League One Gameweek 10
Oct 10, 2026 12.30pm
Home Park

Plymouth Argyle vs AFC Wimbledon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
Last game
Oct 3, 2026 3.00pm
Leyton Orient 0 - 2 Plymouth
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Aribim Pepple

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last game
Oct 3, 2026 3.00pm
AFC Wimbledon 0 - 0 Stevenage
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Myles Hippolyte

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 49.39%. A win for AFC Wimbledon has a probability of 26.38% and a draw has a probability of 24.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win is 1-2 (6.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.1%).

Result

Plymouth Argyle 49.39% ▲ (+1.28)
Draw 24.23% ▲ (+0.16)
AFC Wimbledon 26.38% ▼ (-1.43)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.16% ▼ (-0.46)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.23% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 1.5 20.77% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 2.5 56.89% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 43.11% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 3.5 34.14% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 3.5 65.86% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 4.5 20.16% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 4.5 79.84% ▲ (+0.18)

First Half Winner

Plymouth Argyle 37.53% ▼ (-0.22)
Draw 41.39% ▲ (+0.36)
AFC Wimbledon 21.08% ▼ (-0.15)

Team To Score First

Plymouth Argyle 58.82% ▲ (+0.47)
No Goal 5.53% ▼ (-0.03)
AFC Wimbledon 35.65% ▼ (-0.43)

Corners

Over 8 68.61% ▲ (+0.77)
Equal 8 10.13% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 8 21.26% ▼ (-0.48)
Over 9 57.33% ▲ (+1.04)
Equal 9 11.28% ▼ (-0.28)
Under 9 31.39% ▼ (-0.77)
Over 10.5 45.85% ▲ (+1.24)
Under 10.5 54.15% ▼ (-1.24)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 1.5 50.16% ▲ (+1.05)
Under 1.5 49.84% ▼ (-1.05)
Over 2.5 24.78% ▲ (+0.86)
Under 2.5 75.22% ▼ (-0.85)
Over 3.5 10.03% ▲ (+0.56)
Under 3.5 89.97% ▼ (-0.57)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5 63.26% ▼ (-1.15)
Under 0.5 36.74% ▲ (+1.15)
Over 1.5 31.05% ▼ (-1.27)
Under 1.5 68.95% ▲ (+1.27)
Over 2.5 11.52% ▼ (-1.00)
Under 2.5 88.48% ▲ (+1.00)
Over 3.5 3.47% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 3.5 96.53% ▲ (+0.43)

Score analysis

Plymouth Argyle 49.38%
Draw 24.23%
AFC Wimbledon 26.38%
Plymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 9.56% ▲ (+0.07)
1-0 @ 9.08% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.66% ▲ (+0.30)
3-1 @ 5.4% ▲ (+0.11)
3-0 @ 4.69% ▲ (+0.28)
3-2 @ 3.22% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 9.77% ▲ (+0.56)
Total : 49.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.1% ▲ (+0.12)
2-2 @ 5.9% ▲ (+0.08)
0-0 @ 5.53% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.23%
AFC Wimbledon
1-2 @ 6.82% ▼ (-0.10)
0-1 @ 6.15% ▼ (-0.16)
0-2 @ 3.59% ▼ (-0.17)
1-3 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.25)
2-3 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.24)
0-3 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.42)
Total : 26.38%

Head to Head

League One
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Cherry Red Records Stadium
  • Alistair Smith 51' goal
  • Antwoine Hackford 65' yellowcard
  • Zack Nelson 71' yellowcard
  • Aron Sasu 71' yellowcard
  • Osman Foyo 81' yellowcard
  • goal Alex Mitchell 6'
  • yellowcard Aribim Pepple 62'
  • yellowcard Matthew Sorinola 62'
  • goal Lorent Tolaj 68'
  • yellowcard X. Amaechi 69'
  • goal Aribim Pepple 76'
  • yellowcard Julio Pleguezuelo 85'
League One
Oct 18, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
EFL Trophy
Dec 21, 2022 7.00pm
3
3
HT : 0 3
FT Home Park
  • Sam Cosgrove 61' goal
  • Sam Cosgrove 72' goal
  • Sam Cosgrove 76' goal
  • goal Kyle Hudlin 10'
  • goal Kyle Hudlin 17'
  • goal Ayoub Assal 45'+1'
League One Gameweek 26
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ryan Hardie 29' goal
  • Danny Mayor 32' yellowcard
  • Ryan Broom 61' goal
  • Steven Sessegnon 90'+3' yellowcard
League One Gameweek 8
Sep 18, 2021 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ethan Chislett 14' yellowcard
  • Luke McCormick 60' yellowcard
  • goal Ryan Hardie 47'
  • yellowcard Michael Cooper 68'
  • yellowcard Ryan Hardie 88'
League One Gameweek 39
Apr 2, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Home Park
  • Sam Woods 11' goal
  • Tyrese Fornah 29' yellowcard