Europa League
Jul 16, 2026 6.30pm

Derry City vs CSKA Sofia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Derry City

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Jul 9, 2026 7.00pm
CSKA Sofia 3 - 2 Derry

CSKA Sofia

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Jul 9, 2026 7.00pm
CSKA Sofia 3 - 2 Derry

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derry City win with a probability of 48.3%. A win for CSKA Sofia has a probability of 27.33% and a draw has a probability of 24.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest CSKA Sofia win is 0-1 (7.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.34%).

Result

Derry City 48.3% (+0.06)
Draw 24.38% (+0.01)
CSKA Sofia 27.33% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.67% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.69% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 24.31% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 52.03% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 47.97% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 29.44% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 70.56% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 17.07% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 82.93% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Derry City 32.07% (+0.04)
Draw 44.16% (+0.02)
CSKA Sofia 23.77% (-0.08)

Team To Score First

Derry City 52.63% (+0.04)
No Goal 6.89% (-0.04)
CSKA Sofia 40.48% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 59.11% (+0.02)
Equal 8 11.15%
Under 8 29.74% (-0.03)
Over 9 47.63% (+0.02)
Equal 9 11.47%
Under 9 40.89% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 36.79% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 63.21% (-0.02)

Derry City Goals

Over 1.5 46.13% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 53.87% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 21.46% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 78.54% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 8.1% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 91.9% (-0.06)

CSKA Sofia Goals

Over 0.5 62.04% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 37.96% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 29.22%
Under 1.5 70.78%
Over 2.5 10.38% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 89.62% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.18%
Under 3.5 96.82%

Score analysis

Derry City 48.29%
Draw 24.37%
CSKA Sofia 27.34%
Derry City
1-0 @ 10.23% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.4%
2-0 @ 8.29% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.89%
3-0 @ 4.53% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.93%
Other @ 8.02% (+0.05)
Total : 48.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.34% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.89% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.05% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.08% (+0.01)
Total : 24.37%
CSKA Sofia
0-1 @ 7.19% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.82% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.04% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.42% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.93% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.84% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.1% (-0.01)
Total : 27.34%

Head to Head

Europa League
Jul 9, 2026 7.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Stadion Vasil Levski
  • Ioannis Pittas 19' goal
  • Bruno Jordão 41' goal
  • Ioannis Pittas 53' goal
  • goal Liam Boyce 31'
  • yellowcard Barry Cotter 75'
  • goal James Olayinka 88'