Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 65.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.89% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 13.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.33%) and 2-1 (10.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%) , while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.