Belgian Pro League
Aug 16, 2026 6.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Soevereinstadion
  • Lucas Schoofs 85' yellowcard
  • goal Amine Boukamir 63'

Lommel United vs Charleroi - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lommel United

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 7.45pm
Sint-Truiden 1 - 1 Lommel United
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Don-Angelo Konadu

Charleroi

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 3.00pm
Charleroi 3 - 1 Leuven
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Aurélien Scheidler

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lommel United win with a probability of 42.24%. A win for Charleroi had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lommel United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Charleroi win was 1-2 (7.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result

Lommel United 42.24% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 25.42% ▼ (-0.03)
Charleroi 32.31%

Both Teams to Score: 

59.11% ▼ (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.84% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 21.16% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 56.35% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 43.62% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 34.9% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 65.1% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 4.5 20.72% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 79.28% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Lommel United 34.94% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 43.17% ▲ (+0.03)
Charleroi 21.89% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Lommel United 53.51% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 5.98% ▼ (-0.01)
Charleroi 40.51% ▼ (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 58.35% ▲ (+0.29)
Equal 8 11.54%
Under 8 30.11% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 9 46.54% ▲ (+0.27)
Equal 9 11.81% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 9 41.65% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 10.5 35.46% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 10.5 64.54% ▼ (-0.22)

Lommel United Goals

Over 1.5 44.76% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 55.24% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 20.46% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 79.54% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 7.78%
Under 3.5 92.22%

Charleroi Goals

Over 0.5 68.61% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 31.39% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 37.01% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 62.99% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 15.44% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 84.56% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 5.41% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 94.59% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Lommel United 42.24%
Draw 25.43%
Charleroi 32.31%
Lommel United
2-1 @ 8.89% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.33% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.43% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.52%
3-2 @ 3.44% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 7.51% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 42.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.36% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.22% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.98% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 25.43%
Charleroi
1-2 @ 7.21% ▼ (-0.03)
0-1 @ 6.83% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.7%
1-3 @ 3.45% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.76%
0-3 @ 2.22%
Other @ 5.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 32.31%