League of Ireland Premier
Gameweek
26
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-
James Brown
23'
-
Aidan Keena
27'
-
Kian Leavy
34'
-
Stephen Kenny
72'
-
Jamie Lennon
88'
-
Adam O'Reilly
37'
-
Darragh Burns
50'
-
James Clarke
72'
St Patrick's Athletic vs Derry City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 73.15%. A draw had a probability of 16.57% and a win for Derry City had a probability of 10.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (10.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.02%) , while for a Derry City win it was 0-1 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
Result
St Patrick's Athletic
73.15%
▼
(-0.02)
Draw
16.57%
▲
(+0.02)
Derry City
10.28%
Both Teams to Score:
50.69%
▲
(+0.04)
Goals
Over 1.5
82.03%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
17.97%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 2.5
61.02%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
38.98%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
38.25%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 3.5
61.75%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 4.5
26.34%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 4.5
73.66%
▲
(+0.04)
First Half Winner
St Patrick's Athletic
52.92%
▲
(+0.03)
Draw
34.26%
Derry City
12.83%
▼
(-0.01)
Team To Score First
St Patrick's Athletic
70.72%
▼
(-0.08)
No Goal
3.89%
▲
(+0.02)
Derry City
25.39%
▲
(+0.07)
Corners
Over 8
73.1%
▲
(+0.29)
Equal 8
9.46%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 8
17.44%
▼
(-0.28)
Over 9
62.08%
▲
(+0.27)
Equal 9
11.02%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 9
26.9%
▼
(-0.30)
Over 10.5
50.42%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 10.5
49.58%
▼
(-0.22)
St Patrick's Athletic Goals
Over 1.5
67.99%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
32.01%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 2.5
40.92%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 2.5
59.08%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 3.5
20.58%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 3.5
79.42%
▲
(+0.05)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5
43.93%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
56.07%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
14.99%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
85.01%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 2.5
3.69%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 2.5
96.31%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 3.5
0.79%
Under 3.5
99.21%
Score analysis
St Patrick's Athletic
73.15%
Draw
16.56%
Derry City
10.28%
St Patrick's Athletic
2-0
@
11.93%
▲
(+0.05)
1-0 @ 10.8%
2-1 @ 10.37% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 8.97%
3-1 @ 7.28% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.33%
Other @ 20.47% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 73.15%
1-0 @ 10.8%
2-1 @ 10.37% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 8.97%
3-1 @ 7.28% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.33%
Other @ 20.47% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 73.15%
Draw
1-1
@
8.02%
▼
(-0.02)
0-0 @ 3.89% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 16.56%
0-0 @ 3.89% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 16.56%
Derry City
0-1
@
3.27%
1-2 @ 3.12%
0-2 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 10.28%
1-2 @ 3.12%
0-2 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 10.28%
Head to Head
League of Ireland Premier
Gameweek
18
-
H. Rylah
62'
-
D. Markey
73'
-
D. Markey
74'
-
Joshua Thomas
82'
-
Barry Baggley
60'
-
Anto Breslin
60'
-
Romal Palmer
72'
-
Aidan Keena
81'
League of Ireland Premier
Gameweek
7
-
Glory Nzingo
66'
-
Max Mata
66'
-
Anto Breslin
79'
-
Adam O'Reilly
70'
-
Joshua Thomas
71'
-
Conor Barr
71'
-
B. Cotter
71'
-
James Clarke
71'
League of Ireland Premier
League of Ireland Premier
Gameweek
21
League of Ireland Premier
Gameweek
14
May 5, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT :
0
0
FT
The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium (Derry (Londonderry))
-
Paul McMullan
12'
-
Shane Ferguson
37'
-
Danny Mullen
48'
-
Tom Grivosti
61'
-
Anthony Breslin
75'
-
Joe Redmond
90'+4'
League of Ireland Premier
Gameweek
4
-
Aidan Keena
16'
-
Tom Grivosti
47'
-
Tom Grivosti
48'
-
Aidan Keena
67'
-
Mark Connolly
39'
-
Carl Winchester
47'
-
Patrick Hoban
48'
-
Sadou Diallo
76'
-
Sean Patton
90'+1'