League One Gameweek 13
Oct 24, 2026 3.00pm
The Lamex Stadium

Stevenage vs MK Dons - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions
Last game
Oct 20, 2026 7.45pm
Stevenage 3 - 0 Plymouth
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Oliver Sanderson

MK Dons

All competitions
Last game
Oct 20, 2026 7.45pm
Blackpool 2 - 0 MK Dons
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Aaron Collins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Stevenage win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for MK Dons has a probability of 33.07% and a draw has a probability of 25.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest MK Dons win is 0-1 (8.42%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.21%).

Result

Stevenage 41.08% ▲ (+2.25)
Draw 25.85% ▼ (-1.26)
MK Dons 33.07% ▼ (-1.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.14% ▲ (+1.61)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.9% ▲ (+1.50)
Under 1.5 25.1% ▼ (-1.50)
Over 2.5 50.64% ▲ (+2.25)
Under 2.5 49.36% ▼ (-2.25)
Over 3.5 28.9% ▲ (+1.42)
Under 3.5 71.1% ▼ (-1.43)
Over 4.5 15.96% ▲ (+1.28)
Under 4.5 84.04% ▼ (-1.27)

First Half Winner

Stevenage 29.8% ▼ (-0.81)
Draw 43.53% ▲ (+0.96)
MK Dons 26.66% ▼ (-0.17)

Team To Score First

Stevenage 50.2% ▼ (-0.67)
No Goal 6.88% ▼ (-0.67)
MK Dons 42.92% ▲ (+1.35)

Corners

Over 8 58.34% ▼ (-3.86)
Equal 8 11.25% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 8 30.41% ▲ (+3.75)
Over 9 46.83% ▼ (-3.61)
Equal 9 11.52% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 9 41.66% ▲ (+3.86)
Over 10.5 36% ▼ (-3.08)
Under 10.5 64% ▲ (+3.08)

Stevenage Goals

Over 1.5 40.26% ▲ (+2.61)
Under 1.5 59.74% ▼ (-2.61)
Over 2.5 17.15% ▲ (+1.93)
Under 2.5 82.85% ▼ (-1.94)
Over 3.5 5.82% ▲ (+0.98)
Under 3.5 94.18% ▼ (-0.97)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5 67.69% ▼ (-0.75)
Under 0.5 32.31% ▲ (+0.76)
Over 1.5 34.22% ▼ (-0.28)
Under 1.5 65.78% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 2.5 12.58% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 2.5 87.42% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 3.5 4.04% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 3.5 95.96% ▲ (+0.11)

Score analysis

Stevenage 41.09%
Draw 25.85%
MK Dons 33.06%
Stevenage
1-0 @ 9.8% ▼ (-0.26)
2-1 @ 8.71% ▲ (+0.40)
2-0 @ 6.58% ▲ (+0.13)
3-1 @ 4.13% ▲ (+0.30)
3-0 @ 3.27% ▲ (+0.46)
3-2 @ 2.82% ▲ (+0.20)
Other @ 5.78% ▲ (+1.05)
Total : 41.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.21% ▼ (-0.55)
0-0 @ 6.88% ▼ (-0.67)
2-2 @ 5.61% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.04% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 25.85%
MK Dons
0-1 @ 8.42% ▼ (-0.61)
1-2 @ 7.74% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 5.47% ▼ (-0.33)
1-3 @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.18)
2-3 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.13)
0-3 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 4% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 33.06%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Nov 16, 2021 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
ET The Lamex Stadium
  • Jake Taylor 51' yellowcard
  • Jamie Reid 61' goal
  • Luke Norris 120'+1' goal
  • Adam Smith 120'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Harry Darling 5'
  • yellowcard Ethan Robson 11'
  • yellowcard Hiram Boateng 34'
  • goal Harry Darling 37'
  • redcard Josh Martin 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Daniel Harvie 75'
  • yellowcard David Kasumu 112'
  • yellowcard Aiden Baldwin 117'
  • redcard Harry Darling 119'
FA Cup
Nov 6, 2021 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stadium mk
  • Harry Darling 34' goal
  • Aiden Baldwin 36' yellowcard
  • Max Watters 76' goal
  • yellowcard J 40'
  • goal Bradley Barry 70'
  • goal Elliott List 73'
EFL Trophy
Oct 6, 2020 5.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • Louis Thompson 45'+1' goal
  • Luther Wildin 52' yellowcard
  • Romain Vincelot 64' yellowcard
  • Inih Effiong 66' goal
  • goal Carlton Morris 32'
  • yellowcard John Freeman 37'
  • goal Jay Bird 38'
  • goal Jay Bird 84'
  • yellowcard David Kasumu 90'
EFL Trophy Gameweek 3
Sep 3, 2019 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT The Lamex Stadium (Stevenage, Hertfordshire)
  • goal Conor McGrandles 16'
  • goal Sam Nombe 78'
  • goal Sam Nombe 84'
League Two Gameweek 38
Mar 16, 2019 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadium mk (Milton Keynes, Buckinghamshire)
  • Chuks Aneke 83' goal
  • yellowcard Michael Timlin 23'
  • goal Ilias Chair 30'
  • yellowcard Alex Revell 70'
  • yellowcard Scott Cuthbert 94'
League Two Gameweek 19
Nov 24, 2018 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT The Lamex Stadium (Stevenage, Hertfordshire)
  • Steve Seddon 21' goal
  • Ben Kennedy 34' yellowcard
  • Johnny Hunt 67' yellowcard
  • Joel Byrom 79' yellowcard
  • Scott Cuthbert 84' goal
  • Ben Kennedy 90' goal
  • Ben Nugent 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Gilbey 22'
  • goal Rhys Healey 29'
  • goal Kieran Agard 68'
  • yellowcard George Williams 84'
  • yellowcard Rhys Healey 89'