League of Ireland Premier
Gameweek
26
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St Patrick's Athletic vs Derry City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 73.17%. A draw has a probability of 16.55% and a win for Derry City has a probability of 10.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (10.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.04%) , while for a Derry City win it is 0-1 (3.27%).
Result
St Patrick's Athletic
73.17%
▼
(-0.13)
Draw
16.55%
▲
(+0.02)
Derry City
10.28%
▲
(+0.07)
Both Teams to Score:
50.65%
▲
(+0.12)
Goals
Over 1.5
82.05%
Under 1.5
17.95%
Over 2.5
61.04%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 2.5
38.96%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 3.5
38.28%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 3.5
61.72%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 4.5
26.37%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 4.5
73.63%
▼
(-0.02)
First Half Winner
St Patrick's Athletic
52.9%
▼
(-0.03)
Draw
34.26%
▲
(+0.02)
Derry City
12.84%
Team To Score First
St Patrick's Athletic
70.79%
▲
(+0.06)
No Goal
3.88%
▼
(-0.03)
Derry City
25.33%
▼
(-0.04)
Corners
Over 8
72.81%
Equal 8
9.48%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 8
17.72%
Over 9
61.81%
Equal 9
11%
Under 9
27.19%
Over 10.5
50.21%
Under 10.5
49.79%
St Patrick's Athletic Goals
Over 1.5
67.98%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
32.02%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 2.5
40.96%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 2.5
59.04%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 3.5
20.62%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
79.38%
▲
(+0.01)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5
43.96%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 0.5
56.04%
▼
(-0.12)
Over 1.5
14.98%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 1.5
85.02%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 2.5
3.68%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 2.5
96.32%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 3.5
0.79%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
99.21%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
St Patrick's Athletic
73.16%
Draw
16.55%
Derry City
10.29%
St Patrick's Athletic
2-0
@
11.88%
▼
(-0.09)
1-0 @ 10.8% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 10.38%
3-0 @ 8.97% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 7.29% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.33%
Other @ 20.51% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 73.16%
1-0 @ 10.8% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 10.38%
3-0 @ 8.97% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 7.29% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.33%
Other @ 20.51% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 73.16%
Draw
1-1
@
8.04%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 3.77% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 16.55%
0-0 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 3.77% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 16.55%
Derry City
0-1
@
3.27%
1-2 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.68% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 10.29%
1-2 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.68% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 10.29%
Head to Head
League of Ireland Premier
Gameweek
18
-
H. Rylah
62'
-
D. Markey
73'
-
D. Markey
74'
-
Joshua Thomas
82'
-
Barry Baggley
60'
-
Anto Breslin
60'
-
Romal Palmer
72'
-
Aidan Keena
81'
League of Ireland Premier
Gameweek
7
-
Glory Nzingo
66'
-
Max Mata
66'
-
Anto Breslin
79'
-
Adam O'Reilly
70'
-
Joshua Thomas
71'
-
Conor Barr
71'
-
B. Cotter
71'
-
James Clarke
71'
League of Ireland Premier
League of Ireland Premier
Gameweek
21
League of Ireland Premier
Gameweek
14
May 5, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT :
0
0
FT
The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium (Derry (Londonderry))
-
Paul McMullan
12'
-
Shane Ferguson
37'
-
Danny Mullen
48'
-
Tom Grivosti
61'
-
Anthony Breslin
75'
-
Joe Redmond
90'+4'
League of Ireland Premier
Gameweek
4
-
Aidan Keena
16'
-
Tom Grivosti
47'
-
Tom Grivosti
48'
-
Aidan Keena
67'
-
Mark Connolly
39'
-
Carl Winchester
47'
-
Patrick Hoban
48'
-
Sadou Diallo
76'
-
Sean Patton
90'+1'