League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 25
Galway United
Jul 25, 2026 5.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Eamonn Deacy Park
Waterford
  • Frantz Pierrot 31' yellowcard
  • Gianfranco Facchineri 74' yellowcard
  • Stephen Walsh 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hayden Cann 22'
  • yellowcard John Mahon 25'
  • yellowcard Padraig Amond 33'
  • yellowcard Will Johnson 90'
  • yellowcard Conan Noonan 90'+3'

Galway United vs Waterford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Galway United

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Jul 11, 2026 5.00pm
Galway United 3 - 2 Sligo
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Kristopher Twardek

Waterford United

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Jul 10, 2026 8.00pm
Waterford 1 - 1 St Patrick's
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Tommy Lonergan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galway United win with a probability of 56.25%. A draw had a probability of 23.74% and a win for Waterford United had a probability of 20.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galway United win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.93%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%) , while for a Waterford United win it was 1-2 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result

Galway United 56.25% ▼ (-0.05)
Draw 23.74% ▲ (+0.08)
Waterford United 20.06% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.99% ▲ (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.17% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 19.83% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 57.91% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 42.09% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 35.18% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 64.82% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 4.5 21.93% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 78.07% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Galway United 41.2% ▲ (+0.22)
Draw 40.08% ▼ (-0.18)
Waterford United 18.71% ▼ (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Galway United 64.95% ▲ (+0.08)
No Goal 5.15% ▲ (+0.03)
Waterford United 29.9% ▼ (-0.11)

Corners

Over 8 69.72% ▲ (+0.13)
Equal 8 9.57% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 20.71% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 9 59% ▲ (+0.15)
Equal 9 10.73% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 30.28% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 10.5 47.95% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 10.5 52.05% ▼ (-0.15)

Galway United Goals

Over 1.5 55.72% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 44.28% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 28.62% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 71.38% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 3.5 12.57% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 3.5 87.43% ▲ (+0.07)

Waterford United Goals

Over 0.5 58.7% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 41.3% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 26.35%
Under 1.5 73.65%
Over 2.5 8.63% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 91.37% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.59% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.41% ▼ (-0.03)

Score analysis

Galway United 56.23%
Draw 23.74%
Waterford United 20.06%
Galway United
2-1 @ 10.81% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 9.93% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 8.49% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 5.63% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.4% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.61% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 12.36% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 56.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.13% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.84% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 23.74%
Waterford United
1-2 @ 5.61% ▲ (+0.03)
0-1 @ 4.78% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 2.66% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 20.06%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 13
Waterford
Apr 24, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre
Galway United
  • Dean McMenamy 46' yellowcard
  • Evan McLaughlin 46' yellowcard
  • Conan Noonan 64' yellowcard
  • Tommy Lonergan 65' yellowcard
  • Trae Coyle 65' yellowcard
  • Dean McMenamy 90'+6' goal
  • goal K. Brouder 42'
  • yellowcard J. Keohane 76'
  • yellowcard Francely Lomboto 76'
  • yellowcard F. Pierrot 76'
  • yellowcard Wasiri Williams 84'
  • yellowcard Wasiri Williams 85'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 7
Galway United
Mar 16, 2026 8.00pm
4
3
HT : 1 2
FT Eamonn Deacy Park
Waterford
  • Kristopher Twardek 10' goal
  • E. McCarthy 46' yellowcard
  • D. Hurley 45'+3' yellowcard
  • F. Pierrot 54' yellowcard
  • Kristopher Twardek 61' goal
  • C. Barratt 69' yellowcard
  • Francely Lomboto 80' yellowcard
  • Wasiri Williams 80' yellowcard
  • F. Pierrot 89' goal
  • goal Gianfranco Facchineri 35' (OG)
  • goal Padraig Amond 38'
  • yellowcard Tommy Lonergan 69'
  • yellowcard Conor Carty 69'
  • yellowcard Dean McMenamy 77'
  • yellowcard Tommy Lonergan 90'+2'
League of Ireland Premier
Waterford
Nov 1, 2025 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Galway United
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 25
Galway United
Jul 25, 2025 7.45pm
2
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Waterford
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 15
Waterford
May 9, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre
Galway United
  • Darragh Leahy 27' goal
  • Sam Glenfield 36' yellowcard
  • Darragh Leahy 67' yellowcard
  • Kacper Radkowski 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Conor McCormack 56'
  • yellowcard Rob Slevin 65'
  • yellowcard Ed McCarthy 86'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 6
Galway United
Mar 14, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Eamonn Deacy Park
Waterford
  • Killian Brouder 46' yellowcard
  • Vincent Borden 80' goal
  • Moses Dyer 86' yellowcard
  • Patrick Hickey 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dean McMenamy 43'
  • yellowcard Maarten Pouwels 77'

Form Data

Galway United 3 - 2 Sligo
St Patrick's 3 - 0 Galway United
Shamrock 3 - 1 Galway United
Galway United 2 - 1 Derry
Galway United 0 - 1 Dundalk
Shelbourne 1 - 1 Galway United
Waterford 1 - 1 St Patrick's
Derry 2 - 4 Waterford
Dundalk 2 - 3 Waterford
Waterford 0 - 2 Shamrock
Waterford 4 - 0 Sligo
Drogheda 3 - 3 Waterford