Jun 26, 2026 7.45pm

Oriel Park

Dundalk vs Waterford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundalk

All competitions

W
W
W
D
W
L

League of Ireland Premier

W
W
W
D
W
L

Last game

Jun 19, 2026 8.00pm

Bohemians 1 - 2 Dundalk

Goals scored

34

Top scorer

Gbemi Arubi

Waterford United

All competitions

L
W
D
L
W
D

League of Ireland Premier

L
W
D
L
W
D

Last game

Jun 19, 2026 7.45pm

Waterford 0 - 2 Shamrock

Goals scored

25

Top scorer

Padraig Amond

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Dundalk win with a probability of 59.17%. A draw has a probability of 22.29% and a win for Waterford United has a probability of 18.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.01%) , while for a Waterford United win it is 1-2 (5.11%).

Result

Dundalk 59.17%

Draw 22.29%

Waterford United 18.54%

Both Teams to Score:

56.32%

Goals

Over 1.5 80.24%

Under 1.5 19.76%

Over 2.5 58.73%

Under 2.5 41.27%

Over 3.5 36.11%

Under 3.5 63.89%

Over 4.5 22.91%

Under 4.5 77.09%

First Half Winner

Dundalk 43.75%

Draw 38.98%

Waterford United 17.28%

Team To Score First

Dundalk 65.11%

No Goal 5.16%

Waterford United 29.73%

Corners

Over 8 66.93%

Equal 8 10.31%

Under 8 22.76%

Over 9 55.62%

Equal 9 11.31%

Under 9 33.07%

Over 10.5 44.26%

Under 10.5 55.74%

Dundalk Goals

Over 1.5 58.21%

Under 1.5 41.79%

Over 2.5 31.67%

Under 2.5 68.33%

Over 3.5 14.62%

Under 3.5 85.38%

Waterford United Goals

Over 0.5 55.31%

Under 0.5 44.69%

Over 1.5 24.23%

Under 1.5 75.77%

Over 2.5 8.03%

Under 2.5 91.97%

Over 3.5 2.21%

Under 3.5 97.79%

Score analysis

Dundalk 59.17%

Draw 22.29%

Waterford United 18.53%

Dundalk

2-1 @ 10.25%

1-0 @ 9.9%

2-0 @ 9.08%

3-0 @ 6.29%

3-1 @ 6.13%

3-2 @ 3.27%

Other @ 14.25%

Total : 59.17%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.01%

2-2 @ 5.39%

0-0 @ 5.16%

3-3 @ 1.36%

Other @ 0.37%

Total : 22.29%

Waterford United

1-2 @ 5.11%

0-1 @ 4.69%

0-2 @ 2.43%

2-3 @ 1.82%

1-3 @ 1.67%

Other @ 1.84%

Total : 18.53%

Head to Head

May 4, 2026 5.00pm

3

3

HT : 1 2

FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre

Tommy Lonergan 40'
Jordan Faria 58'
Padraig Amond 60'
Sam Glenfield 72'
Trae Coyle 87'
Will Johnson 87'
John Mahon 88'

Daryl Horgan 14'
Gbemi Arubi 35'
Aodh Dervin 57'
Ronan Teahan 57'
Harvey Warren 66'
D. McDaid 78'
Daryl Horgan 83'

Mar 13, 2026 7.45pm

5

0

HT : 2 0

FT Oriel Park

Ronan Teahan 30'
D. McDaid 42'
Aodh Dervin 74'
Peter Cherrie 85'
Daryl Horgan 86'
Gbemi Arubi 88'
Eoin Kenny 89'
Eoin Kenny 90'
Eoin Kenny 90'+7'
Shane Tracey 90'+10'

Trae Coyle 46'
Sam Glenfield 46'
Padraig Amond 61'
Evan McLaughlin 61'

Sep 13, 2024 7.45pm

2

1

HT : 2 0

FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre

Sam Bellis 5'
Padraig Amond 16'
Ben McCormack 86'

Eoin Kenny 30'
Robbie Benson 53'
Aodh Dervin 54'
James Gullan 76'

Jun 28, 2024 7.45pm

0

2

HT : 0 2

FT Oriel Park

Cameron Elliott 76'
Hayden Muller 87'
Sean Keogh 88'

Connor Parsons 19'
Darragh Power 29'
Connor Parsons 36'
Dean McMenamy 43'
Ben McCormack 53'
Darragh Leahy 88'

May 10, 2024 7.45pm

4

1

HT : 2 1

FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre

Maleace Asamoah 2'
Maleace Asamoah 44'
Christie Pattison 53'
Maleace Asamoah 76'
Maleace Asamoah 78'
Kacper Radkowski 89'

Robbie Benson 22'
Robbie Benson 35'
James Gullan 36'
John Mountney 54'

Mar 15, 2024 7.45pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Oriel Park

Sam Durrant 85'
Cameron Elliott 86'

Niall O'Keeffe 90'+3'
Ryan Burke 90'+5'

Form Data

Bohemians 1 - 2 Dundalk

Galway United 0 - 1 Dundalk

Dundalk 2 - 1 Derry

Drogheda 1 - 1 Dundalk

Dundalk 1 - 0 Shamrock

Dundalk 1 - 3 Bohemians

Waterford 0 - 2 Shamrock

Waterford 4 - 0 Sligo

Drogheda 3 - 3 Waterford

Shelbourne 2 - 1 Waterford

Waterford 2 - 1 Drogheda

Waterford 2 - 2 Derry