Europa League Gameweek 2
Oct 15, 2026 5.45pm
King Power at Den Dreef

Union SG vs Real Sociedad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Union SG

All competitions

Real Sociedad

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Union SG win with a probability of 51.91%. A draw has a probability of 24.57% and a win for Real Sociedad has a probability of 23.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.29%) , while for a Real Sociedad win it is 0-1 (6.24%).

Result

Union SG 51.91% ▼ (-1.23)
Draw 24.57% ▲ (+0.72)
Real Sociedad 23.55% ▲ (+0.52)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.73% ▼ (-1.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.8% ▼ (-1.68)
Under 1.5 22.2% ▲ (+1.67)
Over 2.5 54.37% ▼ (-2.85)
Under 2.5 45.63% ▲ (+2.85)
Over 3.5 31.64% ▼ (-2.29)
Under 3.5 68.36% ▲ (+2.30)
Over 4.5 19.03% ▼ (-2.17)
Under 4.5 80.97% ▲ (+2.18)

First Half Winner

Union SG 39.97% ▲ (+0.58)
Draw 40.01% ▼ (-0.75)
Real Sociedad 20.02% ▲ (+0.17)

Team To Score First

Union SG 59.52% ▼ (-2.37)
No Goal 6.12% ▲ (+0.38)
Real Sociedad 34.36% ▲ (+2.00)

Corners

Over 8 56.11% ▲ (+3.72)
Equal 8 11.34% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 8 32.55% ▼ (-3.93)
Over 9 44.71% ▲ (+3.22)
Equal 9 11.4% ▲ (+0.50)
Under 9 43.89% ▼ (-3.72)
Over 10.5 34.16% ▲ (+2.51)
Under 10.5 65.84% ▼ (-2.51)

Union SG Goals

Over 1.5 51.14% ▼ (-2.14)
Under 1.5 48.86% ▲ (+2.14)
Over 2.5 25.31% ▼ (-2.09)
Under 2.5 74.69% ▲ (+2.08)
Over 3.5 10.82% ▼ (-1.35)
Under 3.5 89.18% ▲ (+1.36)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5 59.56% ▲ (+0.47)
Under 0.5 40.44% ▼ (-0.47)
Over 1.5 27.2% ▼ (-0.67)
Under 1.5 72.8% ▲ (+0.66)
Over 2.5 9.57% ▼ (-0.52)
Under 2.5 90.43% ▲ (+0.53)
Over 3.5 2.67% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 3.5 97.33% ▲ (+0.25)

Score analysis

Union SG 51.91%
Draw 24.58%
Real Sociedad 23.56%
Union SG
1-0 @ 9.89% ▲ (+0.66)
2-1 @ 9.67% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 8.74% ▲ (+0.31)
3-0 @ 5.33% ▼ (-0.37)
3-1 @ 5.16% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.36)
Other @ 10.41% ▼ (-1.37)
Total : 51.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.29% ▲ (+0.48)
0-0 @ 6.12% ▲ (+0.38)
2-2 @ 5.47% ▼ (-0.12)
3-3 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.41% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 24.58%
Real Sociedad
0-1 @ 6.24% ▲ (+0.71)
1-2 @ 6.07% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.38% ▲ (+0.36)
1-3 @ 2%
2-3 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.16)
0-3 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.27)
Total : 23.56%