EFL Trophy Gameweek 2
Oct 6, 2026 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • Wanya Marçal 24' goal
  • Oliver Sanderson 59' goal
  • goal Emil Riis 69'

Stevenage vs Leicester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Sep 22, 2026 7.00pm
Walsall 1 - 6 Stevenage

Leicester City

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Sep 22, 2026 7.00pm
Leicester 6 - 1 Fulham U21s

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 44.59%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 30.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (7.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result

Stevenage 30.64%
Draw 24.72%
Leicester City 44.59%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.67%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.15%
Under 1.5 23.85%
Over 2.5 52.35% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 47.65% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 29.67%
Under 3.5 70.33%
Over 4.5 16.91%
Under 4.5 83.09%

First Half Winner

Stevenage 25.25%
Draw 42.89%
Leicester City 31.86%

Team To Score First

Stevenage 44.47% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 6.3%
Leicester City 49.23% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 58.6%
Equal 8 11.07%
Under 8 30.33%
Over 9 47.25%
Equal 9 11.35%
Under 9 41.4%
Over 10.5 36.54%
Under 10.5 63.46%

Stevenage Goals

Over 1.5 32.33%
Under 1.5 67.67%
Over 2.5 12.03%
Under 2.5 87.97%
Over 3.5 3.55%
Under 3.5 96.45%

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5 75.42%
Under 0.5 24.58%
Over 1.5 43.71%
Under 1.5 56.29%
Over 2.5 19.49%
Under 2.5 80.51%
Over 3.5 7.45%
Under 3.5 92.55%

Score analysis

Stevenage 30.65%
Draw 24.72%
Leicester City 44.59%
Stevenage
1-0 @ 7.72%
2-1 @ 7.33%
2-0 @ 4.79%
3-1 @ 2.89%
3-0 @ 2.27%
3-2 @ 2.19%
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 30.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.7%
0-0 @ 6.3%
2-2 @ 5.5%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 24.72%
Leicester City
0-1 @ 9.79%
1-2 @ 9.22%
0-2 @ 7.31%
1-3 @ 4.37%
0-3 @ 3.86%
2-3 @ 2.68%
Other @ 7.36%
Total : 44.59%