Belgian Pro League
Aug 16, 2026 6.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Soevereinstadion
  • Lucas Schoofs 85' yellowcard
  • goal Amine Boukamir 63'

Lommel United vs Charleroi - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lommel United

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 7.45pm
Sint-Truiden 1 - 1 Lommel United

Charleroi

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 3.00pm
Charleroi 3 - 1 Leuven

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lommel United win with a probability of 42.24%. A win for Charleroi had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lommel United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Charleroi win was 1-2 (7.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result

Lommel United 42.24% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 25.42% ▼ (-0.03)
Charleroi 32.31%

Both Teams to Score: 

59.11% ▼ (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.84% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 21.16% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 56.35% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 43.62% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 34.9% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 65.1% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 4.5 20.72% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 79.28% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Lommel United 34.94% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 43.17% ▲ (+0.03)
Charleroi 21.89% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Lommel United 53.51% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 5.98% ▼ (-0.01)
Charleroi 40.51% ▼ (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 58.35% ▲ (+0.29)
Equal 8 11.54%
Under 8 30.11% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 9 46.54% ▲ (+0.27)
Equal 9 11.81% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 9 41.65% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 10.5 35.46% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 10.5 64.54% ▼ (-0.22)

Lommel United Goals

Over 1.5 44.76% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 55.24% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 20.46% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 79.54% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 7.78%
Under 3.5 92.22%

Charleroi Goals

Over 0.5 68.61% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 31.39% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 37.01% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 62.99% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 15.44% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 84.56% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 5.41% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 94.59% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Lommel United 42.24%
Draw 25.43%
Charleroi 32.31%
Lommel United
2-1 @ 8.89% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.33% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.43% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.52%
3-2 @ 3.44% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 7.51% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 42.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.36% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.22% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.98% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 25.43%
Charleroi
1-2 @ 7.21% ▼ (-0.03)
0-1 @ 6.83% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.7%
1-3 @ 3.45% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.76%
0-3 @ 2.22%
Other @ 5.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 32.31%