League One

League One | Gameweek 46

May 3, 2025 at 3pm UK

Montgomery Waters Meadow

Shrewsbury
1 - 2
Crawley

Benning (87')
Marquis (34'), Nurse (74'), Benning (81'), Nsiala (90+3'), England (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hepburn-Murphy (50' pen.), Anderson (60')
Fraser (33'), Radcliffe (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions

Last Game: Barnsley 1-2 Shrewsbury
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Crawley Town

All competitions

Last Game: Crawley 3-0 Northampton
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 37.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.08%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
Shrewsbury Town	Draw	Crawley Town
37.78% ( 1.05)	24.85% ( -0.13)	37.37% ( -0.92)

Both teams to score 58.33% (

0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.07% (

0.63)

44.93% (

-0.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.72% (

0.6)

67.28% (

-0.6)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.48% (

0.85)

23.52% (

-0.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.44% (

1.21)

57.56% (

-1.21)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.27% (

-0.2)

23.73% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.13% (

-0.29)

57.87% (

0.29)

Score Analysis

Shrewsbury Town 37.78%

Crawley Town 37.37%

Draw 24.84%

Shrewsbury Town	Draw	Crawley Town
2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 8.08% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 4.06% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.11% Total : 37.78%	1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.84%	1-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.27) 0-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 4.01% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.06% Total : 37.37%