League One Gameweek 13
Oct 24, 2026 12.30pm
Kenilworth Road Stadium

Luton Town vs Leicester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions
Last game
Oct 20, 2026 7.45pm
Luton 2 - 1 Barnsley
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Nahki Wells

Leicester City

All competitions
Last game
Oct 20, 2026 7.45pm
Bromley 0 - 4 Leicester
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Emil Riis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Luton Town win with a probability of 47.57%. A win for Leicester City has a probability of 26.52% and a draw has a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Leicester City win is 0-1 (7.42%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.61%).

Result

Luton Town 47.57% ▼ (-1.36)
Draw 25.9% ▲ (+0.37)
Leicester City 26.52% ▲ (+1.00)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.78% ▲ (+1.49)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.39% ▲ (+1.10)
Under 1.5 24.61% ▼ (-1.11)
Over 2.5 52.11% ▲ (+0.75)
Under 2.5 47.89% ▼ (-0.75)
Over 3.5 31.41% ▲ (+1.06)
Under 3.5 68.59% ▼ (-1.05)
Over 4.5 18.35% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 4.5 81.65% ▼ (-0.21)

First Half Winner

Luton Town 41.38% ▼ (-0.15)
Draw 36.72% ▼ (-1.54)
Leicester City 21.91% ▲ (+1.70)

Team To Score First

Luton Town 58.05% ▼ (-2.54)
No Goal 6.99% ▼ (-0.63)
Leicester City 34.96% ▲ (+3.16)

Corners

Over 8 60.23% ▼ (-2.07)
Equal 8 10.61% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 8 29.16% ▲ (+2.09)
Over 9 49.21% ▼ (-1.86)
Equal 9 11.02% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 9 39.77% ▲ (+2.07)
Over 10.5 38.66% ▼ (-1.52)
Under 10.5 61.34% ▲ (+1.52)

Luton Town Goals

Over 1.5 46.85% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 53.15% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 22.2% ▼ (-0.52)
Under 2.5 77.8% ▲ (+0.52)
Over 3.5 8.77% ▼ (-0.72)
Under 3.5 91.23% ▲ (+0.72)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5 62.93% ▲ (+2.59)
Under 0.5 37.07% ▼ (-2.59)
Over 1.5 29.55% ▲ (+1.90)
Under 1.5 70.45% ▼ (-1.90)
Over 2.5 10.81% ▲ (+1.13)
Under 2.5 89.19% ▼ (-1.13)
Over 3.5 3.16% ▲ (+0.35)
Under 3.5 96.84% ▼ (-0.35)

Score analysis

Luton Town 47.57%
Draw 25.9%
Leicester City 26.53%
Luton Town
1-0 @ 10.2% ▼ (-0.47)
2-1 @ 9.36% ▲ (+0.12)
2-0 @ 7.63% ▼ (-0.14)
3-1 @ 4.99% ▲ (+0.25)
3-0 @ 3.84% ▼ (-0.50)
3-2 @ 3.14% ▲ (+0.21)
Other @ 8.41% ▼ (-0.84)
Total : 47.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.61% ▲ (+0.33)
0-0 @ 6.99% ▼ (-0.63)
2-2 @ 5.48% ▲ (+0.33)
3-3 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.24)
Other @ 0.36% ▲ (+0.13)
Total : 25.9%
Leicester City
0-1 @ 7.42% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.09% ▲ (+0.08)
0-2 @ 4.03% ▲ (+0.19)
1-3 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.27)
2-3 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.28)
0-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.8% ▲ (+0.21)
Total : 26.53%

Head to Head

EFL Cup Gameweek 3
Sep 24, 2019 7.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT
  • goal Demarai Gray 34'
  • goal James Justin 44'
  • goal Youri Tielemans 79'
  • goal Kelechi Iheanacho 86'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 26, 2017 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Riyad Mahrez 83'
Championship
Feb 3, 2007 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Mark Yeates 6' goal
  • Nils-Eric Johansson 80' yellowcard
  • Patrick Kisnorbo 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Drew Talbot 73'
  • yellowcard Russell Perrett 83'
Championship
Aug 5, 2006 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Leon Barnett 8' goal
  • Rowan Vine 56' yellowcard
  • Lewis Emanuel 57' yellowcard
  • Carlos Edwards 79' goal
  • yellowcard Pat McCarthy 50'
  • yellowcard Alan Maybury 53'
  • yellowcard Danny Tiatto 64'
Championship
Mar 11, 2006 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Steve Howard 43' yellowcard
  • Steve Howard 53' goal
  • Chris Coyne 73' yellowcard
  • goal Matty Fryatt 16'
  • yellowcard Joey Gudjonsson 41'
  • yellowcard Iain Hume 45'
Championship
Aug 27, 2005 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Momo Sylla 20' yellowcard
  • Danny Tiatto 36' yellowcard
  • Joey Gudjonsson 87' yellowcard
  • goal Ahmet Brkovic 42'
  • goal Kevin Nicholls 90'