League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 23
Jul 3, 2026 7.45pm
Tolka Park

Shelbourne vs Dundalk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Shelbourne

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Jun 27, 2026 7.45pm
Sligo 2 - 2 Shelbourne
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
John Martin

Dundalk

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Jun 26, 2026 7.45pm
Dundalk 2 - 3 Waterford
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Gbemi Arubi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Shelbourne win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for Dundalk has a probability of 35.67% and a draw has a probability of 25.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Dundalk win is 1-2 (8.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.16%).

Result

Shelbourne 38.69% (-0.08)
Draw 25.59%
Dundalk 35.67% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.32% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.62% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 21.38% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 56.57% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 43.43% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 33.33% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 66.67% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 18.67% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 81.33% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Shelbourne 30.91% (+0.02)
Draw 39.66% (-0.02)
Dundalk 29.43% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Shelbourne 49.68%
No Goal 5.78% (-0.02)
Dundalk 44.54% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 64.11% (+0.07)
Equal 8 10.5% (+0.01)
Under 8 25.39% (-0.06)
Over 9 52.87% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.23% (+0.01)
Under 9 35.89% (-0.07)
Over 10.5 41.83% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 58.17% (-0.04)

Shelbourne Goals

Over 1.5 42.02% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 57.98% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 18.24% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 81.76% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 5.98%
Under 3.5 94.02%

Dundalk Goals

Over 0.5 71.71% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 28.29% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 40% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 60% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 16.35% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 83.65% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 5.47% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.53% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Shelbourne 38.69%
Draw 25.59%
Dundalk 35.68%
Shelbourne
2-1 @ 8.78% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.09% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 5.69% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.3% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.14% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.11% (+0.03)
Other @ 5.58% (-0.01)
Total : 38.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.16% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.54% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.78% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.71% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.4% (+0.02)
Total : 25.59%
Dundalk
1-2 @ 8.77% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 7.47% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.2% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.82%
2-3 @ 2.77%
0-3 @ 2.58% (+0.03)
Other @ 5.07% (+0.02)
Total : 35.68%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 14
May 1, 2026 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Oriel Park
  • Rob Cornwall 46' yellowcard
  • 46' yellowcard
  • B. Burns 46' yellowcard
  • D. McDaid 46' yellowcard
  • Harry Groome 73' yellowcard
  • Daryl Horgan 89' yellowcard
  • goal Daniel Kelly 11'
  • goal Kerr McInroy 52'
  • yellowcard Ali Coote 69'
  • yellowcard Evan Caffrey 81'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Freitas 81'
  • yellowcard Ellis Chapman 90'+5'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 9
Apr 3, 2026 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT Tolka Park
  • James Norris 46' yellowcard
  • Will Jarvis 46' yellowcard
  • Sean Gannon 46' yellowcard
  • Zeno Ibsen Rossi 60' goal
  • John Martin 67' goal
  • Rodrigo Freitas 73' yellowcard
  • Sean Boyd 83' yellowcard
  • goal Gbemi Arubi 11'
  • goal B. Burns 22'
  • yellowcard Eoin Kenny 65'
  • yellowcard Shane Tracey 79'
  • goal Zeno Ibsen Rossi 86' (OG)
  • yellowcard Harvey Warren 89'
Club Friendlies 3
Jan 20, 2026 11.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Tolka Park
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 29
Aug 30, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Oriel Park
  • Eoin Kenny 49' yellowcard
  • Aodh Dervin 54' yellowcard
  • Robbie Benson 62' yellowcard
  • goal Aiden O'Brien 4'
  • yellowcard Mark Coyle 44'
  • yellowcard Alistair Coote 48'
  • yellowcard Sean Gannon 51'
  • yellowcard Tyreke Wilson 64'
  • yellowcard Liam Burt 90'+2'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 20
Jun 7, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tolka Park
  • John Martin 71' goal
  • Dean Williams 77' yellowcard
  • John O'Sullivan 78' yellowcard
  • John Martin 80' yellowcard
  • Tyreke Wilson 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andy Boyle 90'+1'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 13
May 3, 2024 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Oriel Park
  • Koen Oostenbrink 25' yellowcard
  • Daryl Horgan 26' yellowcard
  • Zak Bradshaw 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mark Coyle 79'