Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 59.38%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 18.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.