League One Gameweek 12
Oct 20, 2026 7.45pm
Kenilworth Road Stadium

Luton Town vs Barnsley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 12.30pm
MK Dons 2 - 1 Luton
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Nahki Wells

Barnsley

All competitions
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 3.00pm
Barnsley 1 - 2 Cambridge
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Cameron McGeehan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Luton Town win with a probability of 56.7%. A draw has a probability of 22.41% and a win for Barnsley has a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.18%) , while for a Barnsley win it is 0-1 (5.87%).

Result

Luton Town 56.7% ▲ (+0.09)
Draw 22.41% ▼ (-0.29)
Barnsley 20.9% ▲ (+0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.46% ▲ (+0.28)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.73% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 1.5 22.27% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 2.5 56% ▲ (+0.44)
Under 2.5 44% ▼ (-0.40)
Over 3.5 34.71% ▲ (+0.86)
Under 3.5 65.29% ▼ (-0.85)
Over 4.5 21.87% ▲ (+0.63)
Under 4.5 78.13% ▼ (-0.63)

First Half Winner

Luton Town 46.68% ▼ (-0.79)
Draw 34.69% ▲ (+1.12)
Barnsley 18.63% ▼ (-0.34)

Team To Score First

Luton Town 62.09% ▲ (+0.16)
No Goal 6.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Barnsley 31.86% ▼ (-0.15)

Corners

Over 8 66.05% ▼ (-6.77)
Equal 8 9.97% ▲ (+0.82)
Under 8 23.98% ▲ (+5.97)
Over 9 55.24% ▼ (-7.01)
Equal 9 10.81% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 9 33.95% ▲ (+6.78)
Over 10.5 44.43% ▼ (-6.65)
Under 10.5 55.57% ▲ (+6.65)

Luton Town Goals

Over 1.5 54.33% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 1.5 45.67% ▼ (-0.38)
Over 2.5 29.52% ▲ (+0.50)
Under 2.5 70.48% ▼ (-0.50)
Over 3.5 13.33% ▲ (+0.32)
Under 3.5 86.67% ▼ (-0.32)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5 56.08% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 0.5 43.92% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 1.5 24.57% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 1.5 75.43% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 2.5 8.33% ▲ (+0.45)
Under 2.5 91.67% ▼ (-0.44)
Over 3.5 2.39% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 3.5 97.61% ▼ (-0.21)

Score analysis

Luton Town 56.7%
Draw 22.41%
Barnsley 20.91%
Luton Town
1-0 @ 10.37% ▼ (-0.19)
2-1 @ 9.48% ▼ (-0.18)
2-0 @ 8.67% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.98% ▲ (+0.18)
3-0 @ 5.7% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.35% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 13.15% ▲ (+0.29)
Total : 56.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.18% ▼ (-0.27)
0-0 @ 6.05% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.84% ▼ (-0.08)
3-3 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.18% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 22.41%
Barnsley
0-1 @ 5.87%
1-2 @ 5.18% ▼ (-0.19)
0-2 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.13)
2-3 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.19)
Total : 20.91%

Head to Head

League One
Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
  • Nahki Wells 16' yellowcard
  • Devante Cole 64' yellowcard
  • J. Richards 64' yellowcard
  • Gideon Kodua 64' yellowcard
  • Kasey Palmer 79' goal
  • George Alan Saville 86' yellowcard
  • Nigel Cello Lonwijk 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal A. Phillips 26'
  • yellowcard David McGoldrick 56'
  • yellowcard G. Gent 56'
  • yellowcard K. Nwakali 70'
  • yellowcard Scott Banks 76'
  • yellowcard L. Farrell 76'
League One
Nov 22, 2025 3.00pm
5
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 31
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Allan Campbell 28' goal
  • Elijah Adebayo 59' goal
  • Allan Campbell 87' yellowcard
  • goal Carlton Morris 44'
  • yellowcard Bradley Collins 60'
  • yellowcard Liam Kitching 89'
Championship Gameweek 3
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Michal Helik 37' yellowcard
  • goal Amari'i Bell 4'
  • yellowcard Admiral Muskwe 41'
  • yellowcard Elijah Adebayo 45'
  • yellowcard Henri Lansbury 57'
  • yellowcard Harry Cornick 90'+2'
Championship Gameweek 40
Apr 5, 2021 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
  • Sonny Bradley 54' yellowcard
  • James Collins 83' goal
  • goal Daryl Dike 27'
  • goal Daryl Dike 59'
Championship Gameweek 1
Sep 12, 2020 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Oakwell Stadium
  • Cauley Woodrow 7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luke Berry 31'
  • yellowcard James Collins 57'
  • goal James Collins 71'
  • yellowcard Pelly Ruddock 84'