League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 26
Aug 2, 2026 3.00pm
Waterford Regional Sports Centre

Waterford United vs Shelbourne - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Waterford United

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 5.00pm
Galway United 0 - 0 Waterford
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Tommy Lonergan

Shelbourne

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Jul 3, 2026 8.00pm
Shelbourne 2 - 1 Dundalk
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Harry Wood

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Shelbourne win with a probability of 50.11%. A win for Waterford United has a probability of 25.13% and a draw has a probability of 24.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-2 (9.06%). The likeliest Waterford United win is 1-0 (7.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.78%).

Result

Waterford United 25.13% (+1.31)
Draw 24.76% (+0.03)
Shelbourne 50.11% (-1.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.54%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.97% (-0.47)
Under 1.5 24.03% (+0.47)
Over 2.5 51.2% (-0.81)
Under 2.5 48.8% (+0.81)
Over 3.5 29.39% (-0.47)
Under 3.5 70.61% (+0.47)
Over 4.5 16.32% (-0.38)
Under 4.5 83.68% (+0.38)

First Half Winner

Waterford United 20.82% (-0.13)
Draw 42.89% (+0.62)
Shelbourne 36.29% (-0.50)

Team To Score First

Waterford United 36.86% (+0.18)
No Goal 6.34% (+0.08)
Shelbourne 56.8% (-0.25)

Corners

Over 8 66.19% (-1.07)
Equal 8 10.71% (+0.19)
Under 8 23.1% (+0.89)
Over 9 54.49% (-1.15)
Equal 9 11.7% (+0.09)
Under 9 33.81% (+1.07)
Over 10.5 42.83% (-1.15)
Under 10.5 57.17% (+1.15)

Waterford United Goals

Over 1.5 27.47% (+0.65)
Under 1.5 72.53% (-0.66)
Over 2.5 8.84% (+0.48)
Under 2.5 91.16% (-0.47)
Over 3.5 2.25% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 97.75% (-0.15)

Shelbourne Goals

Over 0.5 79.18% (-0.87)
Under 0.5 20.82% (+0.88)
Over 1.5 48.02% (-1.45)
Under 1.5 51.98% (+1.45)
Over 2.5 21.76% (-1.13)
Under 2.5 78.24% (+1.13)
Over 3.5 8.38% (-0.52)
Under 3.5 91.62% (+0.53)

Score analysis

Waterford United 25.14%
Draw 24.75%
Shelbourne 50.1%
Waterford United
1-0 @ 7.11% (+0.38)
2-1 @ 6.44% (+0.14)
2-0 @ 3.93% (+0.32)
3-1 @ 2.37% (+0.25)
3-2 @ 1.86% (+0.12)
3-0 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.17% (+0.15)
Total : 25.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.78% (+0.17)
0-0 @ 6.34% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.19)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 24.75%
Shelbourne
0-1 @ 10.57% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 9.89% (-0.13)
0-2 @ 9.06% (-0.11)
1-3 @ 5.24% (-0.17)
0-3 @ 4.23% (-0.34)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.07)
Other @ 8.3% (-0.52)
Total : 50.1%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 18
May 22, 2026 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Tolka Park
  • Will Jarvis 37' goal
  • Daniel Kelly 55' yellowcard
  • Mipo Odubeko 61' yellowcard
  • Maill Lundgren 61' yellowcard
  • Ellis Chapman 79' yellowcard
  • Sean Boyd 79' yellowcard
  • Sean Boyd 90'+3' goal
  • goal Kameron Ledwidge 39' (OG)
  • yellowcard Sam Glenfield 70'
  • yellowcard Cian Barrett 72'
  • yellowcard Cian Barrett 74'
  • yellowcard Jørgen Voilås 85'
  • yellowcard Conan Noonan 85'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 1
Feb 6, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre
  • Sam Glenfield 52' yellowcard
  • Jörgen Voilas 53' yellowcard
  • Trae Coyle 53' yellowcard
  • Jørgen Voilås 53' yellowcard
  • Tommy Lonergan 55' goal
  • goal John Martin 13'
  • yellowcard Will Jarvis 66'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Costa Freitas 66'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Freitas 66'
  • yellowcard Maill Lundgren 80'
  • yellowcard Sean Gannon 80'
  • yellowcard Sean Boyd 83'
League of Ireland Premier
Sep 26, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 21
Jun 23, 2025 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 14
May 5, 2025 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Tolka Park
  • Sean Gannon 48' yellowcard
  • Sam Bone 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Padraig Amond 3'
  • goal Padraig Amond 3'
  • yellowcard Stephen McMullan 43'
  • yellowcard Sam Glenfield 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Maarten Pouwels 90'+1'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 2
Feb 21, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre
  • Ryan Burke 61' redcard
  • goal Ademipo Odubeko 14'
  • yellowcard Harry Wood 18'
  • yellowcard Sean Boyd 30'
  • yellowcard Sean Boyd 30'
  • yellowcard Mark Coyle 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Kerr McInroy 60'