Europa League Gameweek 4
Nov 5, 2026 8.00pm
Abanca-Balaídos

Celta Vigo vs Union SG - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 16, 2026 5.45pm
Omonia 1 - 0 Celta Vigo

Union SG

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Union SG win with a probability of 48.89%. A win for Celta Vigo has a probability of 27.01% and a draw has a probability of 24.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win is 2-1 (6.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.89%).

Result

Celta Vigo 27.01%
Draw 24.07% ▼ (-0.04)
Union SG 48.89% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.94% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.84% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 21.16% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 56.31% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 43.69% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 33.86% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 66.14% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 4.5 20.19% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 4.5 79.81% ▼ (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Celta Vigo 21.87% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 39.17% ▲ (+0.04)
Union SG 38.97%

Team To Score First

Celta Vigo 35.41% ▼ (-0.03)
No Goal 5.67% ▼ (-0.04)
Union SG 58.92% ▲ (+0.06)

Corners

Over 8 46.44% ▼ (-0.11)
Equal 8 11.71% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 41.84% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 9 35.52% ▼ (-0.08)
Equal 9 10.93% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 9 53.56% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 10.5 26.1% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 10.5 73.9% ▲ (+0.07)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 1.5 31.43% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 68.57% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 11.82% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 88.18% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.72% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.28% ▼ (-0.02)

Union SG Goals

Over 0.5 78.83% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 21.17% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 49.48% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 50.52% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 24.18% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 75.82% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 9.93% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 90.07% ▼ (-0.03)

Score analysis

Celta Vigo 27.01%
Draw 24.07%
Union SG 48.88%
Celta Vigo
2-1 @ 6.67% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.34% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 3.89%
3-1 @ 2.68%
3-2 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.82%
Other @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 27.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.89%
2-2 @ 5.8%
0-0 @ 5.67% ▼ (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.31% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 24.07%
Union SG
1-2 @ 9.54% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 9.11% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 7.76% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.18% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.42%
2-3 @ 3.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 9.62% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 48.88%