Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Galway United had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Galway United win was 1-0 (7.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.