League Two Gameweek 6
Sep 12, 2026 3.00pm
Vale Park

Port Vale vs Exeter City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 12.30pm
Salford City 0 - 0 Port Vale
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Oliver Lynch

Exeter City

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Exeter 0 - 0 Walsall
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
J. Fitzwater

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Port Vale win with a probability of 45.48%. A draw has a probability of 28.41% and a win for Exeter City has a probability of 26.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.84%) , while for a Exeter City win it is 0-1 (9.2%).

Result

Port Vale 45.48% (-0.25)
Draw 28.41% (+0.11)
Exeter City 26.08% (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.08% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.91% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 33.09% (+0.25)
Over 2.5 41.01% (-0.28)
Under 2.5 58.96% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 20.47% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 79.53% (+0.16)
Over 4.5 10.54% (-0.12)
Under 4.5 89.46% (+0.11)

First Half Winner

Port Vale 30.14% (-0.02)
Draw 44.79% (+0.02)
Exeter City 25.07%

Team To Score First

Port Vale 49.68% (-0.05)
No Goal 10.63% (+0.08)
Exeter City 39.69% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 63.29% (+0.02)
Equal 8 11.7%
Under 8 25% (-0.04)
Over 9 50.71% (+0.03)
Equal 9 12.58% (+0.01)
Under 9 36.71% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 38.5% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 61.5% (-0.01)

Port Vale Goals

Over 1.5 38.55% (-0.32)
Under 1.5 61.45% (+0.32)
Over 2.5 15.3% (-0.22)
Under 2.5 84.7% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 4.96% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 95.04% (+0.11)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5 58.26% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 41.74% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 23.64% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 76.36% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 7.28% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 92.72% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.84% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 98.16% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Port Vale 45.48%
Draw 28.4%
Exeter City 26.09%
Port Vale
1-0 @ 13.23% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 8.82% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.15% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 3.74% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.82% (-0.03)
Other @ 4.88% (-0.12)
Total : 45.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.84% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 10.63% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 4.22% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.08% (+0.01)
Total : 28.4%
Exeter City
0-1 @ 9.2% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 6.08%
0-2 @ 4.24% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.97%
0-3 @ 1.47% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 1.76% (+0.02)
Total : 26.09%

Head to Head

League One
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Vale Park
  • Dajaune Brown 64' yellowcard
  • C. Humphreys 64' yellowcard
  • Jayden Stockley 64' yellowcard
  • Jaheim Headley 73' yellowcard
  • C. Humphreys 75' goal
  • Ben Waine 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Carlos Gomes 22'
  • goal Jayden Wareham 47'
  • yellowcard Timur Tuterov 55'
  • yellowcard J. McMillan 55'
  • goal Timur Tuterov 59'
  • yellowcard R. Cole 68'
  • yellowcard Joshua Brendan David Magennis 68'
  • yellowcard S. Cox 82'
League One
Sep 13, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 44
Apr 13, 2024 3.00pm
2
4
HT : 2 0
FT Vale Park
  • Tom Sang 28' yellowcard
  • Ethan Chislett 31' goal
  • Baylee Dipepa 40' goal
  • yellowcard Millenic Alli 7'
  • yellowcard Caleb Watts 35'
  • yellowcard Ben Purrington 41'
  • yellowcard Luke Harris 47'
  • goal Millenic Alli 57'
  • goal Zak Jules 67'
  • goal Luke Harris 79'
  • goal Millenic Alli 89'
League One Gameweek 21
Dec 9, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT St James Park
  • Will Aimson 72' yellowcard
  • James Scott 84' yellowcard
  • Will Aimson 90'+1' redcard
  • goal Oliver Arblaster 29'
  • yellowcard Conor Grant 54'
  • yellowcard Jesse Debrah 85'
League One Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Vale Park
  • William Forrester 60' goal
FA Cup
Nov 5, 2022 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Vale Park
  • Dennis Politic 25' goal
  • Daniel Butterworth 87' goal
  • goal Jevani Brown 43'
  • goal Jevani Brown 66'
  • goal Archie Collins 89'