Europa League
Jul 9, 2026 7.00pm
Stadion Vasil Levski

CSKA Sofia vs Derry City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

CSKA Sofia

All competitions

Derry City

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a CSKA Sofia win with a probability of 37.05%. A win for Derry City has a probability of 36.32% and a draw has a probability of 26.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Sofia win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Derry City win is 0-1 (10.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.71%).

Result

CSKA Sofia 37.05% (-0.08)
Draw 26.59% (-0.04)
Derry City 36.32% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.02% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.97% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 30.03% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 44.49% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 55.51% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 23.13% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 76.87% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 12.24% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 87.76% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

CSKA Sofia 31.12%
Draw 44.49%
Derry City 24.39%

Team To Score First

CSKA Sofia 52.45% (+0.03)
No Goal 8.63% (-0.03)
Derry City 38.92% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 50.31%
Equal 8 11.87%
Under 8 37.83%
Over 9 38.96%
Equal 9 11.35%
Under 9 49.69%
Over 10.5 28.96%
Under 10.5 71.04%

CSKA Sofia Goals

Over 1.5 33.63% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 66.37% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 12.35% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 87.65% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 3.76% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.24% (-0.02)

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5 67.47% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 32.53% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 32.91% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 67.09% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 12.45% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 87.55% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 3.75% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.25% (-0.04)

Score analysis

CSKA Sofia 37.06%
Draw 26.6%
Derry City 36.31%
CSKA Sofia
1-0 @ 10.73% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.1% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.61% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.11%
3-0 @ 2.78%
3-2 @ 1.98%
Other @ 3.75% (+0.01)
Total : 37.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.71% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.63% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.53% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.6%
Derry City
0-1 @ 10.64% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.8% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.15%
1-3 @ 3.26% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.68%
2-3 @ 2.04% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.74% (+0.04)
Total : 36.31%