Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 45.52%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 1-2 (7.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.