League of Ireland Premier
Waterford
Aug 2, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre
Shelbourne
  • Jordan Houston 43' yellowcard
  • Tommy Lonergan 48' goal
  • yellowcard Ali Coote 4'
  • yellowcard Jack Henry-Francis 55'

Waterford United vs Shelbourne - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Waterford United

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 5.00pm
Galway United 0 - 0 Waterford
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Tommy Lonergan

Shelbourne

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Jul 3, 2026 8.00pm
Shelbourne 2 - 1 Dundalk
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Harry Wood

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 50.37%. A win for Waterford United had a probability of 24.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.87%) and 0-2 (9.12%). The likeliest Waterford United win was 1-0 (7.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result

Waterford United 24.85% ▼ (-0.28)
Draw 24.78% ▲ (+0.02)
Shelbourne 50.37% ▲ (+0.26)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.4% ▼ (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.89% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 24.11% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 51.05% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 2.5 48.95% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 3.5 29.33% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 3.5 70.67% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 4.5 16.32%
Under 4.5 83.68%

First Half Winner

Waterford United 20.81% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 42.82% ▼ (-0.08)
Shelbourne 36.37% ▲ (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Waterford United 36.79% ▼ (-0.08)
No Goal 6.35% ▲ (+0.01)
Shelbourne 56.86% ▲ (+0.07)

Corners

Over 8 66.23% ▲ (+0.05)
Equal 8 10.71%
Under 8 23.07% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 9 54.52% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.7%
Under 9 33.77% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 10.5 42.86% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 10.5 57.14% ▼ (-0.04)

Waterford United Goals

Over 1.5 27.2% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 1.5 72.8% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 2.5 8.69% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 2.5 91.31% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 3.5 2.21% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 97.79% ▲ (+0.05)

Shelbourne Goals

Over 0.5 79.3% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 0.5 20.7% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 1.5 48.12% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 1.5 51.88% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 2.5 21.85% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 78.15% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 3.5 8.45% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 91.55% ▼ (-0.08)

Score analysis

Waterford United 24.87%
Draw 24.78%
Shelbourne 50.35%
Waterford United
1-0 @ 7.09% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 6.36% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 3.89% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 24.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.83% ▲ (+0.06)
0-0 @ 6.35% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.44% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 24.78%
Shelbourne
0-1 @ 10.67% ▲ (+0.10)
1-2 @ 9.87% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 9.12% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 5.25% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.25% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.82% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 8.37% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 50.35%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 18
Shelbourne
May 22, 2026 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Tolka Park
Waterford
  • Will Jarvis 37' goal
  • Daniel Kelly 55' yellowcard
  • Mipo Odubeko 61' yellowcard
  • Maill Lundgren 61' yellowcard
  • Ellis Chapman 79' yellowcard
  • Sean Boyd 79' yellowcard
  • Sean Boyd 90'+3' goal
  • goal Kameron Ledwidge 39' (OG)
  • yellowcard Sam Glenfield 70'
  • yellowcard Cian Barrett 72'
  • yellowcard Cian Barrett 74'
  • yellowcard Jørgen Voilås 85'
  • yellowcard Conan Noonan 85'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 1
Waterford
Feb 6, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre
Shelbourne
  • Sam Glenfield 52' yellowcard
  • Jörgen Voilas 53' yellowcard
  • Trae Coyle 53' yellowcard
  • Jørgen Voilås 53' yellowcard
  • Tommy Lonergan 55' goal
  • goal John Martin 13'
  • yellowcard Will Jarvis 66'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Costa Freitas 66'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Freitas 66'
  • yellowcard Maill Lundgren 80'
  • yellowcard Sean Gannon 80'
  • yellowcard Sean Boyd 83'
League of Ireland Premier
Shelbourne
Sep 26, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Waterford
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 21
Waterford
Jun 23, 2025 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Shelbourne
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 14
Shelbourne
May 5, 2025 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Tolka Park
Waterford
  • Sean Gannon 48' yellowcard
  • Sam Bone 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Padraig Amond 3'
  • goal Padraig Amond 3'
  • yellowcard Stephen McMullan 43'
  • yellowcard Sam Glenfield 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Maarten Pouwels 90'+1'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 2
Waterford
Feb 21, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre
Shelbourne
  • Ryan Burke 61' redcard
  • goal Ademipo Odubeko 14'
  • yellowcard Harry Wood 18'
  • yellowcard Sean Boyd 30'
  • yellowcard Sean Boyd 30'
  • yellowcard Mark Coyle 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Kerr McInroy 60'

Form Data

Galway United 0 - 0 Waterford
Waterford 1 - 1 St Patrick's
Derry 2 - 4 Waterford
Dundalk 2 - 3 Waterford
Waterford 0 - 2 Shamrock
Waterford 4 - 0 Sligo
Nomme Kalju 2 - 1 Shelbourne
Shelbourne 5 - 2 Nomme Kalju
Shelbourne 1 - 1 Celtic
Shelbourne 2 - 1 Dundalk
Sligo 2 - 2 Shelbourne
Shelbourne 0 - 3 Bohemians