Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 47.59%. A draw had a probability of 27.19% and a win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 25.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (10.06%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%) , while for a Sligo Rovers win it was 1-0 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.