League One

League One | Gameweek 45

Apr 26, 2025 at 3pm UK

Oakwell Stadium

Barnsley
1 - 2
Shrewsbury

Russell (78')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Marquis (18', 67')
Nurse (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnsley

All competitions

Last Game: Barnsley 1-1 Peterborough
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions

Last Game: Northampton 4-1 Shrewsbury
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 59.38%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 18.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Barnsley	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
59.38% ( 0.13)	21.96% ( -0.07)	18.66% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 52.78% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.82% (

0.22)

45.18% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.47% (

0.21)

67.53% (

-0.21)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.16% (

0.11)

14.84% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.85% (

0.22)

43.15% (

-0.22)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.97% (

0.06)

38.03% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.21% (

0.06)

74.79% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Barnsley 59.37%

Shrewsbury Town 18.66%

Draw 21.96%

Barnsley	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 10.76% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 10.27% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.01% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 59.37%	1-1 @ 10.41% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.96%	0-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.62% 2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 18.66%