Belgian Pro League Gameweek 9
Oct 25, 2026 6.15pm
Stade Joseph Mariën

Union SG vs Cercle Brugge - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Union SG

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last game
Oct 11, 2026 3.00pm
Union SG 1 - 1 Leuven
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Raul Florucz

Cercle Brugge

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 3.00pm
Cercle Brugge 1 - 2 Anderlecht
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Steve Ngoura

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Union SG win with a probability of 63.31%. A draw has a probability of 22.45% and a win for Cercle Brugge has a probability of 14.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.02%) , while for a Cercle Brugge win it is 0-1 (4.99%).

Result

Union SG 63.31% ▲ (+1.47)
Draw 22.45% ▼ (-0.02)
Cercle Brugge 14.24% ▼ (-1.48)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.53% ▼ (-1.09)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.96% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 1.5 25.04% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 2.5 51.91% ▼ (-0.58)
Under 2.5 48.09% ▲ (+0.58)
Over 3.5 30.99% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 69.01% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 4.5 20.18% ▲ (+0.47)
Under 4.5 79.82% ▼ (-0.48)

First Half Winner

Union SG 49.96% ▲ (+1.11)
Draw 35.26% ▼ (-0.18)
Cercle Brugge 14.79% ▼ (-0.93)

Team To Score First

Union SG 65.29% ▲ (+1.25)
No Goal 7.29% ▲ (+0.24)
Cercle Brugge 27.42% ▼ (-1.47)

Corners

Over 8 60.1% ▼ (-3.92)
Equal 8 10.45% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 8 29.45% ▲ (+3.90)
Over 9 49.25% ▼ (-3.64)
Equal 9 10.85% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 9 39.9% ▲ (+3.93)
Over 10.5 38.85% ▼ (-3.07)
Under 10.5 61.15% ▲ (+3.07)

Union SG Goals

Over 1.5 56.84% ▲ (+0.98)
Under 1.5 43.16% ▼ (-0.98)
Over 2.5 30.76% ▲ (+0.64)
Under 2.5 69.24% ▼ (-0.64)
Over 3.5 14.18% ▲ (+0.87)
Under 3.5 85.82% ▼ (-0.88)

Cercle Brugge Goals

Over 0.5 47.5% ▼ (-1.90)
Under 0.5 52.5% ▲ (+1.90)
Over 1.5 17.36% ▼ (-1.63)
Under 1.5 82.64% ▲ (+1.63)
Over 2.5 4.84% ▼ (-0.70)
Under 2.5 95.16% ▲ (+0.69)
Over 3.5 1.2% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 3.5 98.8% ▲ (+0.22)

Score analysis

Union SG 63.31%
Draw 22.45%
Cercle Brugge 14.26%
Union SG
1-0 @ 12.78% ▲ (+0.20)
2-0 @ 11.23% ▲ (+0.48)
2-1 @ 9.56% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 7.21% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 5.57% ▼ (-0.17)
3-2 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 14.01% ▲ (+0.91)
Total : 63.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.02%
0-0 @ 7.29% ▲ (+0.24)
2-2 @ 4.12% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 0.17% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 22.45%
Cercle Brugge
0-1 @ 4.99% ▼ (-0.17)
1-2 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.52)
0-2 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.16)
2-3 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.20)
Other @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.19)
Total : 14.26%

Head to Head

Belgian Pro League
Dec 26, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Gary Magnee 43' goal
  • Hannes Van der Bruggen 44' yellowcard
  • 59' yellowcard
  • Makaya Ibrahima Diaby 59' yellowcard
  • Makaya Ibrahima Diaby 75' yellowcard
  • goal Mathias Rasmussen 17'
  • yellowcard Guilherme Henriques da Silva Carvalho 32'
  • yellowcard Ross Sykes 45'
  • yellowcard Christian Burgess 74'
  • yellowcard Christian Burgess 87'
Belgian Pro League
Nov 22, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 17
Dec 8, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Jan Breydelstadion
  • Hannes Van der Bruggen 29' yellowcard
  • Thibo Somers 36' yellowcard
  • Gary Magnee 70' redcard
  • Emmanuel Kakou 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kevin Mac Allister 61'
  • yellowcard Fedde Leysen 90'+4'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 12
Oct 27, 2024 6.15pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Joseph Marien (Bruxelles (Brussels))
  • Mohammed Fuseini 8' goal
  • Promise Akinpelu 88' yellowcard
  • Ross Sykes 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Felipe Augusto 52'
  • goal Emmanuel Kakou 55'
  • yellowcard Nazinho 64'
  • yellowcard Thibo Somers 73'
  • goal Kevin Denkey 90'+8'
  • yellowcard Kevin Denkey 90'+9'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 9
May 19, 2024 12.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Jan Breydelstadion
  • Felipe Augusto 32' goal
  • Hugo Siquet 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Jesper Daland 64' yellowcard
  • Senna Miangue 84' yellowcard
  • goal Gustaf Nilsson 28'
  • yellowcard Alexander Blessin 46'
  • goal Alessio Castro-Montes 50'
  • yellowcard Gustaf Nilsson 73'
  • yellowcard Cameron Puertas 90'+5'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 2
Apr 7, 2024 12.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Stade Joseph Marien
  • Gustaf Nilsson 45'+5' goal
  • Kazeem Olaigbe 79' yellowcard
  • Dennis Eckert 90'+2' goal
  • Jesper Daland 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Alan Minda 5'
  • goal Kevin Denkey 6'
  • yellowcard Leo Lopes 47'
  • yellowcard Edgaras Utkus 69'
  • goal Thibo Somers 71'
  • yellowcard Anthony Moris 78'
  • yellowcard Alan Minda 79'
  • yellowcard Henok Teklab 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Jesper Daland 90'+6'