League Two Gameweek 5
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
The EV Charger Points Stadium

Cheltenham Town vs Grimsby Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
Last game
Sep 1, 2026 7.45pm
Cheltenham 3 - 2 York City
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Charlie McCann

Grimsby Town

All competitions
Last game
Sep 1, 2026 7.45pm
Accrington 2 - 2 Grimsby Town
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Andy Cook

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 51.14%. A draw has a probability of 26.13% and a win for Cheltenham Town has a probability of 22.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (9.74%) and 1-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.97%) , while for a Cheltenham Town win it is 1-0 (7.29%).

Result

Cheltenham Town 22.76% (-0.13)
Draw 26.13%
Grimsby Town 51.14% (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.8% (-0.16)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.35% (-0.39)
Under 1.5 27.65% (+0.38)
Over 2.5 47.05% (-0.45)
Under 2.5 52.95% (+0.45)
Over 3.5 26.11% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 73.89% (-0.25)
Over 4.5 14.37% (+0.16)
Under 4.5 85.63% (-0.17)

First Half Winner

Cheltenham Town 18.84% (+0.33)
Draw 43.86% (+0.16)
Grimsby Town 37.29% (-0.50)

Team To Score First

Cheltenham Town 34.76% (+0.88)
No Goal 8.33% (+0.17)
Grimsby Town 56.91% (-1.05)

Corners

Over 8 59.95% (+2.25)
Equal 8 11.49% (+0.17)
Under 8 28.56% (-2.41)
Over 9 48.03% (+1.86)
Equal 9 11.92% (+0.40)
Under 9 40.05% (-2.25)
Over 10.5 36.72% (+1.33)
Under 10.5 63.28% (-1.33)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 1.5 23.74% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 76.26% (+0.29)
Over 2.5 7.25% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 92.75% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 1.84% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.16% (-0.02)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5 77.94% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 22.06% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 46.49% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 53.51% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 20.93% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 79.07% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 7.85% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 92.15% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Cheltenham Town 22.75%
Draw 26.13%
Grimsby Town 51.14%
Cheltenham Town
1-0 @ 7.29% (+0.14)
2-1 @ 5.54% (-0.18)
2-0 @ 3.59% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 1.89% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.57% (+0.08)
3-0 @ 1.16% (-0.18)
Other @ 1.71% (+0.03)
Total : 22.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.97% (-0.07)
0-0 @ 8.33% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.13% (-0.02)
Total : 26.13%
Grimsby Town
0-1 @ 12.05% (+0.12)
0-2 @ 9.74% (+0.17)
1-2 @ 9.34% (-0.17)
1-3 @ 4.93% (+0.09)
0-3 @ 4.91% (-0.17)
2-3 @ 2.45% (+0.10)
Other @ 7.72% (+0.05)
Total : 51.14%

Head to Head

League Two
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT The EV Charger Points Stadium
  • A. Jude-Boyd 68' yellowcard
  • goal Kieran Green 5'
  • yellowcard Jaze Kabia 60'
  • yellowcard R. Staunton 60'
  • yellowcard Andy Cook 71'
  • goal Jaze Kabia 74'
  • yellowcard George McEachran 81'
  • yellowcard Clarke Oduor 81'
League Two
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
7
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 34
Mar 1, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Jonny-Rocks Stadium
  • Ethan Williams 26' goal
  • Arkell Jude-Boyd 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kieran Green 13'
  • yellowcard Denver Hume 22'
  • goal Harvey Rodgers 53'
  • yellowcard Jason Svanthorsson 85'
League Two Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Blundell Park
  • Jordan Davies 44' goal
  • Charles Vernam 51' goal
  • Charles Vernam 71' yellowcard
  • Jordan Davies 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Bakare 36'
  • yellowcard Lewis Payne 38'
  • yellowcard Tom Pett 43'
  • yellowcard Matt Taylor 57'
  • goal Luke Young 61'
  • yellowcard Ryan Bowman 77'
  • goal Matt Taylor 82'
  • yellowcard Scot Bennett 90'
League Two Gameweek 40
Apr 5, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Blundell Park
  • Lenell John-Lewis 8' goal
  • goal Will Boyle 34'
League Two Gameweek 3
Oct 13, 2020 7.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT Jonny-Rocks Stadium
  • Andrew Williams 28' goal
  • Elliott Bonds 49' yellowcard
  • goal Owura Edwards 23'
  • goal James Tilley 39'
  • yellowcard Matthew Pollock 67'
  • yellowcard Luke Hendrie 84'
  • goal Owen Windsor 90'+4'