Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 54.31%. A draw had a probability of 23.78% and a win for Waterford United had a probability of 21.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (10.39%) and 0-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%) , while for a Waterford United win it was 1-0 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.