Scottish Premiership Gameweek 9
Oct 18, 2026 3.00pm
Celtic Park

Celtic vs Hearts - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Celtic

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Oct 11, 2026 12.00pm
Motherwell 0 - 2 Celtic
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Benjamin Nygren

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 3.00pm
Hearts 5 - 0 St Mirren
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Josh McPake

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Celtic win with a probability of 54.82%. A win for Hearts has a probability of 23.35% and a draw has a probability of 21.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Hearts win is 1-2 (6.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.71%).

Result

Celtic 54.82% ▲ (+0.22)
Draw 21.79% ▼ (-0.02)
Hearts 23.35% ▼ (-0.30)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.06% ▼ (-1.12)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.38% ▼ (-0.68)
Under 1.5 17.62% ▲ (+0.68)
Over 2.5 61.77% ▼ (-0.98)
Under 2.5 38.23% ▲ (+0.98)
Over 3.5 38.73% ▼ (-0.62)
Under 3.5 61.28% ▲ (+0.63)
Over 4.5 23.96% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 4.5 76.04% ▲ (+0.34)

First Half Winner

Celtic 42.3% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 36.01% ▼ (-0.17)
Hearts 21.7% ▲ (+0.18)

Team To Score First

Celtic 60.66% ▼ (-1.12)
No Goal 4.22% ▲ (+0.10)
Hearts 35.12% ▲ (+1.01)

Corners

Over 8 74.47% ▲ (+5.82)
Equal 8 9.21% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 8 16.32% ▼ (-5.39)
Over 9 63.57% ▲ (+5.62)
Equal 9 10.9% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 9 25.53% ▼ (-5.82)
Over 10.5 51.88% ▲ (+4.88)
Under 10.5 48.12% ▼ (-4.88)

Celtic Goals

Over 1.5 56.56% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 1.5 43.44% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 2.5 30.15% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 2.5 69.85% ▲ (+0.32)
Over 3.5 12.66% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 3.5 87.34% ▲ (+0.15)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 61.55% ▼ (-0.68)
Under 0.5 38.45% ▲ (+0.68)
Over 1.5 30.42% ▼ (-0.77)
Under 1.5 69.58% ▲ (+0.77)
Over 2.5 11.08% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 2.5 88.92% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 3.5 3.47% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.53% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Celtic 54.83%
Draw 21.8%
Hearts 23.34%
Celtic
2-1 @ 10.09% ▼ (-0.05)
1-0 @ 8.36% ▲ (+0.34)
2-0 @ 8.12% ▲ (+0.22)
3-1 @ 6.32% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 5.31% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 4.22% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 12.41% ▼ (-0.13)
Total : 54.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.71% ▲ (+0.10)
2-2 @ 5.98% ▼ (-0.18)
0-0 @ 4.22% ▲ (+0.10)
3-3 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.25% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 21.8%
Hearts
1-2 @ 6.37% ▼ (-0.25)
0-1 @ 5.01% ▲ (+0.14)
0-2 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 3.22% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 23.34%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
May 16, 2026 12.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Celtic Park
  • Kelechi Iheanacho 46' yellowcard
  • Arne Engels 45'+4' yellowcard
  • James Forrest 62' yellowcard
  • Callum Osmand 73' yellowcard
  • Marcelo Saracchi 73' yellowcard
  • Daizen Maeda 87' goal
  • Dane Murray 90' yellowcard
  • Callum Osmand 90'+8' goal
  • goal Lawrence Shankland 43'
  • yellowcard Frankie Kent 47'
  • yellowcard Blair Spittal 51'
  • yellowcard Alan Forrest 67'
  • yellowcard Islam Chesnokov 68'
  • yellowcard Cláudio Braga 68'
Scottish Premiership
Jan 25, 2026 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Stuart Findlay 48' goal
  • Oisin McEntee 71' yellowcard
  • Sabah Kerjota 71' yellowcard
  • Blair Spittal 86' yellowcard
  • Cláudio Braga 87' goal
  • James Wilson 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Benjamin Nygren 7'
  • goal Hyun-jun Yang 62'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Tounekti 66'
  • yellowcard Dane Murray 73'
  • yellowcard Anthony Ralston 77'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 7, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Hyun-Jun Yang 35' yellowcard
  • Kieran Tierney 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Harry Milne 36'
  • goal Cláudio Rafael Soares Braga 43'
  • yellowcard Cameron Devlin 60'
  • yellowcard Michael Steinwender 62'
  • goal Oisin McEntee 64'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Oct 26, 2025 12.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Oct 25, 2025 3.00pm