League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 21
Galway United
Jun 19, 2026 7.45pm
Eamonn Deacy Park
Derry

Galway United vs Derry City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Galway United

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Jun 12, 2026 7.45pm
Galway United 0 - 1 Dundalk
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Kristopher Twardek

Derry City

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Jun 12, 2026 7.45pm
Derry 4 - 1 Bohemians
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
James Clarke

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derry City win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Galway United has a probability of 30.19% and a draw has a probability of 27.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Galway United win is 1-0 (9.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.84%).

Result

Galway United 30.19% ▲ (+0.07)
Draw 27.89% ▲ (+0.34)
Derry City 41.92% ▼ (-0.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.47% ▼ (-0.17)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.98% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 1.5 29.02% ▲ (+0.43)
Over 2.5 46.15% ▼ (-0.57)
Under 2.5 53.85% ▲ (+0.57)
Over 3.5 23.55% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 76.45% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 4.5 11.76% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 88.24% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Galway United 23% ▼ (-1.11)
Draw 46.99% ▲ (+2.68)
Derry City 30% ▼ (-1.58)

Team To Score First

Galway United 40.97% ▼ (-1.08)
No Goal 8.35% ▲ (+0.10)
Derry City 50.68% ▲ (+0.98)

Corners

Over 8 63.99%
Equal 8 11.16%
Under 8 24.85%
Over 9 52%
Equal 9 11.99%
Under 9 36.01%
Over 10.5 40.27%
Under 10.5 59.73%

Galway United Goals

Over 1.5 29.63% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 1.5 70.37% ▲ (+0.19)
Over 2.5 10.22% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 2.5 89.78% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 2.56% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 97.44% ▼ (-0.05)

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5 73.36% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 0.5 26.64% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 1.5 38.92% ▼ (-0.52)
Under 1.5 61.08% ▲ (+0.52)
Over 2.5 15.24% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 84.76% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 4.58% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 95.42% ▼ (-0.07)

Score analysis

Galway United 30.18%
Draw 27.89%
Derry City 41.92%
Galway United
1-0 @ 9.16% ▲ (+0.22)
2-1 @ 7.45% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.08)
3-2 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 30.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.84% ▲ (+0.20)
0-0 @ 8.35% ▲ (+0.10)
2-2 @ 5.25%
3-3 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.27% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 27.89%
Derry City
0-1 @ 11.5% ▲ (+0.17)
1-2 @ 9.43% ▼ (-0.25)
0-2 @ 7.2% ▼ (-0.14)
1-3 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 4.31% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 41.92%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 15
Derry
May 4, 2026 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Brandywell Stadium
Galway United
  • Michael Duffy 57' yellowcard
  • Joshua Thomas 57' yellowcard
  • H. Rylah 75' yellowcard
  • Kévin Santos 87' yellowcard
  • Kévin Santos 90'+1' goal
  • goal James Clarke 44' (OG)
  • yellowcard S. Walsh 62'
  • yellowcard C. McCormack 62'
  • yellowcard E. McCarthy 68'
  • yellowcard Axel Piesold 69'
  • yellowcard Matthew Wolfe 88'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 9
Galway United
Apr 3, 2026 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Eamonn Deacy Park
Derry
  • D. Hurley 16' goal
  • E. McCarthy 65' yellowcard
  • Matthew Wolfe 65' yellowcard
  • F. Pierrot 80' yellowcard
  • Francely Lomboto 80' yellowcard
  • F. Pierrot 82' goal
  • Wasiri Williams 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carl Winchester 59'
  • goal James Clarke 63'
  • yellowcard Conor Barr 83'
  • yellowcard Joshua Thomas 83'
League of Ireland Premier
Galway United
Aug 22, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Derry
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 19
Derry
Jun 13, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Galway United
  • Kevin Holt 18' goal
  • Mark Connolly 20' yellowcard
  • Hayden Cann 73' yellowcard
  • Adam O'Reilly 88' yellowcard
  • goal David Hurley 10'
  • yellowcard Greg Cunningham 44'
  • yellowcard Vincent Borden 55'
  • yellowcard Garry Buckley 63'
  • yellowcard Patrick Hickey 65'
  • yellowcard Evan Watts 89'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 10
Galway United
Apr 18, 2025 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Eamonn Deacy Park
Derry
  • Cian Byrne 20' yellowcard
  • Cian Byrne 20' yellowcard
  • Moses Dyer 38' yellowcard
  • Patrick Hickey 43' goal
  • Cian Byrne 49' redcard
  • Vincent Borden 51' yellowcard
  • Greg Cunningham 73' yellowcard
  • Stephen Walsh 79' yellowcard
  • Vincent Borden 90'+7' goal
  • goal Danny Mullen 16'
  • yellowcard Michael Duffy 37'
  • yellowcard Michael Duffy 37'
  • goal Robbie Benson 47'
  • yellowcard Danny Mullen 57'
  • yellowcard Brian Maher 58'
  • yellowcard Sean Patton 81'
  • goal Gavin Whyte 90'+4'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 5
Derry
Mar 7, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium (Derry (Londonderry))
Galway United
  • Adam O'Reilly 14' yellowcard
  • Mark Connolly 33' yellowcard
  • Michael Duffy 53' goal
  • yellowcard Moses Dyer 27'
  • yellowcard Moses Dyer 27'
  • yellowcard Rob Slevin 43'
  • goal Moses Dyer 44'
  • yellowcard Patrick Hickey 52'
  • yellowcard Killian Brouder 88'

Form Data

Galway United 0 - 1 Dundalk
Shelbourne 1 - 1 Galway United
Galway United 2 - 4 Bohemians
Sligo 1 - 4 Galway United
Galway United 1 - 3 Shamrock
Derry 1 - 1 Galway United
Derry 4 - 1 Bohemians
Dundalk 2 - 1 Derry
Derry 0 - 0 Shelbourne
Derry 0 - 0 St Patrick's
Waterford 2 - 2 Derry
Drogheda 1 - 0 Derry