Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 37.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.08%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.