Scottish Premiership Gameweek 8
Oct 10, 2026 3.00pm
Tynecastle Park

Hearts vs St Mirren - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Sep 19, 2026 5.45pm
Kilmarnock 1 - 1 Hearts
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
James Wilson

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Sep 19, 2026 3.00pm
St Mirren 0 - 3 Dundee Utd
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Killian Phillips

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hearts win with a probability of 55.44%. A draw has a probability of 23.3% and a win for St Mirren has a probability of 21.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.2%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.13%) , while for a St Mirren win it is 0-1 (5.74%).

Result

Hearts 55.44% ▼ (-0.61)
Draw 23.3% ▲ (+0.17)
St Mirren 21.24% ▲ (+0.43)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.41% ▼ (-0.12)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.71% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 1.5 22.29% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 2.5 54.52% ▲ (+0.47)
Under 2.5 45.48% ▼ (-0.47)
Over 3.5 32.07% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 67.93% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 4.5 19.1% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 4.5 80.9% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Hearts 37.35% ▲ (+0.36)
Draw 41.48% ▲ (+0.01)
St Mirren 21.17% ▼ (-0.37)

Team To Score First

Hearts 57.32% ▲ (+0.54)
No Goal 5.8% ▼ (-0.16)
St Mirren 36.88% ▼ (-0.38)

Corners

Over 8 65.14% ▼ (-3.91)
Equal 8 10.34% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 8 24.52% ▲ (+3.70)
Over 9 53.97% ▼ (-3.75)
Equal 9 11.17% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 9 34.86% ▲ (+3.91)
Over 10.5 42.9% ▼ (-3.25)
Under 10.5 57.1% ▲ (+3.25)

Hearts Goals

Over 1.5 52.79% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 1.5 47.21% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 2.5 26.59% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 2.5 73.41% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 3.5 11.08% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 88.92% ▲ (+0.05)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5 57.86% ▲ (+0.54)
Under 0.5 42.14% ▼ (-0.54)
Over 1.5 25% ▲ (+0.56)
Under 1.5 75% ▼ (-0.57)
Over 2.5 8.05% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 2.5 91.95% ▼ (-0.30)
Over 3.5 2.29% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 97.71% ▼ (-0.05)

Score analysis

Hearts 55.44%
Draw 23.29%
St Mirren 21.24%
Hearts
1-0 @ 10.72% ▼ (-0.20)
2-1 @ 10.2% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 9.07% ▼ (-0.21)
3-1 @ 5.79% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 5.57% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.14% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 10.95% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 55.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.13% ▲ (+0.16)
0-0 @ 5.8% ▼ (-0.16)
2-2 @ 5.22% ▲ (+0.14)
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.13% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 23.29%
St Mirren
0-1 @ 5.74% ▼ (-0.05)
1-2 @ 5.59% ▲ (+0.21)
0-2 @ 3% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 21.24%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 25
Feb 3, 2026 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Smisa Stadium
  • Conor McMenamin 70' yellowcard
  • Roland Idowu 71' yellowcard
  • Kion Etete 77' yellowcard
  • Tunmise Sobowale 86' yellowcard
  • Miguel Freckleton 88' goal
  • yellowcard Frankie Kent 38'
  • yellowcard Elton Kabangu 79'
  • yellowcard Tómas Bent Magnússon 79'
  • yellowcard Ageu 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Sabah Kerjota 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Ageu 90'+3'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 17
Jan 14, 2026 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Lawrence Shankland 60' goal
  • Pierre Landry Kabore 67' yellowcard
  • Tómas Bent Magnússon 68' yellowcard
  • Jamie McCart 68' yellowcard
  • Pierre Landry Kabore 68' yellowcard
  • Frankie Kent 74' yellowcard
  • Tómas Bent Magnússon 80' goal
  • Jordi Altena 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dan N'Lundulu 57'
  • yellowcard Malik Dijksteel 57'
  • yellowcard M. Dijksteel 57'
  • yellowcard Allan Campbell 66'
  • yellowcard A. Campbell 66'
  • yellowcard Jayden Richardson 81'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Oct 29, 2025 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Oct 29, 2025 7.45pm
Scottish League Cup
Aug 16, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
ET