Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 62.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.56% and a win for Galway United had a probability of 15.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (11.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%) , while for a Galway United win it was 0-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.