League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 25
Jun 22, 2026 8.00pm
Tallaght Stadium

Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Shamrock Rovers

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Jun 19, 2026 7.45pm
Waterford 0 - 2 Shamrock
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
John McGovern

Derry City

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Jun 19, 2026 7.45pm
Galway United 2 - 1 Derry
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
James Clarke

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 49.8%. A win for Derry City has a probability of 25.15% and a draw has a probability of 25.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.05%) and 2-0 (9.73%). The likeliest Derry City win is 0-1 (7.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.43%).

Result

Shamrock Rovers 49.8% (-3.65)
Draw 25.06% (+0.39)
Derry City 25.15% (+3.26)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.3% (+1.63)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.44% (+0.33)
Under 1.5 27.56% (-0.34)
Over 2.5 46.29% (+0.29)
Under 2.5 53.71% (-0.29)
Over 3.5 23.95% (+0.63)
Under 3.5 76.05% (-0.64)
Over 4.5 12.99% (+0.34)
Under 4.5 87.01% (-0.33)

First Half Winner

Shamrock Rovers 38.69% (-0.84)
Draw 40.25% (-0.43)
Derry City 21.06% (+1.26)

Team To Score First

Shamrock Rovers 58.95% (-0.05)
No Goal 7.42% (-0.10)
Derry City 33.63% (+0.16)

Corners

Over 8 55.02% (-0.94)
Equal 8 11.56% (+0.49)
Under 8 33.43% (+0.47)
Over 9 43.49% (-1.33)
Equal 9 11.52% (+0.38)
Under 9 44.98% (+0.94)
Over 10.5 32.93% (-1.58)
Under 10.5 67.07% (+1.57)

Shamrock Rovers Goals

Over 1.5 44.29% (-2.29)
Under 1.5 55.71% (+2.29)
Over 2.5 18.37% (-1.42)
Under 2.5 81.63% (+1.43)
Over 3.5 6.69% (-0.54)
Under 3.5 93.31% (+0.55)

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5 59.47% (+2.62)
Under 0.5 40.53% (-2.62)
Over 1.5 24.81% (+3.04)
Under 1.5 75.19% (-3.05)
Over 2.5 7.41% (+1.62)
Under 2.5 92.59% (-1.62)
Over 3.5 1.82% (+0.50)
Under 3.5 98.18% (-0.50)

Score analysis

Shamrock Rovers 49.79%
Draw 25.07%
Derry City 25.15%
Shamrock Rovers
1-0 @ 12.27% (-0.70)
2-1 @ 10.05% (-0.72)
2-0 @ 9.73% (-0.70)
3-0 @ 4.44% (-0.58)
3-1 @ 4.3% (-0.34)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.09)
Other @ 6.68% (-0.54)
Total : 49.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.43% (+0.17)
0-0 @ 7.42% (-0.10)
2-2 @ 4.59% (+0.22)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.07%
Derry City
0-1 @ 7.88% (+0.47)
1-2 @ 6.5% (+0.68)
0-2 @ 3.99% (+0.61)
1-3 @ 2.08% (+0.42)
2-3 @ 1.55% (+0.35)
0-3 @ 1.34% (+0.26)
Other @ 1.81% (+0.50)
Total : 25.15%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 13
Apr 24, 2026 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium
  • James Clarke 26' goal
  • Afolabi Akinyemi 65' yellowcard
  • Ben Doherty 77' yellowcard
  • Conor Barr 83' yellowcard
  • H. Rylah 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dan Cleary 58'
  • yellowcard Maleace Asamoah 59'
  • yellowcard Adam Brennan 59'
  • yellowcard Graham Burke 59'
  • yellowcard John McGovern 75'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 5
Mar 6, 2026 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tallaght Stadium
  • Lee Grace 59' yellowcard
  • Dylan Watts 71' yellowcard
  • John McGovern 71' yellowcard
  • Jake Mulraney 71' yellowcard
  • Aaron Greene 78' yellowcard
  • Dylan Watts 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Afolabi Akinyemi 46'
  • yellowcard James Olayinka 46'
  • yellowcard H. Rylah 68'
  • yellowcard Conor Barr 68'
League of Ireland Premier
Oct 26, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 26
Aug 3, 2025 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 17
May 23, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium (Derry (Londonderry))
  • Carl Winchester 9' yellowcard
  • Liam Boyce 15' yellowcard
  • Adam O'Reilly 59' yellowcard
  • Danny Mullen 65' goal
  • yellowcard Cory O'Sullivan 7'
  • goal Michael Noonan 70'
  • goal Aaron McEneff 89'
  • yellowcard 89'
  • yellowcard Aaron McEneff 90'+4'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 7
Mar 28, 2025 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tallaght Stadium
  • Edward McGinty 23' redcard
  • Jack Byrne 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Danny Mullen 18'
  • yellowcard Mark Connolly 31'
  • redcard Danny Mullen 41'
  • redcard Danny Mullen 42'
  • yellowcard Carl Winchester 69'