Belgian Pro League Gameweek 1
Aug 9, 2026 3.00pm
Stade du Pays de Charleroi

Charleroi vs Leuven - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Charleroi

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last game
May 23, 2026 7.45pm
Standard Liege 0 - 2 Charleroi

Leuven

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last game
May 23, 2026 7.45pm
Leuven 0 - 2 Genk

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Charleroi win with a probability of 48.55%. A draw has a probability of 26.01% and a win for Leuven has a probability of 25.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.6%) , while for a Leuven win it is 0-1 (6.83%).

Result

Charleroi 48.55% (-0.02)
Draw 26.01% (+0.04)
Leuven 25.44% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.84% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.78%
Under 1.5 24.22%
Over 2.5 52.36%
Under 2.5 47.64%
Over 3.5 30.99% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 69.01% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 17.93% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 82.07% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Charleroi 35.91%
Draw 40.62% (+0.02)
Leuven 23.46% (-0.03)

Team To Score First

Charleroi 55.18% (+0.03)
No Goal 7.24%
Leuven 37.58% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 74.59% (-0.07)
Equal 8 9.26% (+0.02)
Under 8 16.15% (+0.04)
Over 9 63.6% (-0.08)
Equal 9 10.98%
Under 9 25.41% (+0.06)
Over 10.5 51.81% (-0.08)
Under 10.5 48.19% (+0.08)

Charleroi Goals

Over 1.5 47.51% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 52.49% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 22.55% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 77.45% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 9.01% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 90.99% (+0.04)

Leuven Goals

Over 0.5 61.51% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 38.49% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 28.85% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 71.15% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 9.91%
Under 2.5 90.09%
Over 3.5 2.91% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.09% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Charleroi 48.55%
Draw 26%
Leuven 25.45%
Charleroi
1-0 @ 10.15% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.17% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.13%
3-1 @ 5.06%
3-0 @ 4.19% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.02)
Other @ 8.78% (-0.05)
Total : 48.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.6% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.24%
2-2 @ 5.71% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 26%
Leuven
0-1 @ 6.83% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.47% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.69%
1-3 @ 2.29%
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.54% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.68% (-0.01)
Total : 25.45%

Head to Head

Belgian Pro League Gameweek 9
May 19, 2026 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade du Pays de Charleroi
  • Jules Gaudin 46' yellowcard
  • Aurélien Scheidler 48' goal
  • Antoine Colassin 58' yellowcard
  • Antoine Bernier 58' yellowcard
  • Yassine Khalifi 73' yellowcard
  • Y. Cisse 87' yellowcard
  • goal Christ Souanga 20'
  • yellowcard Bryang Kayo 64'
  • yellowcard Youssef Maziz 64'
  • yellowcard Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi 73'
  • yellowcard Sory Kaba 73'
  • yellowcard Lukasz Lakomy 83'
Belgian Pro League
Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT King Power at Den Dreef Stadion
  • Lukasz Lakomy 46' yellowcard
  • Óscar Gil 46' yellowcard
  • Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi 77' yellowcard
  • Mathieu Maertens 77' yellowcard
  • Kyan Vaesen 77' yellowcard
  • goal Antoine Bernier 53'
  • yellowcard Jakob Napoleon Romsaas 59'
  • yellowcard Aurélien Scheidler 59'
  • goal Aurélien Scheidler 69'
  • yellowcard Y. Cisse 80'
  • yellowcard Jules Gaudin 86'
  • yellowcard Mehdi Boukamir 86'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 29
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stade du Pays de Charleroi
  • Antoine Colassin 65' yellowcard
  • Antoine Bernier 83' yellowcard
  • Filip Szymczak 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Wouter George 46'
  • yellowcard Thibaud Verlinden 46'
  • goal Óscar Gil 70'
  • goal Noë Dussenne 74'
  • yellowcard Takuma Ominami 80'
  • yellowcard Birger Verstraete 80'
  • yellowcard Bryang Kayo 80'
  • yellowcard Sory Kaba 89'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 1
Jul 27, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 10
May 24, 2025 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stade du Pays de Charleroi
  • Nikola Stulic 25' yellowcard
  • Cheick Keita 29' goal
  • Alexandre Stanic 88' goal
  • goal Yacine Titraoui 43' (OG)
  • yellowcard Thibault Vlietinck 75'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 1
Mar 28, 2025 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT King Power at Den Dreef Stadion
  • Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi 41' yellowcard
  • Jovan Mijatovic 46' yellowcard
  • Jovan Mijatovic 58' redcard
  • Oscar Gil 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daan Heymans 9'
  • yellowcard Adem Zorgane 63'
  • goal 84'