League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 23
Derry
Jul 3, 2026 7.45pm
2
4
HT : 0 1
FT Brandywell Stadium
Waterford
  • Conor Barr 13' yellowcard
  • Patrick McClean 67' yellowcard
  • Tiernan Lynch 70' yellowcard
  • Rob Slevin 82' goal
  • Adam O'Reilly 85' goal
  • goal Tommy Lonergan 14'
  • goal Tommy Lonergan 69'
  • yellowcard Benny Couto 74'
  • yellowcard Benny Couto 75'
  • goal Padraig Amond 77'
  • goal Jørgen Voilås 90'+2'

Derry City vs Waterford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Derry City

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Jun 26, 2026 7.45pm
Derry 2 - 0 Drogheda
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
James Clarke

Waterford United

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Jun 26, 2026 7.45pm
Dundalk 2 - 3 Waterford
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Tommy Lonergan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 63.36%. A draw had a probability of 21.38% and a win for Waterford United had a probability of 15.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (11.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%) , while for a Waterford United win it was 0-1 (4.74%).

Result

Derry City 63.36% ▼ (-0.07)
Draw 21.38% ▲ (+0.06)
Waterford United 15.26%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.19%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.87% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 22.13% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 54.93% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 45.07% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 31.67% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 68.33% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 4.5 19.77% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 4.5 80.23% ▲ (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Derry City 45.51% ▲ (+0.12)
Draw 39.65% ▼ (-0.07)
Waterford United 14.84% ▼ (-0.07)

Team To Score First

Derry City 68.09% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 5.94% ▲ (+0.04)
Waterford United 25.97% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 70.1% ▲ (+0.01)
Equal 8 10.27%
Under 8 19.63%
Over 9 58.41% ▲ (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.69%
Under 9 29.9% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 10.5 46.36%
Under 10.5 53.64%

Derry City Goals

Over 1.5 58.67% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 41.33% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 30.86% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 69.14% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 13.82% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 3.5 86.18% ▲ (+0.07)

Waterford United Goals

Over 0.5 50.69% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 49.31% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 18.87% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 81.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 5.22% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 94.78% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.21% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 98.79% ▲ (+0.03)

Score analysis

Derry City 63.36%
Draw 21.38%
Waterford United 15.26%
Derry City
1-0 @ 11.45% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 11.05% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 11.05% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 7.21%
3-1 @ 6.14% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.8% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 13.66% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 63.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.89% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.94% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.5%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.38%
Waterford United
0-1 @ 4.74%
1-2 @ 4.35% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2%
1-3 @ 1.26%
2-3 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 15.26%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 17
Waterford
May 15, 2026 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre
Derry
  • Dean McMenamy 25' yellowcard
  • Tommy Lonergan 59' yellowcard
  • Kevin Long 81' goal
  • Jørgen Voilås 86' yellowcard
  • Cian Barrett 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Kévin Santos 19'
  • yellowcard Joshua Thomas 60'
  • yellowcard Cameron Dummigan 71'
  • yellowcard Cameron Dummigan 72'
  • yellowcard D. Markey 83'
  • yellowcard H. Rylah 83'
  • goal H. Rylah 90'+4'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 4
Derry
Feb 27, 2026 7.45pm
4
2
HT : 0 1
FT Brandywell Stadium
Waterford
  • Adam O'Reilly 40' yellowcard
  • Afolabi Akinyemi 54' yellowcard
  • Afolabi Akinyemi 55' yellowcard
  • Michael Duffy 58' goal
  • James Olayinka 72' yellowcard
  • H. Rylah 72' yellowcard
  • Alex Bannon 72' yellowcard
  • Michael Duffy 75' goal
  • Afolabi Akinyemi 90'+1' goal
  • Michael Duffy 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Jørgen Voilås 19'
  • yellowcard Tommy Lonergan 51'
  • yellowcard Dean McMenamy 66'
  • yellowcard Conor Carty 76'
  • yellowcard Jordan Faria 79'
League of Ireland Premier
Waterford
Oct 17, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Derry
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 23
Derry
Jul 4, 2025 7.45pm
7
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Waterford
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 12
Waterford
Apr 25, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre
Derry
  • Ryan Burke 18' yellowcard
  • Darragh Leahy 40' goal
  • James Olayinka 59' yellowcard
  • Padraig Amond 65' goal
  • Kyle White 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adam O'Reilly 55'
  • yellowcard Danny Mullen 56'
  • yellowcard Liam Boyce 56'
  • yellowcard Ciaron Harkin 64'
  • yellowcard Ciaron Harkin 64'
  • goal Liam Boyce 90'+4'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 3
Derry
Feb 28, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium (Derry (Londonderry))
Waterford
  • Shane Ferguson 18' yellowcard
  • Patrick Hoban 64' goal
  • Brian Maher 67' yellowcard
  • Patrick Hoban 68' yellowcard
  • Mark Connolly 73' yellowcard
  • Adam O'Reilly 74' yellowcard
  • Ben Doherty 90' yellowcard
  • goal Kyle White 9'
  • goal Kacper Radkowski 39'

Form Data

Derry 2 - 0 Drogheda
Shamrock 1 - 1 Derry
Galway United 2 - 1 Derry
Derry 4 - 1 Bohemians
Dundalk 2 - 1 Derry
Derry 0 - 0 Shelbourne
Dundalk 2 - 3 Waterford
Waterford 0 - 2 Shamrock
Waterford 4 - 0 Sligo
Drogheda 3 - 3 Waterford
Shelbourne 2 - 1 Waterford
Waterford 2 - 1 Drogheda