Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 79.78%. A draw had a probability of 13.32% and a win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 6.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.07%) and 1-0 (10.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.63%) , while for a Sligo Rovers win it was 1-2 (2.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.