Belgian Pro League Gameweek 6
Sep 12, 2026 7.45pm
Stade Joseph Mariën

Union SG vs Lommel United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Union SG

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Charleroi 0 - 0 Union SG
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Raul Florucz

Lommel United

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last game
Sep 4, 2026 7.45pm
Lommel United 0 - 1 Brugge
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Tom Reyners

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Union SG win with a probability of 62.82%. A draw has a probability of 22.18% and a win for Lommel United has a probability of 14.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.98%) , while for a Lommel United win it is 0-1 (4.74%).

Result

Union SG 62.82% (+0.19)
Draw 22.18% (-0.08)
Lommel United 14.99% (-0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.82% (-0.34)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.12% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 22.88% (+0.19)
Over 2.5 54.47% (-0.19)
Under 2.5 45.53% (+0.19)
Over 3.5 32.52% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 67.48% (+0.14)
Over 4.5 21.13% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 78.87% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Union SG 45% (-0.01)
Draw 39.54% (-0.03)
Lommel United 15.46% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Union SG 66.82% (-0.09)
No Goal 6.64% (+0.06)
Lommel United 26.54% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 57.22% (+0.33)
Equal 8 10.94% (+0.01)
Under 8 31.84% (-0.34)
Over 9 46.14% (+0.30)
Equal 9 11.08% (+0.03)
Under 9 42.78% (-0.33)
Over 10.5 35.78% (+0.25)
Under 10.5 64.22% (-0.25)

Union SG Goals

Over 1.5 57.99% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 42.01% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 31.9% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 68.1% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 14.99% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 85.01% (-0.04)

Lommel United Goals

Over 0.5 49.4% (-0.36)
Under 0.5 50.6% (+0.36)
Over 1.5 18.88% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 81.12% (+0.25)
Over 2.5 5.16% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 94.84% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 1.28% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 98.72% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Union SG 62.84%
Draw 22.18%
Lommel United 14.99%
Union SG
1-0 @ 11.51% (+0.12)
2-0 @ 10.62% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 7.07% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 5.86%
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.03)
Other @ 14.77% (+0.03)
Total : 62.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.98% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 6.64% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 4.43% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.18%
Lommel United
0-1 @ 4.74% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 4.18% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 2.04% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.11% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.1% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.06% (-0.03)
Total : 14.99%