Europa League
Jul 9, 2026 7.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Stadion Vasil Levski
  • Ioannis Pittas 19' goal
  • Bruno Jordão 41' goal
  • Ioannis Pittas 53' goal
  • goal Liam Boyce 31'
  • yellowcard Barry Cotter 75'
  • goal James Olayinka 88'

CSKA Sofia vs Derry City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

CSKA Sofia

All competitions

Derry City

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Sofia win with a probability of 36.83%. A win for Derry City had a probability of 36.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Sofia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Derry City win was 0-1 (10.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result

CSKA Sofia 36.83% (-0.22)
Draw 26.91% (+0.33)
Derry City 36.22% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.47% (+0.45)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.54% (+0.58)
Under 1.5 29.46% (-0.58)
Over 2.5 45.19% (+0.70)
Under 2.5 54.81% (-0.70)
Over 3.5 23.61% (+0.49)
Under 3.5 76.39% (-0.49)
Over 4.5 12.59% (+0.35)
Under 4.5 87.41% (-0.36)

First Half Winner

CSKA Sofia 31.35% (+0.24)
Draw 44.11% (-0.39)
Derry City 24.54% (+0.15)

Team To Score First

CSKA Sofia 51.56% (-0.90)
No Goal 8.66% (+0.03)
Derry City 39.78% (+0.86)

Corners

Over 8 49.17% (-1.15)
Equal 8 11.98% (+0.12)
Under 8 38.85% (+1.03)
Over 9 37.77% (-1.19)
Equal 9 11.4% (+0.06)
Under 9 50.83% (+1.15)
Over 10.5 27.78% (-1.18)
Under 10.5 72.22% (+1.18)

CSKA Sofia Goals

Over 1.5 34.05% (+0.42)
Under 1.5 65.95% (-0.43)
Over 2.5 12.59% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 87.41% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 3.87% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 96.13% (-0.11)

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5 67.74% (+0.27)
Under 0.5 32.26% (-0.28)
Over 1.5 33.44% (+0.54)
Under 1.5 66.56% (-0.54)
Over 2.5 12.78% (+0.34)
Under 2.5 87.22% (-0.33)
Over 3.5 3.88% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 96.12% (-0.13)

Score analysis

CSKA Sofia 36.84%
Draw 26.91%
Derry City 36.22%
CSKA Sofia
1-0 @ 10.41% (-0.33)
2-1 @ 8.17% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 6.57% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.1% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.77% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.82% (+0.07)
Total : 36.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.67% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 8.66% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.68% (+0.15)
Other @ 0.05% (+0.04)
Total : 26.91%
Derry City
0-1 @ 10.36% (-0.29)
1-2 @ 7.87% (+0.08)
0-2 @ 6.11% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.24% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.77% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.04%
Other @ 3.83% (+0.09)
Total : 36.22%