League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 25
Jul 25, 2026 5.00pm
Eamonn Deacy Park

Galway United vs Waterford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Galway United

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Jul 11, 2026 5.00pm
Galway United 3 - 2 Sligo
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Kristopher Twardek

Waterford United

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Jul 10, 2026 8.00pm
Waterford 1 - 1 St Patrick's
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Tommy Lonergan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Galway United win with a probability of 56.32%. A draw has a probability of 23.65% and a win for Waterford United has a probability of 20.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galway United win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.92%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.08%) , while for a Waterford United win it is 1-2 (5.6%).

Result

Galway United 56.32%
Draw 23.65%
Waterford United 20.03% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.94% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.19% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 19.81% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 58.01% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 41.99% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 35.22% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 64.78% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 21.97% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 78.03% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Galway United 40.94% (-0.02)
Draw 40.29% (-0.03)
Waterford United 18.77% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Galway United 64.87% (+0.04)
No Goal 5.13% (-0.01)
Waterford United 30% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 69.64%
Equal 8 9.59%
Under 8 20.77%
Over 9 58.9%
Equal 9 10.74%
Under 9 30.36%
Over 10.5 47.85%
Under 10.5 52.15%

Galway United Goals

Over 1.5 55.78% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 44.22% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 28.71% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 71.29% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 12.64% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 87.36% (-0.02)

Waterford United Goals

Over 0.5 58.67% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 41.33% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 26.34% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 73.66% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 8.62% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 91.38% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 2.57% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.43% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Galway United 56.31%
Draw 23.65%
Waterford United 20.03%
Galway United
2-1 @ 10.86% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.92% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.43% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.64%
3-0 @ 5.41% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.62% (+0.02)
Other @ 12.43%
Total : 56.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.08% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.83% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.13% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.4% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.21% (+0.01)
Total : 23.65%
Waterford United
1-2 @ 5.6%
0-1 @ 4.75% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.67% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.95% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.78% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 20.03%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 13
Apr 24, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre
  • Dean McMenamy 46' yellowcard
  • Evan McLaughlin 46' yellowcard
  • Conan Noonan 64' yellowcard
  • Tommy Lonergan 65' yellowcard
  • Trae Coyle 65' yellowcard
  • Dean McMenamy 90'+6' goal
  • goal K. Brouder 42'
  • yellowcard J. Keohane 76'
  • yellowcard Francely Lomboto 76'
  • yellowcard F. Pierrot 76'
  • yellowcard Wasiri Williams 84'
  • yellowcard Wasiri Williams 85'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 7
Mar 16, 2026 8.00pm
4
3
HT : 1 2
FT Eamonn Deacy Park
  • Kristopher Twardek 10' goal
  • E. McCarthy 46' yellowcard
  • D. Hurley 45'+3' yellowcard
  • F. Pierrot 54' yellowcard
  • Kristopher Twardek 61' goal
  • C. Barratt 69' yellowcard
  • Francely Lomboto 80' yellowcard
  • Wasiri Williams 80' yellowcard
  • F. Pierrot 89' goal
  • goal Gianfranco Facchineri 35' (OG)
  • goal Padraig Amond 38'
  • yellowcard Tommy Lonergan 69'
  • yellowcard Conor Carty 69'
  • yellowcard Dean McMenamy 77'
  • yellowcard Tommy Lonergan 90'+2'
League of Ireland Premier
Nov 1, 2025 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 25
Jul 25, 2025 7.45pm
2
4
HT : 0 0
FT
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 15
May 9, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre
  • Darragh Leahy 27' goal
  • Sam Glenfield 36' yellowcard
  • Darragh Leahy 67' yellowcard
  • Kacper Radkowski 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Conor McCormack 56'
  • yellowcard Rob Slevin 65'
  • yellowcard Ed McCarthy 86'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 6
Mar 14, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Eamonn Deacy Park
  • Killian Brouder 46' yellowcard
  • Vincent Borden 80' goal
  • Moses Dyer 86' yellowcard
  • Patrick Hickey 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dean McMenamy 43'
  • yellowcard Maarten Pouwels 77'