Conference League
Jul 23, 2026 7.45pm
Stadion HNK Rijeka

HNK Rijeka vs Derry City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

HNK Rijeka

All competitions

Derry City

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 53.57%. A draw has a probability of 24.12% and a win for Derry City has a probability of 22.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.08%) and 2-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.26%) , while for a Derry City win it is 0-1 (6.92%).

Result

HNK Rijeka 53.57% (-0.04)
Draw 24.12% (-0.01)
Derry City 22.28% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.64% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.95% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 26.05% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 49.91% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 50.08% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 27.53% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 72.47% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 16.16% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 83.84% (+0.03)

First Half Winner

HNK Rijeka 35.62% (-0.03)
Draw 45.02% (+0.03)
Derry City 19.36%

Team To Score First

HNK Rijeka 58.72% (-0.07)
No Goal 7.38% (+0.01)
Derry City 33.9% (+0.05)

Corners

Over 8 58.64% (-0.21)
Equal 8 11.36% (+0.01)
Under 8 30.01% (+0.21)
Over 9 46.99% (-0.18)
Equal 9 11.65% (-0.02)
Under 9 41.36% (+0.21)
Over 10.5 36.02% (-0.15)
Under 10.5 63.98% (+0.15)

HNK Rijeka Goals

Over 1.5 48.87% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 51.13% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 23.14% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 76.86% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 9.02% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 90.98% (+0.02)

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5 56.95% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 43.05% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 23.6%
Under 1.5 76.4%
Over 2.5 7.71% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 92.29% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.05%
Under 3.5 97.95%

Score analysis

HNK Rijeka 53.57%
Draw 24.12%
Derry City 22.28%
HNK Rijeka
1-0 @ 11.72% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 10.08%
2-0 @ 9.68% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.35%
3-1 @ 5.09%
3-2 @ 2.76% (+0.01)
Other @ 8.89% (-0.01)
Total : 53.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.26%
0-0 @ 7.38% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.43% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.12%
Derry City
0-1 @ 6.92% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.61% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.09%
1-3 @ 1.86%
2-3 @ 1.54% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.34% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 22.28%