League One Gameweek 9
Oct 3, 2026 3.00pm
Oakwell Stadium

Barnsley vs MK Dons - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnsley

All competitions
Last game
Sep 26, 2026 3.00pm
Bradford 0 - 0 Barnsley
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Cameron McGeehan

MK Dons

All competitions
Last game
Sep 26, 2026 3.00pm
MK Dons 0 - 0 Bromley
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Aaron Collins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-0 (8.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result

Barnsley 33.47% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 26.33%
MK Dons 40.2% ▲ (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.64% ▼ (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.32% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 24.68% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 51.08% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 48.92% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 29.62% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 70.38% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 4.5 16.53% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 83.47% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Barnsley 26.13% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 36.08% ▼ (-0.02)
MK Dons 37.78% ▲ (+0.03)

Team To Score First

Barnsley 41.36% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 7.13% ▲ (+0.02)
MK Dons 51.51% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 73.88% ▼ (-0.02)
Equal 8 8.97%
Under 8 17.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 9 63.41% ▼ (-0.02)
Equal 9 10.47%
Under 9 26.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 10.5 52.25% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 10.5 47.75% ▲ (+0.01)

Barnsley Goals

Over 1.5 34.87% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 65.13% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 13.78% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 86.22% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.17% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 95.83% ▲ (+0.02)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5 72.86% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 27.14% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 40.78% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 59.22% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 16.9% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 83.1% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 6.05%
Under 3.5 93.95%

Score analysis

Barnsley 33.48%
Draw 26.33%
MK Dons 40.21%
Barnsley
1-0 @ 8.28% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.52% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.34% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.68%
3-0 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.02% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 33.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.02% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.13% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.74% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 26.33%
MK Dons
0-1 @ 9.29% ▲ (+0.04)
1-2 @ 8.59% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.87% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 4.11% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.96% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.49%
Other @ 5.9%
Total : 40.21%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 3.00pm
4
4
HT : 0 1
FT Stadium mk
  • Mohamed Eisa 48' goal
  • Jonathan Leko 52' goal
  • Mohamed Eisa 61' goal
  • Warren O'Hora 69' goal
  • goal Herbie Kane 30'
  • goal James Norwood 73'
  • goal Max Watters 75'
  • goal Max Watters 86'
League One Gameweek 19
Nov 19, 2022 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Oakwell Stadium
  • Jordan Williams 18' goal
  • Adam Phillips 50' goal
  • Herbie Kane 68' goal
  • goal Mohamed Eisa 40'
League One
Jan 24, 2015 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Dele Alli 57' goal
  • Will Grigg 63' goal
  • yellowcard Ben Pearson 56'
League One
Sep 13, 2014 3.00pm
3
5
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Brad Abbott 37' yellowcard
  • Conor Hourihane 82' goal
  • Conor Hourihane 87' goal
  • Devante Cole 91' goal
  • goal Benik Afobe 33'
  • yellowcard Mark Randall 35'
  • goal Samir Carruthers 45'
  • goal Dele Alli 52'
  • goal Will Grigg 71'
  • goal Ben Reeves 79'
FA Cup
Feb 16, 2013 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Dean Bowditch 0' goal
  • goal Chris Dagnall 0'
  • goal Marlon Harewood 0'
League One
Jan 21, 2006 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jacob Burns 17' yellowcard
  • Neil Austin 68' yellowcard
  • Marc Richards 77' goal
  • Bobby Hassell 79' goal
  • yellowcard Wade Small 39'
  • yellowcard Ben Chorley 89'