Champions League
Gameweek
4
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F17%2Faeklog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Frmilog.png)
AEK Athens vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Injuries & Suspensions
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F08%2Fimago1080810926-6a79eac4bc78c704451712.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for AEK Athens has a probability of 37.38% and a draw has a probability of 23.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (5.69%) and 0-2 (5.11%). The likeliest AEK Athens win is 2-1 (7.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.51%).
Result
AEK Athens
37.38%
▼
(-2.13)
Draw
23.16%
▲
(+0.86)
Real Madrid
39.5%
▲
(+1.29)
Both Teams to Score:
59.8%
▲
(+0.68)
Goals
Over 1.5
83.81%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 1.5
16.19%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 2.5
62.63%
▼
(-0.98)
Under 2.5
37.37%
▲
(+0.98)
Over 3.5
39.63%
▼
(-0.54)
Under 3.5
60.37%
▲
(+0.54)
Over 4.5
25.95%
▼
(-0.38)
Under 4.5
74.05%
▲
(+0.37)
First Half Winner
AEK Athens
36.46%
▲
(+0.07)
Draw
39.4%
▼
(-0.83)
Real Madrid
24.14%
▲
(+0.77)
Team To Score First
AEK Athens
52.72%
▼
(-2.46)
No Goal
4.44%
▼
(-0.01)
Real Madrid
42.84%
▲
(+2.47)
Corners
Over 8
58.35%
▲
(+3.13)
Equal 8
10.29%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 8
31.36%
▼
(-3.08)
Over 9
47.82%
▲
(+2.93)
Equal 9
10.54%
▲
(+0.20)
Under 9
41.65%
▼
(-3.13)
Over 10.5
37.82%
▲
(+2.54)
Under 10.5
62.18%
▼
(-2.53)
AEK Athens Goals
Over 1.5
43.11%
▼
(-1.79)
Under 1.5
56.89%
▲
(+1.79)
Over 2.5
20.09%
▼
(-1.70)
Under 2.5
79.91%
▲
(+1.71)
Over 3.5
8.98%
▼
(-0.74)
Under 3.5
91.02%
▲
(+0.73)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5
71.8%
▲
(+1.40)
Under 0.5
28.2%
▼
(-1.41)
Over 1.5
44.57%
▲
(+1.18)
Under 1.5
55.43%
▼
(-1.18)
Over 2.5
22.55%
▲
(+0.63)
Under 2.5
77.45%
▼
(-0.62)
Over 3.5
9.37%
▲
(+0.28)
Under 3.5
90.63%
▼
(-0.29)
Score analysis
AEK Athens
37.37%
Draw
23.16%
Real Madrid
39.49%
AEK Athens
2-1
@
7.73%
▼
(-0.19)
1-0 @ 6.08% ▼ (-0.17)
2-0 @ 5.56% ▼ (-0.21)
3-0 @ 3.49% ▼ (-0.38)
3-1 @ 3.3% ▼ (-0.45)
3-2 @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 8.65% ▼ (-0.66)
Total : 37.37%
1-0 @ 6.08% ▼ (-0.17)
2-0 @ 5.56% ▼ (-0.21)
3-0 @ 3.49% ▼ (-0.38)
3-1 @ 3.3% ▼ (-0.45)
3-2 @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 8.65% ▼ (-0.66)
Total : 37.37%
Draw
1-1
@
10.51%
▲
(+0.83)
2-2 @ 6.12% ▲ (+0.17)
0-0 @ 4.44% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.33% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 23.16%
2-2 @ 6.12% ▲ (+0.17)
0-0 @ 4.44% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.33% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 23.16%
Real Madrid
1-2
@
8.23%
▲
(+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.69% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.49)
1-3 @ 4.26% ▲ (+0.11)
2-3 @ 3.61% ▲ (+0.15)
0-3 @ 3.55% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 9.04% ▲ (+0.36)
Total : 39.49%
0-1 @ 5.69% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.49)
1-3 @ 4.26% ▲ (+0.11)
2-3 @ 3.61% ▲ (+0.15)
0-3 @ 3.55% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 9.04% ▲ (+0.36)
Total : 39.49%
Form Data
Build-up
Head to head
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F10%2Fmourinho-real-6ac7a6d559efe515788919.jpg)