League Two Gameweek 4
Sep 1, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Sixfields Stadium
  • Nathaniel Opoku 38' goal
  • Lee Evans 55' redcard
  • yellowcard Klaudio Krasniqi 42'
  • yellowcard Jude Arthurs 60'
  • goal Dion Pereira 67'

Northampton Town vs Crawley Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Gillingham 1 - 1 Northampton
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Logan Briggs

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Crawley 0 - 2 Bristol Rovers
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Pemi Aderoju

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (9.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result

Northampton Town 33.02% ▲ (+0.12)
Draw 26.98% ▲ (+0.06)
Crawley Town 40.01% ▼ (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.09% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.92% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 28.08% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 47.48% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 52.52% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 26.35% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 73.65% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 14.28% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 85.72% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Northampton Town 24.2% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 46.46%
Crawley Town 29.34% ▼ (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Northampton Town 42.88% ▲ (+0.07)
No Goal 8.52% ▲ (+0.01)
Crawley Town 48.6% ▼ (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 58.65% ▲ (+0.16)
Equal 8 11.19% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 30.16% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 9 47.17% ▲ (+0.15)
Equal 9 11.48% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 9 41.35% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 10.5 36.35% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 10.5 63.65% ▼ (-0.11)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 1.5 32.63% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 67.37% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 12.21% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 87.79% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 3.72% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.28% ▼ (-0.02)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5 71.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 28.91% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 38.01% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 61.99% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 15.65% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 84.35% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 5.4% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.6% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Northampton Town 33.03%
Draw 26.98%
Crawley Town 40.01%
Northampton Town
1-0 @ 9.07% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.41% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 5.52% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.52% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 33.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.06% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 8.52% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 26.98%
Crawley Town
0-1 @ 10.51% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.2% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 6.83% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.24% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 5.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 40.01%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 45
Apr 26, 2025 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT The People's Pension Stadium
  • Rushian Hepburn-Murphy 39' goal
  • Jeremy Kelley 66' goal
  • Kami Doyle 88' goal
  • Liam Fraser 90'+1' yellowcard
League One Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Sixfields Stadium
  • Tariqe Fosu 16' goal
  • Jay Williams 30' goal
  • Mitchell Pinnock 55' goal
  • Ben Fox 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ronan Darcy 75'
  • yellowcard Jay Williams 84'
League Two Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jack Sowerby 79' goal
League Two Gameweek 4
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT The People's Pension Stadium
  • James Balagizi 4' goal
  • James Balagizi 61' goal
  • goal Sam Hoskins 13'
  • goal Sam Hoskins 23'
  • goal Kieron Bowie 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Danny Hylton 90'+6'
League Two Gameweek 26
Jan 8, 2022 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Fraser Horsfall 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joel Lynch 9'
  • goal Tom Nichols 41'
  • yellowcard Sam Ashford 87'
League Two Gameweek 5
Aug 28, 2021 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jack Powell 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dylan Connolly 90'