League One Gameweek 11
Oct 17, 2026 3.00pm
King Power Stadium

Leicester City vs Doncaster Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Leicester City

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 3.00pm
Leicester 1 - 3 Peterborough
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Emil Riis

Doncaster Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 3.00pm
Doncaster 1 - 0 Burton Albion
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Jack Senior

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Leicester City win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for Doncaster Rovers has a probability of 31.63% and a draw has a probability of 24.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.43%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win is 1-2 (7.68%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.25%).

Result

Leicester City 44.33% ▼ (-0.10)
Draw 24.04% ▼ (-0.02)
Doncaster Rovers 31.63% ▲ (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.55% ▼ (-0.23)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.28% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 1.5 17.72% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 2.5 62.11% ▲ (+0.75)
Under 2.5 37.89% ▼ (-0.75)
Over 3.5 39.37% ▲ (+0.66)
Under 3.5 60.63% ▼ (-0.66)
Over 4.5 24% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 4.5 76% ▼ (-0.35)

First Half Winner

Leicester City 36.75% ▼ (-1.11)
Draw 38.06% ▼ (-1.15)
Doncaster Rovers 25.18% ▲ (+2.24)

Team To Score First

Leicester City 58.13% ▲ (+0.17)
No Goal 4.67% ▼ (-0.04)
Doncaster Rovers 37.2% ▼ (-0.13)

Corners

Over 8 77.61% ▲ (+6.11)
Equal 8 8.19% ▼ (-1.09)
Under 8 14.2% ▼ (-5.02)
Over 9 67.72% ▲ (+6.77)
Equal 9 9.9% ▼ (-0.67)
Under 9 22.39% ▼ (-6.11)
Over 10.5 56.81% ▲ (+6.89)
Under 10.5 43.19% ▼ (-6.89)

Leicester City Goals

Over 1.5 48.98% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 1.5 51.02% ▼ (-0.34)
Over 2.5 24.26% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 2.5 75.74% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 3.5 9.48% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 3.5 90.52% ▼ (-0.16)

Doncaster Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 69.01% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 30.99% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 39.03% ▲ (+0.71)
Under 1.5 60.97% ▼ (-0.71)
Over 2.5 16.88% ▲ (+0.37)
Under 2.5 83.12% ▼ (-0.37)
Over 3.5 5.92% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 94.08% ▼ (-0.07)

Score analysis

Leicester City 44.32%
Draw 24.04%
Doncaster Rovers 31.63%
Leicester City
2-1 @ 9.12% ▼ (-0.12)
1-0 @ 7.43% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 5.99% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.89% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 9.11% ▲ (+0.11)
Total : 44.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.25% ▼ (-0.41)
2-2 @ 6.64% ▲ (+0.22)
0-0 @ 4.67% ▼ (-0.04)
3-3 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.17)
Other @ 0.37% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 24.04%
Doncaster Rovers
1-2 @ 7.68% ▲ (+0.17)
0-1 @ 5.61% ▼ (-0.17)
0-2 @ 3.94% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 3.72% ▲ (+0.14)
2-3 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 5.55% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 31.63%

Head to Head

Championship
May 3, 2014 12.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • David Nugent 75' goal
Championship
Oct 5, 2013 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Mark Duffy 17' goal
  • yellowcard David Nugent 87'
Championship
Apr 7, 2012 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ben Marshall 78' goal
  • Paul Gallagher 88' goal
  • yellowcard Pascal Chimbonda 75'
Championship
Dec 17, 2011 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Billy Sharp 63' goal
  • Billy Sharp 65' goal
  • goal David Nugent 38'
  • yellowcard Steve Howard 73'
Championship
Apr 30, 2011 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Wayne Thomas 24' yellowcard
  • Stephen Brooker 50' goal
Championship
Dec 11, 2010 3.00pm
5
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Paul Gallagher 45' goal
  • Richie Wellens 61' goal
  • Kyle Naughton 69' goal
  • Darius Vassell 75' goal
  • Martyn Waghorn 90' goal
  • goal Billy Sharp 6'
  • yellowcard Wayne Thomas 55'