La Liga Gameweek 9
Oct 18, 2026 3.15pm
Abanca-Balaídos

Celta Vigo vs Alaves - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Last game
Oct 11, 2026 1.00pm
Elche 0 - 0 Celta Vigo
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Pablo Durán

Alaves

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 3.15pm
Alaves 1 - 2 Atletico
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Lucas Boyé

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 45.28%. A win for Alaves has a probability of 27.81% and a draw has a probability of 26.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Alaves win is 0-1 (7.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.78%).

Result

Celta Vigo 45.28% ▲ (+0.36)
Draw 26.91% ▼ (-0.04)
Alaves 27.81% ▼ (-0.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.74% ▼ (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.01% ▲ (+0.28)
Under 1.5 26.99% ▼ (-0.28)
Over 2.5 48.1% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 51.87% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 25.64% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 3.5 74.35% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 4.5 13.88% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 4.5 86.12% ▼ (-0.18)

First Half Winner

Celta Vigo 32.77% ▲ (+0.56)
Draw 43.95% ▼ (-1.06)
Alaves 23.28% ▲ (+0.52)

Team To Score First

Celta Vigo 52.27% ▼ (-0.29)
No Goal 7.84% ▼ (-0.13)
Alaves 39.89% ▲ (+0.43)

Corners

Over 8 54.22% ▲ (+1.97)
Equal 8 12.48% ▲ (+0.52)
Under 8 33.3% ▼ (-2.49)
Over 9 41.83% ▲ (+1.23)
Equal 9 12.39% ▲ (+0.73)
Under 9 45.78% ▼ (-1.97)
Over 10.5 30.62% ▲ (+0.49)
Under 10.5 69.38% ▼ (-0.49)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 1.5 42.1% ▲ (+0.39)
Under 1.5 57.9% ▼ (-0.39)
Over 2.5 17.85% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 2.5 82.15% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 3.5 6.2% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 3.5 93.8% ▼ (-0.21)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5 62.77% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 0.5 37.23% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 1.5 28.73% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 1.5 71.27% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 2.5 9.48% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 2.5 90.52% ▲ (+0.19)
Over 3.5 2.57% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.43% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Celta Vigo 45.28%
Draw 26.91%
Alaves 27.81%
Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 11.28% ▼ (-0.07)
2-1 @ 9.25% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 7.92% ▲ (+0.21)
3-1 @ 4.14% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 4.1%
3-2 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 6.09% ▲ (+0.21)
Total : 45.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.78% ▲ (+0.10)
0-0 @ 7.84% ▼ (-0.13)
2-2 @ 5.27%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.91%
Alaves
0-1 @ 7.87% ▼ (-0.09)
1-2 @ 7.26% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.22% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.10)
2-3 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 27.81%

Head to Head

La Liga
Mar 22, 2026 3.15pm
3
4
HT : 3 1
FT Estadio de Balaídos
  • Ferran Jutglà 19' goal
  • Hugo Álvarez 27' goal
  • Ferran Jutglà 37' goal
  • Sergio Carreira 54' yellowcard
  • Fer López 54' yellowcard
  • Javi Rueda 69' yellowcard
  • Pablo Durán 69' yellowcard
  • Iago Aspas 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jon Guridi 46'
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Diabaté 46'
  • yellowcard Abde Rebbach 46'
  • yellowcard Denis Suárez 46'
  • goal Toni Martínez 45'+3'
  • goal Ángel Pérez 50'
  • goal Toni Martínez 74'
  • goal Abde Rebbach 78'
  • yellowcard Ville Koski 90'+4'
La Liga
Nov 22, 2025 1.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
La Liga Gameweek 21
Jan 27, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
  • Kike 6' goal
  • Abdel Abqar 78' yellowcard
  • Kike 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marcos Alonso 34'
  • yellowcard Mihailo Ristic 64'
  • goal Pablo Duran Fernandez 66'
  • yellowcard Hugo Alvarez 81'
La Liga Gameweek 1
Aug 16, 2024 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de Balaidos
  • Iago Aspas 9' yellowcard
  • Claudio Giraldez Gonzalez 61' yellowcard
  • Williot Swedberg 66' goal
  • Iago Aspas 84' goal
  • Damian Rodriguez 87' yellowcard
  • goal Kike 17'
  • yellowcard Tomas Conechny 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Damian Rodriguez 90'+5'
La Liga Gameweek 33
Apr 27, 2024 5.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
  • Ruben Duarte 19' yellowcard
  • Antonio Blanco 22' yellowcard
  • Giuliano Simeone 48' goal
  • Jon Guridi 54' goal
  • Antonio Sivera 78' yellowcard
  • Carlos Benavidez 86' goal
  • yellowcard Carles Perez 21'
  • yellowcard Oscar Mingueza 85'
  • yellowcard Hugo Alvarez 88'
La Liga Gameweek 7
Sep 28, 2023 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Balaidos
  • Luca de la Torre 15' yellowcard
  • Rafa Marin 35' goal
  • Iago Aspas 52' yellowcard
  • Fran Beltran 52' yellowcard
  • Luca de la Torre 68' redcard
  • Jorgen Strand Larsen 69' yellowcard
  • Carles Perez 75' yellowcard
  • goal Samu Omorodion 73'
  • yellowcard Javi Lopez 78'
  • yellowcard Rafa Marin 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Luis Rioja 90'+5'