La Liga Gameweek 13
Nov 21, 2026 8.00pm
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Nov 7, 2026 8.00pm
Valencia 0 - 3 Real Madrid
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Kylian Mbappé 

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Last game
Nov 8, 2026 5.30pm
Celta Vigo 0 - 0 Levante
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Ferran Jutglà

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 73.27%. A draw has a probability of 18.63% and a win for Celta Vigo has a probability of 8.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 2-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (12.88%) and 3-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.44%) , while for a Celta Vigo win it is 0-1 (3.16%).

Result

Real Madrid 73.27% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 18.63% ▼ (-0.05)
Celta Vigo 8.11% ▼ (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.75% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.05% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 22.95% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 55.32% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 44.68%
Over 3.5 35.57% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 64.43% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 4.5 25.41% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 74.59% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Real Madrid 55.81%
Draw 32.22%
Celta Vigo 11.98%

Team To Score First

Real Madrid 70.13% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 6.93% ▼ (-0.03)
Celta Vigo 22.94% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 63.29%
Equal 8 11.17%
Under 8 25.54%
Over 9 51.37%
Equal 9 11.92%
Under 9 36.71%
Over 10.5 39.76%
Under 10.5 60.24%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 1.5 65.43% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 1.5 34.57% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 2.5 39.93% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 60.07% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 20.53% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 79.47% ▼ (-0.04)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5 36.71% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 63.29% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 12.11%
Under 1.5 87.89%
Over 2.5 2.76% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 97.24% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 0.74% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.26% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Real Madrid 73.28%
Draw 18.63%
Celta Vigo 8.11%
Real Madrid
2-0 @ 13.27% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 12.88% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 9.84% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.95%
3-1 @ 6.05% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.9%
Other @ 20.39% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 73.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.44% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.93% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 3.51%
Other @ 0.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 18.63%
Celta Vigo
0-1 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.03)
1-2 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 8.11%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 27
Mar 6, 2026 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio de Balaídos
  • Borja Iglesias 25' goal
  • Fer López 69' yellowcard
  • Hugo Álvarez 70' yellowcard
  • Jones El-Abdellaoui 70' yellowcard
  • Iago Aspas 83' yellowcard
  • Matías Vecino 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Aurélien Tchouaméni 11'
  • yellowcard César Palacios 65'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo García 77'
  • yellowcard Manuel Ángel Morán 90'
  • goal Federico Valverde 90'+4'
La Liga
Dec 7, 2025 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
  • Jude Bellingham 62' yellowcard
  • Fran Garcia 63' yellowcard
  • Fran García 63' yellowcard
  • Fran Garcia 64' yellowcard
  • Fran García 64' redcard
  • Fran Garcia 65' yellowcard
  • Xabi Alonso 73' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Fernandez 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Álvaro Carreras  90'+1' yellowcard
  • Federico Valverde 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Fernandez 90'+2' redcard
  • Rodrygo 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Xabi Alonso 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Álvaro Carreras  90'+2' redcard
  • Endrick 90'+2' redcard
  • goal Williot Swedberg 53'
  • yellowcard Ilaix Moriba 83'
  • goal Williot Swedberg 90'+3'
La Liga Gameweek 34
May 4, 2025 1.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
  • Arda Guler 33' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 39' goal
  • Jude Bellingham 45' yellowcard
  • Kylian Mbappe 48' goal
  • Jacobo Ramon Naveros 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yoel Lago Amil 62'
  • goal Javier Rodriguez Galiano 69'
  • goal Williot Swedberg 76'
Copa del Rey
Jan 16, 2025 8.30pm
5
2
HT : 1 0
ET Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
  • Kylian Mbappe 37' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 48' goal
  • Raul Asencio del Rosario 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Endrick 108' goal
  • Endrick 109' yellowcard
  • Federico Valverde 112' goal
  • Endrick 119' goal
  • goal Jonathan Bamba 83'
  • goal Marcos Alonso 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Ivan Villar 96'
  • yellowcard Marcos Alonso 101'
  • yellowcard Carl Starfelt 101'
  • yellowcard Borja Iglesias 111'
La Liga Gameweek 10
Oct 19, 2024 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de Balaidos
  • Williot Swedberg 51' goal
  • Hugo Sotelo 82' yellowcard
  • Marcos Alonso 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carlo Ancelotti 19'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 20'
  • goal Vinicius Junior 66'
  • yellowcard Lucas Vazquez 75'
La Liga Gameweek 28
Mar 10, 2024 5.30pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
  • Vinicius Junior 21' goal
  • Eduardo Camavinga 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Junior 55' yellowcard
  • Vicente Guaita 79' goal
  • Carlos Dominguez 88' goal
  • Arda Guler 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Luca de la Torre 25'
  • yellowcard Oscar Mingueza 55'
  • yellowcard Javi Manquillo 82'