Europa League Gameweek 3
Oct 22, 2026 8.00pm
Celtic Park

Celtic vs Celta Vigo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Celtic

All competitions

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 16, 2026 5.45pm
Omonia 1 - 0 Celta Vigo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Celtic win with a probability of 57.87%. A draw has a probability of 23.78% and a win for Celta Vigo has a probability of 18.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.08%) , while for a Celta Vigo win it is 0-1 (5.92%).

Result

Celtic 57.87% ▲ (+3.16)
Draw 23.78% ▼ (-0.29)
Celta Vigo 18.39% ▼ (-2.79)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.94% ▼ (-0.50)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.15% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 1.5 24.85% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 2.5 51.21% ▲ (+0.42)
Under 2.5 48.79% ▼ (-0.42)
Over 3.5 29.2% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 70.8% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 4.5 17.82% ▲ (+0.40)
Under 4.5 82.18% ▼ (-0.39)

First Half Winner

Celtic 48.33% ▲ (+3.20)
Draw 36.46% ▼ (-1.11)
Celta Vigo 15.22% ▼ (-2.10)

Team To Score First

Celtic 62.62% ▲ (+1.97)
No Goal 7.14% ▼ (-0.07)
Celta Vigo 30.24% ▼ (-1.91)

Corners

Over 8 57.26% ▼ (-0.58)
Equal 8 10.69% ▼ (-0.50)
Under 8 32.05% ▲ (+1.07)
Over 9 46.43% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 9 10.82% ▼ (-0.58)
Under 9 42.74% ▲ (+0.58)
Over 10.5 36.3% ▲ (+0.52)
Under 10.5 63.7% ▼ (-0.52)

Celtic Goals

Over 1.5 52.77% ▲ (+2.18)
Under 1.5 47.23% ▼ (-2.18)
Over 2.5 27.49% ▲ (+1.89)
Under 2.5 72.51% ▼ (-1.90)
Over 3.5 11.68% ▲ (+1.40)
Under 3.5 88.32% ▼ (-1.40)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5 52.7% ▼ (-3.07)
Under 0.5 47.3% ▲ (+3.07)
Over 1.5 20.97% ▼ (-2.43)
Under 1.5 79.03% ▲ (+2.43)
Over 2.5 5.76% ▼ (-1.54)
Under 2.5 94.24% ▲ (+1.54)
Over 3.5 1.38% ▼ (-0.60)
Under 3.5 98.62% ▲ (+0.60)

Score analysis

Celtic 57.86%
Draw 23.78%
Celta Vigo 18.39%
Celtic
1-0 @ 11.82% ▲ (+0.49)
2-0 @ 10.14% ▲ (+0.42)
2-1 @ 9.34% ▲ (+0.16)
3-0 @ 6.69% ▲ (+0.83)
3-1 @ 5.39% ▼ (-0.11)
3-2 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 11.54% ▲ (+1.50)
Total : 57.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.08% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 7.14% ▼ (-0.07)
2-2 @ 4.63% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.14% ▼ (-0.11)
Total : 23.78%
Celta Vigo
0-1 @ 5.92% ▼ (-0.67)
1-2 @ 4.91% ▼ (-0.34)
0-2 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.46)
1-3 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.39)
2-3 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.31)
0-3 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.48)
Total : 18.39%