League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 21
Jun 19, 2026 7.45pm
Waterford Regional Sports Centre

Waterford United vs Shamrock Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Waterford United

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Jun 12, 2026 7.45pm
Waterford 4 - 0 Sligo
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Padraig Amond

Shamrock Rovers

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Jun 12, 2026 8.00pm
Shelbourne 2 - 1 Shamrock
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
John McGovern

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 54.31%. A draw has a probability of 23.78% and a win for Waterford United has a probability of 21.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (10.39%) and 0-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.49%) , while for a Waterford United win it is 1-0 (6.29%).

Result

Waterford United 21.91% (+0.74)
Draw 23.78% (-0.75)
Shamrock Rovers 54.31% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.24% (-0.20)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.97% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 23.03% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 53.17% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 46.83% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 31.16% (+0.74)
Under 3.5 68.84% (-0.73)
Over 4.5 17.55% (+0.61)
Under 4.5 82.45% (-0.61)

First Half Winner

Waterford United 18.82% (+0.47)
Draw 40.75% (-0.15)
Shamrock Rovers 40.43% (-0.33)

Team To Score First

Waterford United 33.58% (+1.40)
No Goal 5.86% (-0.24)
Shamrock Rovers 60.56% (-1.16)

Corners

Over 8 60.67%
Equal 8 11.35%
Under 8 27.98%
Over 9 48.83%
Equal 9 11.84%
Under 9 39.33%
Over 10.5 37.53%
Under 10.5 62.47%

Waterford United Goals

Over 1.5 25.51% (+0.33)
Under 1.5 74.49% (-0.33)
Over 2.5 7.68% (+0.34)
Under 2.5 92.32% (-0.34)
Over 3.5 2% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 98% (-0.18)

Shamrock Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 81.72% (-0.36)
Under 0.5 18.28% (+0.36)
Over 1.5 51.65% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 48.35% (+0.20)
Over 2.5 24.83% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 75.17% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 9.43% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 90.57% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Waterford United 21.92%
Draw 23.79%
Shamrock Rovers 54.31%
Waterford United
1-0 @ 6.29% (+0.26)
2-1 @ 5.64% (-0.32)
2-0 @ 3.21% (+0.23)
3-1 @ 2.04% (+0.18)
3-2 @ 1.8% (+0.25)
Other @ 1.99% (+0.24)
Total : 21.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.49% (-0.10)
0-0 @ 5.86% (-0.24)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.17)
Other @ 0.01% (-0.08)
Total : 23.79%
Shamrock Rovers
0-1 @ 10.9% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 10.39% (-0.28)
0-2 @ 9.09% (-0.11)
1-3 @ 6.04% (+0.12)
0-3 @ 5.03% (-0.11)
2-3 @ 3.44% (+0.24)
Other @ 9.42% (+0.11)
Total : 54.31%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 14
May 1, 2026 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Tallaght Stadium
  • Graham Burke 25' goal
  • Adam Matthews 64' yellowcard
  • Dylan Watts 64' yellowcard
  • Maleace Asamoah 68' yellowcard
  • Lee Grace 68' yellowcard
  • Aaron Greene 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sam Glenfield 71'
  • yellowcard Jørgen Voilås 71'
  • yellowcard Trae Coyle 77'
  • yellowcard Tommy Lonergan 83'
  • yellowcard Jordan Faria 83'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 9
Apr 3, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre
  • Hayden Cann 64' yellowcard
  • Jørgen Voilås 64' yellowcard
  • L. Heeney 64' yellowcard
  • L. Heeney 65' yellowcard
  • Padraig Amond 70' goal
  • Conor Carty 76' yellowcard
  • Ronan Mansfield 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jake Mulraney 60'
  • yellowcard Michael Noonan 61'
  • yellowcard Graham Burke 61'
  • yellowcard Cory O'Sullivan 76'
  • yellowcard Naj Razi 76'
  • yellowcard Graham Burke 80'
League of Ireland Premier
Sep 22, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 22
Jun 27, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 16
May 16, 2025 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre
  • Padraig Amond 10' goal
  • Dean McMenamy 15' yellowcard
  • Rowan McDonald 78' yellowcard
  • goal Rory Gaffney 25'
  • yellowcard Cory O'Sullivan 30'
  • goal Michael Noonan 76'
  • goal Graham Burke 90'+3'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 9
Apr 11, 2025 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Tallaght Stadium
  • Aaron McEneff 33' goal
  • Daniel Cleary 70' yellowcard
  • Matt Healy 72' yellowcard
  • Lee Grace 84' goal
  • Aaron McEneff 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sam Glenfield 17'
  • yellowcard Rowan McDonald 49'
  • yellowcard Rowan McDonald 49'
  • yellowcard Kacper Radkowski 53'
  • yellowcard James Olayinka 81'
  • yellowcard Padraig Amond 90'+4'