Belgian Pro League
Aug 9, 2026 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stade du Pays de Charleroi
  • Parfait Guiagon 24' goal
  • Aiham Ousou 31' yellowcard
  • Kevin Van Den Kerkhof 59' goal
  • Freddy Mbemba 79' goal
  • yellowcard Abdoul Karim Traoré 20'
  • redcard Abdoul Karim Traoré 30'
  • goal Óscar Gil 39'
  • yellowcard Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi 45'

Charleroi vs Leuven - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Charleroi

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last game
May 23, 2026 7.45pm
Standard Liege 0 - 2 Charleroi
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Aurélien Scheidler

Leuven

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last game
May 23, 2026 7.45pm
Leuven 0 - 2 Genk
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Davis Opoku

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 48.38%. A draw had a probability of 26.06% and a win for Leuven had a probability of 25.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%) , while for a Leuven win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result

Charleroi 48.38% ▼ (-0.17)
Draw 26.06% ▲ (+0.05)
Leuven 25.57% ▲ (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.94% ▲ (+0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.8% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 24.2% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 52.39% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 47.61% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 31.04% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 68.96% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 4.5 17.93%
Under 4.5 82.07%

First Half Winner

Charleroi 35.98% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 40.63% ▲ (+0.02)
Leuven 23.39% ▼ (-0.08)

Team To Score First

Charleroi 55.21% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 7.23% ▼ (-0.01)
Leuven 37.56% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 74.56% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 8 9.25% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 16.19% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 9 63.58% ▼ (-0.03)
Equal 9 10.97% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 25.44% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 10.5 51.81%
Under 10.5 48.19%

Charleroi Goals

Over 1.5 47.44% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 52.56% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 22.47% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 77.53% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 8.98% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 91.02% ▲ (+0.04)

Leuven Goals

Over 0.5 61.66% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 0.5 38.34% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 1.5 28.99% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 1.5 71.01% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 2.5 10.01% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 2.5 89.99% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 2.93% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.07% ▼ (-0.03)

Score analysis

Charleroi 48.37%
Draw 26.06%
Leuven 25.57%
Charleroi
1-0 @ 10.13% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.17%
2-0 @ 8.08% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 5.05% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.16% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 8.74% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 48.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.61% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.23% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.74% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.24% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 26.06%
Leuven
0-1 @ 6.84% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.49% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.71% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.69% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 25.57%

Head to Head

Belgian Pro League Gameweek 9
May 19, 2026 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade du Pays de Charleroi
  • Jules Gaudin 46' yellowcard
  • Aurélien Scheidler 48' goal
  • Antoine Colassin 58' yellowcard
  • Antoine Bernier 58' yellowcard
  • Yassine Khalifi 73' yellowcard
  • Y. Cisse 87' yellowcard
  • goal Christ Souanga 20'
  • yellowcard Bryang Kayo 64'
  • yellowcard Youssef Maziz 64'
  • yellowcard Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi 73'
  • yellowcard Sory Kaba 73'
  • yellowcard Lukasz Lakomy 83'
Belgian Pro League
Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT King Power at Den Dreef
  • Sory Kaba 38' yellowcard
  • Lukasz Lakomy 46' yellowcard
  • Óscar Gil 46' yellowcard
  • Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi 77' yellowcard
  • Mathieu Maertens 77' yellowcard
  • Kyan Vaesen 77' yellowcard
  • Siebe Schrijvers 80' yellowcard
  • goal Antoine Bernier 53'
  • yellowcard Jakob Napoleon Romsaas 59'
  • yellowcard Aurélien Scheidler 59'
  • goal Aurélien Scheidler 69'
  • yellowcard Y. Cisse 80'
  • yellowcard Jules Gaudin 86'
  • yellowcard Mehdi Boukamir 86'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 29
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stade du Pays de Charleroi
  • Parfait Guiagon 51' yellowcard
  • Antoine Colassin 65' yellowcard
  • Antoine Bernier 83' yellowcard
  • Filip Szymczak 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Óscar Gil 36'
  • yellowcard Wouter George 46'
  • yellowcard Thibaud Verlinden 46'
  • goal Óscar Gil 70'
  • goal Noë Dussenne 74'
  • yellowcard Takuma Ominami 80'
  • yellowcard Birger Verstraete 80'
  • yellowcard Bryang Kayo 80'
  • yellowcard Sory Kaba 89'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 1
Jul 27, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT King Power at Den Dreef
  • Mathieu Maertens 3' goal
  • Mathieu Maertens 61' yellowcard
  • Óscar Gil 70' yellowcard
  • Youssef Maziz 79' goal
  • yellowcard Étienne Camara 77'
  • goal Antoine Bernier 90'
  • goal V. Dragsnes 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Jakob Napoleon Romsaas 90'+5'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 10
May 24, 2025 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stade du Pays de Charleroi
  • Nikola Stulic 25' yellowcard
  • Cheick Keita 29' goal
  • Alexandre Stanic 88' goal
  • goal Yacine Titraoui 43' (OG)
  • yellowcard Thibault Vlietinck 75'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 1
Mar 28, 2025 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT King Power at Den Dreef Stadion
  • Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi 41' yellowcard
  • Jovan Mijatovic 46' yellowcard
  • Jovan Mijatovic 58' redcard
  • Oscar Gil 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daan Heymans 9'
  • yellowcard Adem Zorgane 63'
  • goal 84'