League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 24
Waterford
Jul 10, 2026 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre
St Patrick's
  • John Mahon 17' yellowcard
  • Jørgen Voilås 32' yellowcard
  • Conan Noonan 40' goal
  • Jordan Houston 55' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luke Turner 51'
  • yellowcard Joe Redmond  61'
  • goal Aidan Keena 90'+5'

Waterford United vs St Patrick's Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Waterford United

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Jul 3, 2026 7.45pm
Derry 2 - 4 Waterford
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Tommy Lonergan

St Patrick's Athletic

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Jul 3, 2026 7.45pm
St Patrick's 3 - 0 Galway United
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
R. Edmondson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 53.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.57% and a win for Waterford United had a probability of 21.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (10.21%) and 0-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%) , while for a Waterford United win it was 1-0 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result

Waterford United 21.67%
Draw 24.57% ▲ (+0.17)
St Patrick's Athletic 53.76% ▼ (-0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.04% ▲ (+0.41)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.46% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 26.54% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 49.16% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 2.5 50.84% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 3.5 27.03% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 3.5 72.97% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 4.5 14.74% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 4.5 85.26% ▲ (+0.17)

First Half Winner

Waterford United 17.98% ▲ (+0.36)
Draw 41.91% ▼ (-0.09)
St Patrick's Athletic 40.11% ▼ (-0.28)

Team To Score First

Waterford United 31.89% ▼ (-0.69)
No Goal 7.2% ▼ (-0.06)
St Patrick's Athletic 60.91% ▲ (+0.75)

Corners

Over 8 67.28% ▼ (-0.08)
Equal 8 10.27% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 8 22.45% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 9 55.99% ▼ (-0.16)
Equal 9 11.29% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 9 32.72% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 10.5 44.63% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 10.5 55.37% ▲ (+0.22)

Waterford United Goals

Over 1.5 23.84% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 1.5 76.16% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 2.5 7.05% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 2.5 92.95% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 3.5 1.66% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 98.34% ▼ (-0.05)

St Patrick's Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 80.26% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 19.74% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 48.58% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 51.42% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 2.5 22.24% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 2.5 77.76% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 3.5 7.84% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 3.5 92.16% ▲ (+0.24)

Score analysis

Waterford United 21.67%
Draw 24.57%
St Patrick's Athletic 53.75%
Waterford United
1-0 @ 6.73% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 5.73% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 21.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.39% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 7.2% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.95% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.08% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 24.57%
St Patrick's Athletic
0-1 @ 12.6% ▲ (+0.16)
1-2 @ 10.21% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 9.73% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 5.37% ▼ (-0.09)
0-3 @ 5.16% ▼ (-0.08)
2-3 @ 2.92% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 7.76% ▼ (-0.31)
Total : 53.75%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 16
St Patrick's
May 8, 2026 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 0 1
FT Richmond Park
Waterford
  • Chris Forrester 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Chris Forrester 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Zach Elbouzedi 57' goal
  • Zach Elbouzedi 60' goal
  • R. Edmondson 77' goal
  • Jamie Lennon 78' yellowcard
  • Romal Palmer 79' yellowcard
  • Max Mata 79' yellowcard
  • 84' yellowcard
  • Anto Breslin 84' yellowcard
  • Sam Rooney 87' yellowcard
  • goal John Mahon 5'
  • yellowcard L. Heeney 46'
  • yellowcard Will Johnson 68'
  • yellowcard Jordan Faria 75'
  • yellowcard 83'
  • yellowcard Jørgen Voilås 83'
  • yellowcard Conor Carty 83'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 8
Waterford
Mar 20, 2026 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre
St Patrick's
  • Dean McMenamy 46' yellowcard
  • Jørgen Voilås 64' yellowcard
  • Conor Carty 74' yellowcard
  • 74' yellowcard
  • Jordan Houston 74' yellowcard
  • goal Luke Turner 28'
  • yellowcard Aidan Keena 57'
  • yellowcard Max Mata 64'
  • yellowcard Max Mata 65'
  • goal Luke Turner 69'
  • yellowcard Rhys Bartley 90'
  • yellowcard Anto Breslin 90'
  • yellowcard Tom Grivosti 90'
  • yellowcard Rhys Bartley 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Tom Grivosti 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Anto Breslin 90'+5'
League of Ireland Premier
St Patrick's
Oct 24, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Waterford
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 26
Waterford
Aug 3, 2025 4.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
St Patrick's
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 17
St Patrick's
May 23, 2025 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Richmond Park
Waterford
  • Mason Melia 28' goal
  • Mason Melia 33' goal
  • Sean Hoare 38' yellowcard
  • Barry Baggley 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Tommy Lonergan 2'
  • yellowcard Rowan McDonald 40'
  • yellowcard Darragh Leahy 51'
  • goal Conan Noonan 80'
  • yellowcard Tommy Lonergan 83'
  • yellowcard Ryan Burke 90'+6'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 7
Waterford
Mar 28, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre
St Patrick's
  • Padraig Amond 14' goal
  • Dean McMenamy 60' yellowcard
  • Grant Horton 87' yellowcard
  • Darragh Leahy 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zachary Elbouzedi 55'
  • yellowcard Barry Baggley 59'
  • goal Darragh Leahy 88' (OG)
  • goal Brandon Kavanagh 90'

Form Data

Derry 2 - 4 Waterford
Dundalk 2 - 3 Waterford
Waterford 0 - 2 Shamrock
Waterford 4 - 0 Sligo
Drogheda 3 - 3 Waterford
Shelbourne 2 - 1 Waterford
St Patrick's 3 - 0 Galway United
Bohemians 2 - 0 St Patrick's
St Patrick's 2 - 0 Sligo
St Patrick's 2 - 0 Drogheda
Shamrock 1 - 0 St Patrick's
Derry 0 - 0 St Patrick's