League Two Gameweek 10
Oct 10, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Vale Park
  • George Hall 42' yellowcard
  • Kyle Dempsey 45' goal
  • yellowcard Finlay Cartwright 45'+1'

Port Vale vs Grimsby Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
Last game
Oct 3, 2026 3.00pm
Colchester 0 - 0 Port Vale
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
George Byers

Grimsby Town

All competitions
Last game
Oct 3, 2026 3.00pm
Grimsby Town 1 - 2 Shrewsbury
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Kieran Green

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Port Vale win with a probability of 36.39%. A win for Grimsby Town has a probability of 34.22% and a draw has a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win is 0-1 (11.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.72%).

Result

Port Vale 36.39% ▲ (+0.11)
Draw 29.4% ▼ (-0.03)
Grimsby Town 34.22% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.14% ▲ (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.11% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 34.89% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 38.15% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 2.5 61.85% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 3.5 18.87% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 81.13% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 4.5 9.24% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 4.5 90.76% ▼ (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Port Vale 25.94% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 45.36% ▲ (+0.01)
Grimsby Town 28.7% ▼ (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Port Vale 42.84% ▲ (+0.25)
No Goal 10.93% ▼ (-0.07)
Grimsby Town 46.23% ▼ (-0.18)

Corners

Over 8 62.3% ▲ (+0.22)
Equal 8 11.8% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 8 25.9% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 9 49.74% ▲ (+0.22)
Equal 9 12.56%
Under 9 37.7% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 10.5 37.64% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 10.5 62.36% ▼ (-0.19)

Port Vale Goals

Over 1.5 30.36% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 69.64% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 2.5 10.29% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 89.71% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 2.89% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 97.11% ▼ (-0.05)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5 64.54%
Under 0.5 35.46%
Over 1.5 28.86% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 71.14% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 9.66% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 90.34% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.71% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.29% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Port Vale 36.38%
Draw 29.4%
Grimsby Town 34.21%
Port Vale
1-0 @ 12.28%
2-1 @ 7.51% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.94% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.85% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 36.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.72%
0-0 @ 10.93% ▼ (-0.07)
2-2 @ 4.11% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 29.4%
Grimsby Town
0-1 @ 11.67% ▼ (-0.06)
1-2 @ 7.22%
0-2 @ 6.3% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.75%
0-3 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 34.21%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Vale Park
  • Mitch Clark 26' yellowcard
  • Lorent Tolaj 78' goal
  • Jesse Debrah 90'+5' goal
  • goal Danny Rose 24'
  • yellowcard Jason Svanthorsson 40'
  • goal Danny Rose 52'
  • yellowcard George McEachran 62'
  • yellowcard Harvey Rodgers 64'
League Two Gameweek 23
Dec 29, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Blundell Park
  • David Artell 16' yellowcard
  • Cameron McJannett 29' goal
  • Jordan Davies 71' yellowcard
  • Doug Tharme 82' goal
  • Jason Svanthorsson 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Jesse Debrah 15'
League Two Gameweek 45
May 1, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Blundell Park
  • Matt Green 32' goal
  • Matt Green 45' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leon Legge 54'
  • yellowcard Cristian Montano 83'
  • redcard Cristian Montano 87'
League Two Gameweek 23
Jan 9, 2021 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Vale Park
  • Shaun Brisley 8' goal
  • Luke Joyce 11' yellowcard
  • Devante Rodney 15' goal
  • Luke Waterfall 60' goal
  • Shaun Brisley 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Max Wright 86'
League Two Gameweek 43
Apr 10, 2020 3.00pm
Vale Park
League Two Gameweek 5
Aug 24, 2019 3.00pm
5
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Jordan Cook 20' goal
  • Moses Ogbu 51' goal
  • Matt Green 57' goal
  • Elliott Whitehouse 72' yellowcard
  • Luke Waterfall 80' goal
  • James Hanson 86' goal
  • Elliott Hewitt 90' yellowcard
  • goal Elliott Whitehouse 13' (OG)
  • yellowcard David Worrall 55'
  • goal Nathan Smith 62'
  • yellowcard Luke Joyce 73'