2-1 @ 8.36% (+0.59)
1-0 @ 6.66% (-0.17)
2-0 @ 4.8% (+0.27)
3-1 @ 4.21% (+0.47)
3-2 @ 3.25% (+0.32)
3-0 @ 2.78% (+0.13)
Other @ 6.46% (+0.96)
Total : 36.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.71% (-0.57)
2-2 @ 7.02% (+0.49)
0-0 @ 4.46% (-0.93)
3-3 @ 1.86% (-0.16)
Other @ 0.35% (-0.15)
Total : 24.4%
Luton Town
1-2 @ 9.03% (+0.34)
0-1 @ 6.78% (-0.51)
0-2 @ 5.29% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 4.4% (+0.14)
2-3 @ 3.34% (+0.23)
0-3 @ 2.95% (-0.40)
Other @ 7.28% (-0.98)
Total : 39.07%

Head to Head

League One
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT One Call Stadium
  • J. Russell 21' goal
  • J. Russell 28' goal
  • R. Oates 58' yellowcard
  • Nathan Moriah-Welsh 58' yellowcard
  • D. Dwyer 79' yellowcard
  • Oliver Irow 79' yellowcard
  • F. Blake-Tracy 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Kasey Palmer 40'
  • yellowcard Joseph Johnson 46'
  • goal Shayden Morris 50'
  • yellowcard Nahki Wells 69'
  • yellowcard Gideon Kodua 80'
  • yellowcard Devante Cole 89'
  • yellowcard J. Richards 89'
League One
Oct 18, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two
Apr 2, 2018 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Alan Sheehan 37' yellowcard
  • James Collins 61' goal
  • Glen Rea 71' goal
  • James Shea 90' yellowcard
  • goal Kane Hemmings 34'
  • yellowcard Lee Angol 37'
  • yellowcard Kane Hemmings 69'
  • yellowcard Jacob Mellis 72'
  • yellowcard Hayden White 86'
League Two
Aug 26, 2017 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Rhys Bennett 23' goal
  • Jacob Mellis 34' yellowcard
  • Malvind Benning 67' yellowcard
  • Lee Angol 71' goal
  • Kane Hemmings 72' yellowcard
  • Joel Byrom 73' yellowcard
  • Lee Angol 82' yellowcard
  • Rhys Bennett 97' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dan Potts 22'
  • yellowcard Alan McCormack 34'
  • yellowcard Alan Sheehan 56'
  • goal James Collins 85'
  • goal Danny Hylton 89'
  • yellowcard Luke Berry 92'
  • yellowcard Scott Cuthbert 95'
  • yellowcard Marek Stech 96'
League Two
Apr 17, 2017 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Alfie Potter 23' goal
  • Danny Rose 44' yellowcard
  • Jake Kean 52' yellowcard
  • goal Danny Hylton 51'
League Two
Oct 22, 2016 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Cameron McGeehan 77' goal
  • Olly Lee 94' yellowcard
  • goal Matt Green 9'
  • yellowcard Jack Thomas 60'
  • yellowcard Mitchell Rose 72'
  • yellowcard Malvind Benning 86'