League Two Gameweek 11
Oct 17, 2026 3.00pm
Blundell Park

Grimsby Town vs Northampton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Grimsby Town

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 3.00pm
Port Vale 1 - 0 Grimsby Town
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Kieran Green

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 3.00pm
York City 1 - 1 Northampton
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Joe O'Brien-Whitmarsh

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 56.25%. A draw has a probability of 23.26% and a win for Northampton Town has a probability of 20.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.04%) and 2-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.22%) , while for a Northampton Town win it is 0-1 (6.36%).

Result

Grimsby Town 56.25% ▼ (-4.04)
Draw 23.26% ▲ (+0.81)
Northampton Town 20.49% ▲ (+3.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.61% ▲ (+1.16)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.16% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 1.5 24.84% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 2.5 51.06% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 2.5 48.94% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 3.5 29.03% ▲ (+0.61)
Under 3.5 70.97% ▼ (-0.61)
Over 4.5 16.91% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 4.5 83.09% ▲ (+0.14)

First Half Winner

Grimsby Town 43.94% ▲ (+1.75)
Draw 39.21% ▼ (-0.52)
Northampton Town 16.86% ▼ (-1.22)

Team To Score First

Grimsby Town 61.14% ▼ (-1.25)
No Goal 6.63% ▼ (-0.16)
Northampton Town 32.23% ▲ (+1.40)

Corners

Over 8 67.97% ▲ (+0.38)
Equal 8 9.81% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 8 22.22% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 9 57.14% ▲ (+0.76)
Equal 9 10.83% ▼ (-0.39)
Under 9 32.03% ▼ (-0.38)
Over 10.5 46.15% ▲ (+1.08)
Under 10.5 53.85% ▼ (-1.08)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 1.5 51.32% ▼ (-2.50)
Under 1.5 48.68% ▲ (+2.50)
Over 2.5 25.38% ▼ (-1.86)
Under 2.5 74.62% ▲ (+1.86)
Over 3.5 10.21% ▼ (-0.80)
Under 3.5 89.79% ▲ (+0.81)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5 55.72% ▲ (+3.59)
Under 0.5 44.28% ▼ (-3.59)
Over 1.5 22.35% ▲ (+3.07)
Under 1.5 77.65% ▼ (-3.06)
Over 2.5 6.67% ▲ (+1.37)
Under 2.5 93.33% ▼ (-1.38)
Over 3.5 1.64% ▲ (+0.44)
Under 3.5 98.36% ▼ (-0.44)

Score analysis

Grimsby Town 56.26%
Draw 23.26%
Northampton Town 20.48%
Grimsby Town
1-0 @ 11.85% ▼ (-0.72)
2-1 @ 10.04% ▼ (-0.37)
2-0 @ 9.83% ▼ (-1.00)
3-0 @ 5.81% ▼ (-0.93)
3-1 @ 5.75% ▼ (-0.14)
3-2 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 10.16% ▼ (-0.82)
Total : 56.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.22% ▲ (+0.39)
0-0 @ 6.63% ▼ (-0.16)
2-2 @ 4.57% ▲ (+0.49)
Other @ 0.05% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 23.26%
Northampton Town
0-1 @ 6.36% ▲ (+0.66)
1-2 @ 5.24% ▲ (+0.65)
0-2 @ 3.05% ▲ (+0.66)
1-3 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.42)
2-3 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.24)
Other @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.44)
Total : 20.48%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Sam Hoskins 18' goal
  • goal Luke Waterfall 74'
  • goal Anthony Glennon 90'+1'
League Two Gameweek 2
Aug 6, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Blundell Park
  • Jordan Maguire-Drew 88' goal
  • goal Sam Hoskins 74'
  • yellowcard Ryan Haynes 90'+1'
League Two Gameweek 36
Feb 29, 2020 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Blundell Park
  • Ludvig Ohman 20' yellowcard
  • goal Charlie Goode 9'
  • goal Callum Morton 26'
  • goal Callum Morton 82'
League Two Gameweek 19
Nov 23, 2019 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Scott Wharton 25' goal
  • Vadaine Oliver 41' goal
  • Vadaine Oliver 60' yellowcard
  • yellowcard James McKeown 42'
  • yellowcard Matt Green 52'
  • yellowcard Harry Clifton 81'
  • yellowcard Ahkeem Rose 91'
League Two Gameweek 38
Mar 16, 2019 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Blundell Park (Cleethorpes, North East Lincolnshire)
  • Jake Hessenthaler 51' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sam Hoskins 8'
  • yellowcard David Buchanan 45'
League Two Gameweek 19
Nov 24, 2018 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Sixfields Stadium (Northampton, East Midlands)
  • Andrew Williams 4' goal
  • Kevin van Veen 74' goal
  • goal Charles Vernam 36'
  • goal Harry Cardwell 80'
  • redcard Danny Collins 86'
  • yellowcard Luke Hendrie 90'