League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 25
St Patrick's
Jul 24, 2026 8.00pm
Richmond Park
Dundalk

St Patrick's Athletic vs Dundalk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

St Patrick's Athletic

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Jul 10, 2026 8.00pm
Waterford 1 - 1 St Patrick's
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
R. Edmondson

Dundalk

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Jul 10, 2026 7.45pm
Dundalk 1 - 2 Drogheda
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Gbemi Arubi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 63.03%. A draw has a probability of 20.61% and a win for Dundalk has a probability of 16.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win is 2-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.38%) and 1-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.4%) , while for a Dundalk win it is 1-2 (4.94%).

Result

St Patrick's Athletic 63.03% ▼ (-0.12)
Draw 20.61% ▲ (+0.04)
Dundalk 16.36% ▲ (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.91% ▲ (+0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.22% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 16.78% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 62.55% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 37.45% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 37.75% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 62.25% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 4.5 24.16% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 75.84% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

St Patrick's Athletic 47.1% ▼ (-0.05)
Draw 33.37%
Dundalk 19.53% ▲ (+0.06)

Team To Score First

St Patrick's Athletic 61.98% ▼ (-0.03)
No Goal 4.21%
Dundalk 33.81% ▲ (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 78.48% ▼ (-0.15)
Equal 8 8.07% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 8 13.45% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 9 68.6% ▼ (-0.17)
Equal 9 9.88% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 9 21.52% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 10.5 57.61% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 10.5 42.39% ▲ (+0.17)

St Patrick's Athletic Goals

Over 1.5 62.84% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 37.16% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 34.67% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 65.33% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 15.85% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 84.15% ▲ (+0.03)

Dundalk Goals

Over 0.5 54.85% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 0.5 45.15% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 1.5 23.27% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 76.73% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 2.5 7.54% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 92.46% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 1.91% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 98.09% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

St Patrick's Athletic 63.04%
Draw 20.61%
Dundalk 16.37%
St Patrick's Athletic
2-1 @ 11.79% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 9.38% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 8.89% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 7.13% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 6.69%
3-2 @ 3.6% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 15.56% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 63.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.4% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.31% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.21%
3-3 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.29% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 20.61%
Dundalk
1-2 @ 4.94% ▲ (+0.03)
0-1 @ 3.7%
0-2 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 16.37%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 10
Dundalk
Apr 6, 2026 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Oriel Park
St Patrick's
  • Tyreke Wilson 7' goal
  • Shane Tracey 21' goal
  • John Wilson 46' yellowcard
  • 46' yellowcard
  • Keith Buckley 46' yellowcard
  • Mayowa Animasahun 56' yellowcard
  • Harry Groome 56' yellowcard
  • D. McDaid 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Romal Palmer 16'
  • yellowcard Romal Palmer 17'
  • yellowcard R. Edmondson 44'
  • yellowcard John Wilson 46'
  • yellowcard Jamie Lennon 46'
  • yellowcard Chris Forrester 76'
  • yellowcard Glory Nzingo 76'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 4
St Patrick's
Feb 27, 2026 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Richmond Park
Dundalk
  • Romal Palmer 20' goal
  • Sean Hoare 26' goal
  • Chris Forrester 46' yellowcard
  • Zach Elbouzedi 48' goal
  • Tom Grivosti 53' yellowcard
  • Jason McClelland 55' yellowcard
  • Aidan Keena 73' yellowcard
  • Darragh Nugent 73' yellowcard
  • Aidan Keena 83' goal
  • yellowcard Ronan Teahan 46'
  • yellowcard Gbemi Arubi 46'
  • yellowcard Harry Groome 57'
  • yellowcard D. McDaid 57'
  • yellowcard Conor O'Keeffe 82'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 28
Dundalk
Sep 5, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Oriel Park
St Patrick's
  • Eoin Kenny 2' goal
  • Dan Pike 47' yellowcard
  • goal Tom Grivosti 54'
  • goal Mason Melia 68'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 19
St Patrick's
Jun 3, 2024 5.15pm
2
3
HT : 2 3
FT Richmond Park
Dundalk
  • Joe Redmond 16' yellowcard
  • Chris Forrester 27' goal
  • Jamie Lennon 35' goal
  • Mason Melia 58' yellowcard
  • goal James Gullan 2'
  • goal Ryan O'Kane 4'
  • yellowcard Paul Doyle 18'
  • goal James Gullan 22'
  • yellowcard Archie Davies 51'
  • yellowcard Zac Johnson 62'
  • yellowcard Daryl Horgan 90'+4'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 10
Dundalk
Apr 12, 2024 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Oriel Park
St Patrick's
  • Zak Bradshaw 63' yellowcard
  • Robbie Benson 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Nolan 61'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Daly 62'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 5
St Patrick's
Mar 8, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Richmond Park
Dundalk
  • Ruairi Keating 30' goal
  • Alex Nolan 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Jamie Lennon 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robbie Benson 48'
  • yellowcard Koen Oostenbrink 68'
  • yellowcard Robbie Mahon 90'+1'

Form Data

Doncaster 4 - 2 St Patrick's
Waterford 1 - 1 St Patrick's
St Patrick's 3 - 0 Galway United
Bohemians 2 - 0 St Patrick's
St Patrick's 2 - 0 Sligo
St Patrick's 2 - 0 Drogheda
Dundalk 1 - 2 Drogheda
Shelbourne 2 - 1 Dundalk
Dundalk 2 - 3 Waterford
Bohemians 1 - 2 Dundalk
Galway United 0 - 1 Dundalk
Dundalk 2 - 1 Derry