League One Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2026 7.45pm
Kenilworth Road Stadium

Luton Town vs Stockport County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 3.00pm
Mansfield 5 - 2 Luton
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Nahki Wells

Stockport County

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Stockport 5 - 1 Wycombe
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Jack Diamond

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Luton Town win with a probability of 47.51%. A draw has a probability of 26.62% and a win for Stockport County has a probability of 25.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.1%) , while for a Stockport County win it is 0-1 (8.05%).

Result

Luton Town 47.51% (+0.04)
Draw 26.62% (-0.13)
Stockport County 25.83% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.19% (+0.23)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.06% (+0.27)
Under 1.5 29.94% (-0.27)
Over 2.5 45.02% (+0.32)
Under 2.5 54.98% (-0.32)
Over 3.5 23.86% (+0.24)
Under 3.5 76.14% (-0.24)
Over 4.5 12.87% (+0.15)
Under 4.5 87.13% (-0.16)

First Half Winner

Luton Town 33.56% (-0.02)
Draw 41.88% (-0.01)
Stockport County 24.56% (+0.03)

Team To Score First

Luton Town 49.6% (+0.04)
No Goal 9.04% (-0.16)
Stockport County 41.36% (+0.12)

Corners

Over 8 57.08%
Equal 8 11.45%
Under 8 31.47%
Over 9 45.48% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.6% (-0.01)
Under 9 42.92%
Over 10.5 34.67%
Under 10.5 65.33%

Luton Town Goals

Over 1.5 41.76% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 58.24% (-0.19)
Over 2.5 17.51% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 82.49% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 5.84% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 94.16% (-0.07)

Stockport County Goals

Over 0.5 59.24% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 40.76% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 25.61% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 74.39% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 8.27% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 91.73% (-0.12)
Over 3.5 2.27% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 97.73% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Luton Town 47.52%
Draw 26.63%
Stockport County 25.82%
Luton Town
1-0 @ 12.82% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 9.25% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.8%
3-0 @ 4.24% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.23% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.35% (+0.02)
Other @ 5.83% (+0.07)
Total : 47.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.1% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 9.04% (-0.16)
2-2 @ 4.63% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.63%
Stockport County
0-1 @ 8.05% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 6.23% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 4.13% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.14% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.57% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.44% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.26% (+0.04)
Total : 25.82%

Head to Head

EFL Trophy
Apr 12, 2026 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Wembley Stadium
  • Emilio Lawrence 22' goal
  • Nahki Wells 39' goal
  • Gideon Kodua 77' yellowcard
  • Shayden Morris 87' yellowcard
  • Nigel Cello Lonwijk 88' yellowcard
  • Nahki Wells 90'+1' goal
  • Devante Cole 90'+7' yellowcard
  • George Alan Saville 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal A. Sidibeh 11'
  • yellowcard Tanto Olaofe 65'
  • yellowcard M. Mothersille 65'
  • yellowcard Louie Barry 85'
  • yellowcard Lewis Bate 85'
  • yellowcard Owen Dodgson 90'+3'
League One
Mar 21, 2026 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
  • Emilio Lawrence 28' goal
  • Gideon Kodua 71' yellowcard
  • Davy van den Berg 72' yellowcard
  • Ali Al-Hamadi 72' yellowcard
  • Sverre Sandal 88' yellowcard
  • Shayden Morris 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joseph Olowu 45'
  • yellowcard A. Sidibeh 46'
  • yellowcard Joseph Olowu 50'
  • yellowcard M. Mothersille 68'
  • goal Oliver Norwood 78'
  • yellowcard Josh Stokes 84'
  • yellowcard Lewis Bate 85'
League One
Nov 8, 2025 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
League One
Jan 15, 2005 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Chris Coyne 29' goal
  • Steve Howard 54' goal
  • Kevin Nicholls 74' goal
League One
Sep 18, 2004 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Lee Mair 22' yellowcard
  • Jim Goodwin 74' yellowcard
  • Rickie Lambert 80' goal
  • goal Steve Robinson 33'
  • goal Rowan Vine 35'
  • goal Ahmet Brkovic 54'