Belgian Pro League
Aug 9, 2026 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stade du Pays de Charleroi
  • Parfait Guiagon 24' goal
  • Aiham Ousou 31' yellowcard
  • Kevin Van Den Kerkhof 59' goal
  • Freddy Mbemba 79' goal
  • yellowcard Abdoul Karim Traoré 20'
  • redcard Abdoul Karim Traoré 30'
  • goal Óscar Gil 39'
  • yellowcard Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi 45'

Charleroi vs Leuven - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Charleroi

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last game
May 23, 2026 7.45pm
Standard Liege 0 - 2 Charleroi

Leuven

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last game
May 23, 2026 7.45pm
Leuven 0 - 2 Genk

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 48.38%. A draw had a probability of 26.06% and a win for Leuven had a probability of 25.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%) , while for a Leuven win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result

Charleroi 48.38% ▼ (-0.17)
Draw 26.06% ▲ (+0.05)
Leuven 25.57% ▲ (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.94% ▲ (+0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.8% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 24.2% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 52.39% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 47.61% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 31.04% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 68.96% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 4.5 17.93%
Under 4.5 82.07%

First Half Winner

Charleroi 35.98% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 40.63% ▲ (+0.02)
Leuven 23.39% ▼ (-0.08)

Team To Score First

Charleroi 55.21% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 7.23% ▼ (-0.01)
Leuven 37.56% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 74.56% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 8 9.25% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 16.19% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 9 63.58% ▼ (-0.03)
Equal 9 10.97% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 25.44% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 10.5 51.81%
Under 10.5 48.19%

Charleroi Goals

Over 1.5 47.44% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 52.56% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 22.47% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 77.53% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 8.98% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 91.02% ▲ (+0.04)

Leuven Goals

Over 0.5 61.66% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 0.5 38.34% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 1.5 28.99% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 1.5 71.01% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 2.5 10.01% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 2.5 89.99% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 2.93% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.07% ▼ (-0.03)

Score analysis

Charleroi 48.37%
Draw 26.06%
Leuven 25.57%
Charleroi
1-0 @ 10.13% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.17%
2-0 @ 8.08% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 5.05% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.16% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 8.74% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 48.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.61% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.23% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.74% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.24% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 26.06%
Leuven
0-1 @ 6.84% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.49% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.71% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.69% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 25.57%

Head to Head

Belgian Pro League Gameweek 9
May 19, 2026 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade du Pays de Charleroi
  • Jules Gaudin 46' yellowcard
  • Aurélien Scheidler 48' goal
  • Antoine Colassin 58' yellowcard
  • Antoine Bernier 58' yellowcard
  • Yassine Khalifi 73' yellowcard
  • Y. Cisse 87' yellowcard
  • goal Christ Souanga 20'
  • yellowcard Bryang Kayo 64'
  • yellowcard Youssef Maziz 64'
  • yellowcard Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi 73'
  • yellowcard Sory Kaba 73'
  • yellowcard Lukasz Lakomy 83'
Belgian Pro League
Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT King Power at Den Dreef Stadion
  • Lukasz Lakomy 46' yellowcard
  • Óscar Gil 46' yellowcard
  • Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi 77' yellowcard
  • Mathieu Maertens 77' yellowcard
  • Kyan Vaesen 77' yellowcard
  • goal Antoine Bernier 53'
  • yellowcard Jakob Napoleon Romsaas 59'
  • yellowcard Aurélien Scheidler 59'
  • goal Aurélien Scheidler 69'
  • yellowcard Y. Cisse 80'
  • yellowcard Jules Gaudin 86'
  • yellowcard Mehdi Boukamir 86'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 29
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stade du Pays de Charleroi
  • Antoine Colassin 65' yellowcard
  • Antoine Bernier 83' yellowcard
  • Filip Szymczak 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Wouter George 46'
  • yellowcard Thibaud Verlinden 46'
  • goal Óscar Gil 70'
  • goal Noë Dussenne 74'
  • yellowcard Takuma Ominami 80'
  • yellowcard Birger Verstraete 80'
  • yellowcard Bryang Kayo 80'
  • yellowcard Sory Kaba 89'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 1
Jul 27, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 10
May 24, 2025 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stade du Pays de Charleroi
  • Nikola Stulic 25' yellowcard
  • Cheick Keita 29' goal
  • Alexandre Stanic 88' goal
  • goal Yacine Titraoui 43' (OG)
  • yellowcard Thibault Vlietinck 75'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 1
Mar 28, 2025 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT King Power at Den Dreef Stadion
  • Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi 41' yellowcard
  • Jovan Mijatovic 46' yellowcard
  • Jovan Mijatovic 58' redcard
  • Oscar Gil 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daan Heymans 9'
  • yellowcard Adem Zorgane 63'
  • goal 84'