League One Gameweek 6
Sep 10, 2026 8.00pm
The Lamex Stadium

Stevenage vs Luton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Barnsley 1 - 5 Stevenage
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Oliver Sanderson

Luton Town

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Luton 1 - 1 Leyton Orient
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Nahki Wells

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Luton Town win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Stevenage has a probability of 34.64% and a draw has a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.09%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest Stevenage win is 2-1 (8.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.84%).

Result

Stevenage 34.64% (+0.33)
Draw 25.9% (+0.04)
Luton Town 39.43% (-0.40)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.88% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.87% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 22.13% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 54.94% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 45.06% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 32.11% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 67.89% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 18.54% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 81.46% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Stevenage 27.23%
Draw 44.36%
Luton Town 28.41%

Team To Score First

Stevenage 45.59% (-0.01)
No Goal 6.31% (+0.01)
Luton Town 48.1%

Corners

Over 8 63.26%
Equal 8 10.96%
Under 8 25.79%
Over 9 51.6%
Equal 9 11.66%
Under 9 36.74%
Over 10.5 40.24%
Under 10.5 59.76%

Stevenage Goals

Over 1.5 37.34% (+0.32)
Under 1.5 62.66% (-0.32)
Over 2.5 15.12% (+0.21)
Under 2.5 84.88% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 4.95% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 95.05% (-0.11)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5 73.36% (-0.25)
Under 0.5 26.64% (+0.25)
Over 1.5 41.71% (-0.33)
Under 1.5 58.29% (+0.33)
Over 2.5 18.4% (-0.27)
Under 2.5 81.6% (+0.26)
Over 3.5 7.1% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 92.9% (+0.15)

Score analysis

Stevenage 34.66%
Draw 25.89%
Luton Town 39.43%
Stevenage
2-1 @ 8.24% (+0.07)
1-0 @ 7.71% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 5.2% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.48% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 2.65% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.63% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.75% (+0.10)
Total : 34.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.84%
0-0 @ 6.31% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.13% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 25.89%
Luton Town
1-2 @ 8.67% (-0.05)
0-1 @ 8.09% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.88% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 3.97% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 3.27% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.03)
Other @ 6.9% (-0.14)
Total : 39.43%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 26
Jan 10, 2026 12.30pm
0
0
LIVE Kenilworth Road Stadium
  • Jordan Clark 29' yellowcard
League One
Oct 4, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
EFL Cup
Aug 10, 2021 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 2 2
ET The Lamex Stadium
  • Elliott List 2' goal
  • Terence Vancooten 4' yellowcard
  • Ben Coker 26' goal
  • goal Cameron Jerome 5'
  • goal Admiral Muskwe 40'
  • yellowcard Henri Lansbury 44'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Osho 56'
  • yellowcard Glen Rea 58'
League Two
Feb 10, 2018 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ronnie Henry 84' yellowcard
  • Danny Newton 88' goal
  • Ben Wilmot 89' yellowcard
  • goal James Collins 85'
  • yellowcard James Collins 86'
  • yellowcard Jack Stacey 90'
League Two
Oct 14, 2017 3.00pm
7
1
HT : 3 1
FT
  • Luke Berry 3' goal
  • Danny Hylton 7' goal
  • Luke Berry 21' goal
  • Danny Hylton 52' goal
  • Luke Berry 62' goal
  • James Justin 90' goal
  • Luke Gambin 90' goal
  • yellowcard Jonathan Smith 11'
  • yellowcard Joe Martin 22'
  • goal Ben Kennedy 45'
League Two
Mar 11, 2017 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Luke Wilkinson 3'
  • yellowcard Tom Pett 8'
  • yellowcard Jack King 41'
  • goal Ben Kennedy 85'
  • yellowcard Ben Kennedy 86'
  • yellowcard Joel McAnuff 93'