Jul 10, 2026 8.00pm

Waterford Regional Sports Centre

Waterford United vs St Patrick's Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Waterford United

All competitions

W
W
L
W
D
L

League of Ireland Premier

W
W
L
W
D
L

Last game

Jul 3, 2026 7.45pm

Derry 2 - 4 Waterford

Goals scored

32

Top scorer

Tommy Lonergan

St Patrick's Athletic

All competitions

W
L
W
W
L
D

League of Ireland Premier

W
L
W
W
L
D

Last game

Jul 3, 2026 7.45pm

St Patrick's 3 - 0 Galway United

Goals scored

38

Top scorer

R. Edmondson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 53.92%. A draw has a probability of 24.41% and a win for Waterford United has a probability of 21.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (10.15%) and 0-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.35%) , while for a Waterford United win it is 1-0 (6.74%).

Result

Waterford United 21.67%

Draw 24.41%

St Patrick's Athletic 53.92%

Both Teams to Score:

50.63%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.54%

Under 1.5 26.46%

Over 2.5 49.29%

Under 2.5 50.71%

Over 3.5 27.2%

Under 3.5 72.8%

Over 4.5 14.9%

Under 4.5 85.1%

First Half Winner

Waterford United 17.63%

Draw 41.99%

St Patrick's Athletic 40.38%

Team To Score First

Waterford United 32.58%

No Goal 7.26%

St Patrick's Athletic 60.16%

Corners

Over 8 67.36%

Equal 8 10.18%

Under 8 22.46%

Over 9 56.15%

Equal 9 11.21%

Under 9 32.64%

Over 10.5 44.85%

Under 10.5 55.15%

Waterford United Goals

Over 1.5 23.6%

Under 1.5 76.4%

Over 2.5 6.91%

Under 2.5 93.09%

Over 3.5 1.61%

Under 3.5 98.39%

St Patrick's Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 80.19%

Under 0.5 19.81%

Over 1.5 48.73%

Under 1.5 51.27%

Over 2.5 22.53%

Under 2.5 77.47%

Over 3.5 8.08%

Under 3.5 91.92%

Score analysis

Waterford United 21.66%

Draw 24.41%

St Patrick's Athletic 53.92%

Waterford United

1-0 @ 6.74%

2-1 @ 5.71%

2-0 @ 3.21%

3-1 @ 1.95%

3-2 @ 1.46%

3-0 @ 1%

Other @ 1.59%

Total : 21.66%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.35%

0-0 @ 7.26%

2-2 @ 4.89%

Other @ 0.02%

Total : 24.41%

St Patrick's Athletic

0-1 @ 12.45%

1-2 @ 10.15%

0-2 @ 9.7%

1-3 @ 5.45%

0-3 @ 5.23%

2-3 @ 2.88%

Other @ 8.06%

Total : 53.92%

Head to Head

May 8, 2026 8.00pm

4

1

HT : 0 1

FT Richmond Park

Chris Forrester 45'+3'
Chris Forrester 45'+4'
Zach Elbouzedi 57'
Zach Elbouzedi 60'
R. Edmondson 77'
Jamie Lennon 78'
Romal Palmer 79'
Max Mata 79'
84'
Anto Breslin 84'
Sam Rooney 87'

John Mahon 5'
L. Heeney 46'
Will Johnson 68'
Jordan Faria 75'
83'
Jørgen Voilås 83'
Conor Carty 83'

Mar 20, 2026 7.45pm

0

2

HT : 0 1

FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre

Dean McMenamy 46'
Jørgen Voilås 64'
Conor Carty 74'
74'
Jordan Houston 74'

Luke Turner 28'
Aidan Keena 57'
Max Mata 64'
Max Mata 65'
Luke Turner 69'
Rhys Bartley 90'
Anto Breslin 90'
Tom Grivosti 90'
Rhys Bartley 90'+5'
Tom Grivosti 90'+5'
Anto Breslin 90'+5'

Oct 24, 2025 7.45pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Aug 3, 2025 4.00pm

0

2

HT : 0 0

FT

May 23, 2025 7.45pm

2

2

HT : 2 1

FT Richmond Park

Mason Melia 28'
Mason Melia 33'
Sean Hoare 38'
Barry Baggley 90'+2'

Tommy Lonergan 2'
Rowan McDonald 40'
Darragh Leahy 51'
Conan Noonan 80'
Tommy Lonergan 83'
Ryan Burke 90'+6'

Mar 28, 2025 7.45pm

1

2

HT : 1 0

FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre

Padraig Amond 14'
Dean McMenamy 60'
Grant Horton 87'
Darragh Leahy 89'

Zachary Elbouzedi 55'
Barry Baggley 59'
Darragh Leahy 88' (OG)
Brandon Kavanagh 90'

Form Data

Derry 2 - 4 Waterford

Dundalk 2 - 3 Waterford

Waterford 0 - 2 Shamrock

Waterford 4 - 0 Sligo

Drogheda 3 - 3 Waterford

Shelbourne 2 - 1 Waterford

St Patrick's 3 - 0 Galway United

Bohemians 2 - 0 St Patrick's

St Patrick's 2 - 0 Sligo

St Patrick's 2 - 0 Drogheda

Shamrock 1 - 0 St Patrick's

Derry 0 - 0 St Patrick's