League One Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2026 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
  • Nahki Wells 50' goal
  • Dan Gore 56' yellowcard
  • Callum Marshall 76' goal
  • yellowcard Oliver Norwood  68'

Luton Town vs Stockport County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 3.00pm
Mansfield 5 - 2 Luton
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Nahki Wells

Stockport County

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Stockport 5 - 1 Wycombe
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Jack Diamond

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 47.59%. A draw had a probability of 26.59% and a win for Stockport County had a probability of 25.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%) , while for a Stockport County win it was 0-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result

Luton Town 47.59% ▲ (+0.09)
Draw 26.59% ▼ (-0.04)
Stockport County 25.78% ▼ (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.15% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 29.93% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 45.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 54.97% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 23.9% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 76.1% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 4.5 12.89% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 4.5 87.11% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Luton Town 33.55% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 41.85% ▼ (-0.04)
Stockport County 24.6% ▲ (+0.05)

Team To Score First

Luton Town 49.6%
No Goal 9.02% ▼ (-0.02)
Stockport County 41.38% ▲ (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 57.12% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.45%
Under 8 31.43% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 9 45.52% ▲ (+0.05)
Equal 9 11.61% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 42.88% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 10.5 34.71% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 10.5 65.29% ▼ (-0.04)

Luton Town Goals

Over 1.5 41.84% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 1.5 58.16% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 2.5 17.56% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 82.44% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 5.86% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 94.14% ▼ (-0.02)

Stockport County Goals

Over 0.5 59.2% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 40.8% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 25.58% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 74.42% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 8.25% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 91.75% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.26% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.74% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Luton Town 47.6%
Draw 26.6%
Stockport County 25.78%
Luton Town
1-0 @ 12.84% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.24% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.82% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.25% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.25% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.35%
Other @ 5.85% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 47.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.08% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 9.02% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.64% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.6%
Stockport County
0-1 @ 8.05%
1-2 @ 6.21% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.13%
1-3 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 25.78%

Head to Head

EFL Trophy
Apr 12, 2026 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Wembley Stadium
  • Emilio Lawrence 22' goal
  • Nahki Wells 39' goal
  • Gideon Kodua 77' yellowcard
  • Shayden Morris 87' yellowcard
  • Nigel Cello Lonwijk 88' yellowcard
  • Nahki Wells 90'+1' goal
  • Devante Cole 90'+7' yellowcard
  • George Alan Saville 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal A. Sidibeh 11'
  • yellowcard Tanto Olaofe 65'
  • yellowcard M. Mothersille 65'
  • yellowcard Louie Barry 85'
  • yellowcard Lewis Bate 85'
  • yellowcard Owen Dodgson 90'+3'
League One
Mar 21, 2026 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
  • Emilio Lawrence 28' goal
  • Gideon Kodua 71' yellowcard
  • Davy van den Berg 72' yellowcard
  • Ali Al-Hamadi 72' yellowcard
  • Sverre Sandal 88' yellowcard
  • Shayden Morris 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joseph Olowu 45'
  • yellowcard A. Sidibeh 46'
  • yellowcard Joseph Olowu 50'
  • yellowcard M. Mothersille 68'
  • goal Oliver Norwood 78'
  • yellowcard Josh Stokes 84'
  • yellowcard Lewis Bate 85'
League One
Nov 8, 2025 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
League One
Jan 15, 2005 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Chris Coyne 29' goal
  • Steve Howard 54' goal
  • Kevin Nicholls 74' goal
League One
Sep 18, 2004 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Lee Mair 22' yellowcard
  • Jim Goodwin 74' yellowcard
  • Rickie Lambert 80' goal
  • goal Steve Robinson 33'
  • goal Rowan Vine 35'
  • goal Ahmet Brkovic 54'