Conference League
Jul 30, 2026 6.30pm
The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium

Derry City vs HNK Rijeka - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Derry City

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Jul 23, 2026 7.45pm
Rijeka 1 - 0 Derry

HNK Rijeka

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Jul 23, 2026 7.45pm
Rijeka 1 - 0 Derry

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derry City win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for HNK Rijeka has a probability of 33.05% and a draw has a probability of 25.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest HNK Rijeka win is 0-1 (8.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.16%).

Result

Derry City 41.07% (+0.01)
Draw 25.91% (-0.02)
HNK Rijeka 33.05%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.98%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.68% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 26.32% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 49.05% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 50.95% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 26.66%
Under 3.5 73.34%
Over 4.5 14.64%
Under 4.5 85.36%

First Half Winner

Derry City 30.83% (-0.04)
Draw 46.38%
HNK Rijeka 22.79% (+0.03)

Team To Score First

Derry City 51.62% (+0.03)
No Goal 7.5%
HNK Rijeka 40.88% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 58.9% (-0.08)
Equal 8 10.53% (-0.01)
Under 8 30.57% (+0.09)
Over 9 48.07% (-0.08)
Equal 9 10.83% (-0.01)
Under 9 41.1% (+0.08)
Over 10.5 37.77% (-0.08)
Under 10.5 62.22% (+0.07)

Derry City Goals

Over 1.5 39.15% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 60.85% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 16.38% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 83.62% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 5.41%
Under 3.5 94.59%

HNK Rijeka Goals

Over 0.5 66.53% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 33.47% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 33.13% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 66.87% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 12.38% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 87.62% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.83%
Under 3.5 96.17%

Score analysis

Derry City 41.07%
Draw 25.91%
HNK Rijeka 33.04%
Derry City
1-0 @ 10.15%
2-1 @ 8.67%
2-0 @ 7.06%
3-1 @ 3.88%
3-0 @ 3.52% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.53%
Other @ 5.26%
Total : 41.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.16% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.5%
2-2 @ 5.06%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.91%
HNK Rijeka
0-1 @ 8.69% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.74% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.42% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.07%
0-3 @ 2.46% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.98%
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 33.04%

Head to Head

Conference League
Jul 23, 2026 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion HNK Rijeka
  • Ante Orec 7' yellowcard
  • Toni Fruk 52' goal
  • Daniel Adu-Adjei 59' yellowcard